150MM+ nationwide won’t happen, but a big Texas jump will. It’s suddenly competitive for the first time in decades in an era when the desire to vote in general has gone up. That’ll drive up interest.
it won’t be comparable to the midterm jump, but only because that borders on mathematically impossible. But the same fire that drove turnout then is still going. https://www.texastribune.org/2018/11/07/texas-election-results-turnout-county-look-up/
already at 2016 per capita numbers before the election year push. 900,000 got registered election year 2016. be interesting where we end up. 1.1MM would mean registration growth rate is 2x population growth rate.
that's amazing.
https://www.govtrack.us/congress/votes/89-1965/s78
literally the exact confederacy voted no, the exact non confederacy voted yes, minus Texas's Yarborough.
In some ways it amazes me the VRA was ever passed. I remember on of the civil rights acts a Texas Senator was the only “confederate” Senator that voted yes. I’m sure that’s probably true with all the civil rights era laws. There must have been uniform support for them outside the confederacy, even the states that are ruby red today to overwhelm the confederate stonewalling of them.
If you actively selected for it, yes. Maybe someone like Harvey Weinstein. But if you took 1000 random names out of the phonebook, I'm convinced Trump would literally be the worst.
Beto's run made me think rural Texas is just unconvinceable. He went to every county, shook more hands than anyone, held town halls in every Vega Mineola Bangs there is, and improved by 1% over Hillary's numbers.
Good news: Mark Kelly has raised a bazillion dollars. Bad news: McSally has too. Going to be a pretty expensive seat.
https://ktar.com/story/2974157/arizona-democrat-mark-kelly-is-no-1-in-us-in-senate-fundraising/
Misses:
Both roles. Will Farrell is too silly to take any of the action seriously or care about the plot. Marky Mark isn't funny enough to make me think it's a comedy.
Going too far on either side of that spectrum end up making it a poor man's Bad Boys, with kinda funny but mostly action Will Smith and mostly funny and kinda action Martin Lawrence. Seems like both leads have to kinda pitch in on both parts of "action comedy." Maybe it's just a bad script though.