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SuingToGetAMessageBoard?

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Everything posted by SuingToGetAMessageBoard?

  1. Is it just going to be the same 2 people in November?
  2. You can't win the presidency by being invisible. Acting like doing nothing is a strategy is some resting on your laurels bullshit and keeping it up is going to drop his lead by a point every month. Never interrupt your enemy when he's making a mistake and silence hides the gaffs are two post hoc justifications for laziness. No one is saying he even has to comment on what Trump is doing. Just be on any screen you can be saying something hopeful or some great new idea you have for the country. None of it even has to be live. That's the great thing about COVID, you aren't forced to appear anywhere and give speeches -- that gives you as many rehearsals as you want. The Good Morning America thing today was good. Do that every other day. Any channel you want will put you up on a screen. Put up a 2 minute bit online on other days. Sit there and do nothing and we will get Trump again. Do the bare minimum and he's president. Up until now he hasn't even done the bare minimum.
  3. He has to be present. He needs a two minute video every day with his face in it talking about today's issues. All I see are the ones that are compiling footage of other stuff that makes you wonder if he is involved at all. Get 5 speech writers: you have 1 speech to put together every 5 days. Give it to him to practice for 30 minutes. Have someone set up some background and lighting that looks professional and presidential. Post it on all your social media. Scrolling through his twitter right now, I see one such video since the beginning of the month and it is his laugh fest with Key.
  4. I've been very confident Biden was going to win for about 2 years. One thing I didn't anticipate was just how lazy and garbage of a campaign he'd be running.
  5. Jeez. He freaking looks like a Kennedy doesn't he.
  6. Food for thought: Biden set up this whole thing so we’d have something to talk about with him to distract us from the fact that he’s the worst campaigner ever.
  7. also, Ji Seong-ho is a bad ass and worthy of a wikipedia read if you have the time.
  8. he ded imo https://www.upi.com/Top_News/World-News/2020/05/01/Mystery-of-North-Koreas-Kim-Jong-Un-deepens-with-new-rumors-of-death/8751588325931/
  9. there's only like 9 votes in the whole state. you of all people shouldn't sit out.
  10. Hm. Yeah, that looks like garbage. How can they have any confidence in the margin of error on some method so untested?
  11. A case of double short coat tails there. The president is not pulling up his senator, and the senator can't drive turnout for the president. That's a big deal in a state right on the margins like NC.
  12. The whole article is good. Howeva, I went there just so I can see more about that chart to see which states each of those dots represent and they don't tell you. Seems like that is a bit of important information. Is that -10 one AR? Well, I don't really care. Is it OH? That's a bigger deal.
  13. Late decided meaning things that weren't set in stone heading into election day. Not late decided as in when the ballot actually arrived. 13 Ds were able to *just* successfully get over the line for a flip (compared to 1 R flip). All well within the margins of what might happen given the winds on any particular election day in something as small as a congressional district. 89 races were within 10%. Seems like that is a bit of a statistical fluke that there would be that many and one party benefited disproportionately from it. Compare to say 2016, when there were only three flips nationwide of the size of margins below, 2 D and 1 R, and only 32 races nationwide within 10%. I think there needs to be some mental preparations that these aren't exactly Sheila Jackson Lee locked-down districts and some are just going to be lost because shit happens sometimes.
  14. I'm a big believer in turnout is everything (informed by watching Beto -- a D can go and talk to every single person in Texas that lives outside of a town of 100,000, and you'll pick up about a half dozen votes), so I asked about that issue, and she responded twice. She even cussed!
  15. One thing to remember is how it seemed like every single late-decided house election in 2018 went the Democrats way. At some point simple statistical likelihood is just going to catch up and some of those seats will move back to the R column.
  16. Here's the answer. Just unbelievable. 2. If the election for president were being held today, and the candidates were Joe Biden the Democrat and Donald Trump the Republican, for whom would you vote? WHITE........ 4 YR COLL DEG Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No Biden 46% 7% 91% 44% 41% 51% 51% 35% Trump 42 89 4 37 47 38 40 58 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 3 - 1 5 3 2 2 2 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 2 - - 5 3 2 - 2 DK/NA 7 3 4 9 6 7 6 3 AGE IN YRS.............. WHITE..... 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp Biden 50% 40% 43% 52% 36% 45% 40% 73% 46% Trump 31 44 48 42 57 47 52 8 38 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 8 2 2 1 3 2 2 5 3 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 4 4 1 1 2 1 1 1 5 DK/NA 8 10 6 5 3 5 4 12 8
  17. 70% top marginal tax rates aren't cool, either, and you can coast on getting rid of that for a long time.
  18. we are honestly so far past satire that i can't even begin to tell the difference.
  19. what percent of republicans are republican just because they have no idea of what is going on around them, do you think? https://thehill.com/homenews/house/493182-rules-chairman-advises-pelosi-to-back-remove-voting
  20. some place was doing that for shopping using birth years
  21. DDL has been spending his days solving 4 minor pandemics in preparation for the role. He spends evenings staring for three hours in an unflinching trance at a medical diploma with his name on it.
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