Happy New Year You Surly Bastards!
Everything posted by 52-80
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Quinn "La Joya" Ewers - The Man The Myth The Mullet, Now Starting for the Miami Dolphins
Found a clip on youtube for Derka:
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Quinn "La Joya" Ewers - The Man The Myth The Mullet, Now Starting for the Miami Dolphins
Good prop bet is whether he gets drafted ahead of Kurtis Rourke. If at all.
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Quinn "La Joya" Ewers - The Man The Myth The Mullet, Now Starting for the Miami Dolphins
Quinn Ewers will look great in a Toronto Argonaut jersey.
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Quinn "La Joya" Ewers - The Man The Myth The Mullet, Now Starting for the Miami Dolphins
first, please somebody summarize all the draft predictions everyone made in here and contrast it to the actual draft results? that would be hilarious. anybody can deploy AI to do it?
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Markets still falling like whoa
The Capital One statements come from their internal analysts assessing general consumer spending - all the stuff customers use their cards on. That aside, when there's people on the streets attacking cars and showrooms, the problem there is a bit more acute than worrying about the sophistication of economic journalists.
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Markets still falling like whoa
-Southwest Airlines yanked targets for FY25 & 26 -Texas Instruments broadened its range of spending schedule. Did not “guide” for FY26 revenue, but affirms long term growth expectation. Specifically expects to be unaffected by tariffs — they have operations in China to serve that market. But also their outputs goes into both industrial and consumer products, and hence tied to general economic activity. -Discover Financial released earnings today, but call is scheduled for tomorrow. Stock was up in normal sessions and also now in afterhours. -Capital One said they’re vigilant of tariff related uncertainty and monitoring their downside risk scenarios. So far, all internal metrics and models of consumer spending and credit profiles are all positive/optimistic. So…nobody going CR yet. Visa, UPS, Qualcomm, and Apple are the notable ones on calendar for next week.
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Random thoughts that don't warrant a thread
How does the particle board take that weight? Im quite sure Ikea has a track-hung system similar to this. The hardware stores also have their generic versions. I did some sleuthing, and actually whats now-known as the Elfa system was introduced (coincidentally by a Swede) in the 30s, and patented in the US in 1948. That’s a full decade before this German guy got credited for “inventing” this. And somehow theyre asking $1000 for a single bookshelf and a laminate desk board. Nuts.
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Random thoughts that don't warrant a thread
I got obsessed with this modular sofa system designed by a german guy back in the 1960s. It's not supposed to be haute ware. It was meant to be affordable and accessible, the modularity meant for mass production for apartment dwellers. Turns out, if you want to buy a set of sofa + loveseat + chair, it cost the same as a new fucking car. Secondly, there's a 60 year old company that exist only to sell this guy's 3 product: the pictured sofas, tables, and Elfa-like shelving system. The pictured shelving system cost about $5000, while the equivalent Elfa cost like $300. The prices they're asking is amazing. Presumably they've paid out the patent/licensing for decades and fully amortized all their production tooling and processes, so the economics to churn out this stuff today must be incredible.
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Trivial things that please the ever living shit out of you
Great. Now casters are going to be tariff'ed at 145%.
