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Brew

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Everything posted by Brew

  1. There is at least a made up 50/50 chance he loses his seat either way and it goes R based on the recent voting history of WV.
  2. Or he is one of the few that can vote both sides depending on the issue. This mindset that everyone has to line up on one side of the fence or other on every issue is stupid. Most people reside somewhere in the middle. He’s from a R state, does every other representative of an R state have contempt for their constituents because they didn’t vote for it? Fold his wealth tax proposals into it to help pay for it, clean up a few things around the edges, and push it through. I don’t agree with some of things he’s taking issues with in the bill, but if all he wants is a wealth tax and a couple of other changes then they need to sit down and have the conversation again.
  3. This shit is unreadable and a microcosm of what is currently wrong with America. There is no place for civil discourse, any disagreement just turns into a shit slinging fest rather than actually policy/idea debate. Reading back through the last few pages, it’s the same ones as always that don’t add shit to the discussion other than name calling and shit slinging. Then that same group runs around positive and neg repping people like a bunch of high fiving kids. It’s such a strange mindset to come to an internet board just to yell at people that you’ll never meet. On Manchin specifically, I think you still see this get worked out. Some of the issues he has with the bill are legitimate, some of the solutions like a wealth tax are what a lot of you have called for. He’s pushing to raise revenue while curtailing expenses. The problem with that is then you get into an issue with Sinema who doesn’t want to raise taxes. Hopefully they thread the needle between the two of them and get a version of this passed that includes some new tax initiatives and gets the social aspect of the bill passed.
  4. In one of the states not names Texas represented here. I was more relating the cost of housing to child care here so some people didn’t pop up and go $1,000 a month is cheap from one of the many places where starter homes are $500k or more but wages are also higher than here.
  5. I don’t disagree, but the cost of kids has gone up exponentially like everything else and some people legitimately don’t need to have kids. Nothing we can do to change that other than offer the support where it is needed. Day care locally is running $1,000 a month now and I don’t live in a high cost area like a lot of you. You can still find a decent 3/2 in a decent area for $150k although that was $100k not very long ago. Rent can still be had for under $1,000 pretty easily as well, but it’s a grand to put our kids in daycare. Somehow we have to find a place for reasonable child care and health care, because ultimately it’s the children that suffer from our system. It’s not fatties fry guy, it’s the kids. When they suffer it sets up the same process for the next generation.
  6. I don’t know that anyone would disagree with the thought process on not having kids if you can’t afford them. However, most people understand that it’s going to happen, so standing at the pulpit screaming at people for having them isn’t going to accomplish anything. Now the kid is here, guess what we all have to deal with it. With the change in abortion law, now even more kids will be here and we all have to deal with it. I wish more of the people that go overseas for adoptions would focus on adopting in country. We have our fair share of kids that need help.
  7. These discussions always end up at the same place. However, the concept of our society only being as strong as it’s weakest link seems to miss a few of you. Add to that fact that we all have an obligation to make sure that children are properly cared for no matter the shortcomings of the shitheads that birthed them. We do a piss poor job of it as a society and need to get better to ever get ahead. That money has to come from someplace and those with means get to pay for it. I listen to people bitch about paying taxes all day every day and it is what it is, write the check and be somewhat happy for what you have. What you are paying is going to go up sooner or later.
  8. I’m not getting into the tax rate debate, but this isn’t true. Refundable credits like the child tax credits put those below a certain income level into a net positive scenario from an income tax standpoint. If you’re also including social security taxes then the income level drops but you can still flip to a net positive from refundable credits. If you are talking really poor, then they can flip net positive even dragging sales tax into the equation because of refundable credits. At a certain level they shouldn’t be paying anything, but they can also receive as well.
  9. Tried to get the recovered bottle of Angel’s Envy as it came with a private tour and a suite at a Louisville game but it doubled in the last 90 seconds and I couldn’t keep up with it. There were a lot of interesting items in that auction including the barrel of Willett 19 year going for $400k+. Hats off to all the distilleries that participated as there were some sizeable items donated as well as quite a few matching gifts being made. They had to go well over their $1M goal as the 20 or so live auction items for close to that.
  10. Make a large “tax deductible” donation, receive bourbon at MSRP in exchange. That’s all any of this is. There are some interesting experiences on the other auction, but $200k+ for 17-20 year 4 Roses and the experience they are auctioning with it is a stretch. Some of the recovered bottles from Carrs at the end of the auction list and what is being thrown in by the distillers has my interest at the moment. A lot of the auctions have other details when you click on the listing that make them something to think about.
  11. Make a large “tax deductible” donation, receive bourbon at MSRP in exchange. That’s all any of this is. There are some interesting experiences on the other auction, but $200k+ for 17-20 year 4 Roses and the experience they are auctioning with it is a stretch. Some of the recovered bottles from Carrs at the end of the auction list and what is being thrown in by the distillers has my interest at the moment. A lot of the auctions have other details when you click on the listing that make them something to think about.