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Trivial Things That Make You Surly
YouTube ads. I got them blocked on desktop, but can't do the same on smartphone unless you run it through browsers or sketchy 3rd party apps. So I caved and paid $8 for the Premium Lite subscription. What also makes me surly is if you're typing direct from consciousness, you think "8 dollars" but have to invert the order to "$8"
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Trivial things that please the ever living shit out of you
My toddler runs into the kitchen where im prepping food. “pwease, daddy, pwease, pwease…” ”what is it. what do you want?” He stretches his arms out. “a HUG!” Best goddamn feeling in the world. 🤗
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Post a pic that makes you lol
- Random thoughts that don't warrant a thread
the idea of gliders is fucking preposterous. i mean, i know the physics behind it, and ive even flown small planes myself, but still... the fact that you just find "updrafts" and get free lift and basically stay in the air forever... thats just complete bullshit.- Random thoughts that don't warrant a thread
A sobering reminder of aging (and not following pop music) is how old you think some music is, versus how old it actually is. That Gotye song came on the radio and I thought “oh its that recent’ish hit song”. Turns out its from over a decade ago. For a teenager now, just getting into their music phase, that song came out before they were born.- I pledge to post more pictures of this STEAK
Cooking Rudolf and his reindeer friends for lunch. Loin cut. Made a pan sauce but should’ve done a fruit/cherry sauce. Expected gameyness. Actual taste is very mineraly and liver-like, similar to a flat iron steak. 7/10 would maybe eat again.- 2021 UFC/MMA thread
Absolutely didnt deserve it, but held on pretty well. Lots of interesting potential FW matchups now that thats shaking out. Would be nice to see either he or Jean Silva knock Yair backdown to where he belongs.- Markets still falling like whoa
Don’t think their tone will change. Their job is to express business forecast, not personal political opinions. So their responses will be “measured”, and not publicly spiteful of the Admin, no matter which Admin is in. The guide will have larger range of uncertainty, and they’ll say shit like they’re exploring all options and derisking them. At worst, they’ll pull the guidance. The earning call isn’t the CR board… unless maybe if the CEO is lourenco goncalves- Markets still falling like whoa
Going long vacation time and shorting your dumb ass on the forum was a great trade.- Markets still falling like whoa
If you believe that big consumer retailers are economic bellwethers, and they have good insights, insider access, and/or influence: -Walmart just last week cited tariff uncertainty, but reiterated its previous forward guidance for annual sales growth -Target expects Q1 pressure, but reiterated FY flat sales, with even small increase in margin. This was said in March, and their next earnings call is in 1mo -Costco didn't guide on earnings, but still plans to grow #warehouses in the US. This was early March, and only 1/3rd of their goods are imported- Markets still falling like whoa
what could he have possibly meant by this? its a complete riddle.- Markets still falling like whoa
Passive eetirement account is -100bps behind SPX. Trading account is +300bps ahead due to FX futures (VX futures flat YTD). Spent the last 4 weeks around Europe with extended family while you spent it thinking about me. Miss you too bb 🤗- Random thoughts that don't warrant a thread
i said what i said 😤- Random thoughts that don't warrant a thread
Superhero could've met the love of his life and ya'll scared him out of it.- Tesla
The Executive Office isn’t something you made up and get to define. The EO has been established for almost 100 years, and includes Offices and Entities like the Council of Economic Advisors…of which Howard Lutnick is not a part. Dept of Comm wasnt in the EOP of Obama, or Trump 1, or Biden, or now with Trump 2. You hate Elon, which is fully your prerogative. It’s too bad you let your emotion overwhelm your capacity for logic. I said Elon’s motivation for dipping into politics is not financial. Elon’s primary business of EVs, solar panels, and battery storage was 99% “liberal-coded”. Do you think declaring support for the GOP in the most divisive race in America was a move to grow his financial position? Ohhh but there was a line in a Dept of State spreadsheet earmarking $400M for some armored Cybertrucks. Ah ha! The purchase thats neither commenced nor confirmed, that’s worth about 5,000 Cybertrucks. Or in the context their 1,800,000 deliveries per year: 1 day of sales. Complete void of any stake in Tesla, he would still be around the wealthiest person in the world. It’s definitely the money that’s steering his ship. Tim Waltz is prancing on stage about his state’s pension fund losing money, but it’s “not improper”. Furthermore, you “dont think he was acting in capacity as governor”??? The fuck you mean the sitting governor was acting as? People came to the politically-organized event to see Minnesota’s preeminent duck hunter? Would you concede Howard Lutnick made his comment about Tesla stock while “not acting in capacity” a cabinet member, but instead as a lifelong business executive of a financial services firm? (No you fucking wouldnt.) You only spew hypocritical shit because you tricked yourself into believing it.- Markets still falling like whoa
Stayed at home this weekend and look what happened. - Random thoughts that don't warrant a thread
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