  12. Another auction if you’re feeling generous. https://www.proxibid.com/Menish-Productions/Buffalo-Trace-Benefit-Auction/event-catalog/213782
  13. If he is going to flame out, then he is going to flame out anywhere he goes. Actually, his chances of flaming out at J-State may be less than a P5 because of expectations versus the reality of competition. It’s easier to look like the man at an inferior school based on the competition you are going against in your examples. He already has the recognition, so scouts are already going to be biased in his favor on performance and it shouldn’t take much for them to get confirmation bias. Either way, sometimes it’s a useful exercise to consider why most everyone else is on the other side of the fence in a discussion.
  14. That’s a dumb comparison, but if you are at the top of your field you will likely succeed no matter where you go to college. This isn’t an average joe, it’s the #1 ish HS recruit in the country. If the best hacker at 18 goes to shithole state, he’ll probably be fine post college. My degree is from a college that doesn’t even exist any more and I run a multi-state firm that is in the top .2% nationally size wise. No one is saying those things don’t make a difference, what everyone is telling you is that the guys that succeed will succeed no matter where they go and that J-State versus FSU isn’t as big a gap as you think. Your comparison back to 2008 doesn’t matter, neither look the same as they did in 2008.
  15. I would say there are about $1.5M reasons why if the reports are true. It’s already been shown to you over and over that J State’s coaches and WR’s are better than what FSU is rolling out every week. Norvell or Deion as a DB, not much of a decision. Plus, he’ll play day one, game one likely. He’s a 6’1” Sr DB with virtually a 1.0 rating, an NFL team would draft him sooner rather than later assuming he continues to grow. Unless he just shits the bed, getting drafted should not be an issue and if he shits the bed it was never going to work anyways. Your mindset is why college football is controlled by a few teams at this point, the spread of talent is good for the sport and an HBCU getting this kind of recognition is just good overall. Ultimately, why does it matter to you enough to come type the same thing 10+ times? Personally, I think what Deion is doing down there is infinitely more interesting than what is going on in most of college football right now. It’s going to suck if he just spins it to an FSU job soon, but that’s his prerogative.
  16. Then it should be even easier for them to find him because they already know to look there. Talent finds a way and this kid already has it and the NFL is aware of it and where to find him. It’s not like he is going to some shit school that no one has ever had. He’s going to play for Deion and an 11 win team that is getting more publicity than a lot of P5 schools at the moment. They are definitely getting more than FSU right now who just reupped a coach for another year that hasn’t done much. This is just the start. It’s happening in basketball and moving into football, this just happens to be the biggest name although Mikey Williams may really change the discussion. Others will join them which is a positive thing and if Deion stays there instead of jumping to FSU it will be interesting to see where this goes.
  17. Some of these responses are quite amazing and say a lot about what is wrong with people and sports in general. The fucked up treatment of women (as well as plenty of others) is ridiculous and any justification of the action is ridiculous. Bare minimum, kick him off the team. If legally it gets worked out and he is good enough to play, he’ll get an opportunity and hopefully learn from it.
  18. Took mine last week, AMY and IBRX may not be far behind.
  19. A lot of smaller communities set up rolling Wi-Fi hubs because of the sheer number of kids without home internet. My kids are in private school, even there we had kids without home internet. The phone has replaced a laundry list of things that were used separately not very long ago.
  20. Holy fuck, this phone debate is stupid as hell. A cell phone is no longer a luxury, it is a necessity for most people. They don’t have home phones, they don’t have home computers, they have a cell phone that serves all purposes for less than what we were paying for a land line not that long ago. Move on, it’s fucking dumb and anyone that doesn’t think it’s a necessity in life at this point is likewise dumb.
  21. Ready Player One (or any movie from that genre really) here we come. People are spending less and less time living and more and more time trying to find happiness/community in an online environment which leads down an interesting road. America is in a great place compared to a lot of countries out there, but I’m not sure that’s saying a whole lot for our long-term viability. There are plenty of people trying to get here from the 3rd world country they live in, but does that really prove we are great or are we just in a better position than everyone else on the bow of the sinking ship with everyone scrambling to stay above the water line? We are well on our way of a track for greater civil unrest, more dissension amongst the populace, more and more violence taking place, both sides treating the other side as a combatant rather than a neighbor, etc which all leads to a bad ending. The fact that people can’t sit at a table together and have civil discussions on much of anything doesn’t bode well for the future of working through the large scale problems that lie in front of us like our massive debt, global warming, economic disparity, etc which then exacerbates the track we are on.
  22. Stopped by the local store today and they had cases of Blanton’s on the floor. Picked up a couple of those to restock, a 1.75 of Buffalo Trace, a 1.75 of Eagle Rare, a Bardstown Ferrand, and a WT Rare Breed Rye. There are a lot of $100+ bottles from distilleries I’ve never heard of sitting on the shelves right now.
  23. No idea, but when it gets really unseasonably warm on a given day here in the winter months, it’s pretty well a guarantee that it’s going to get bad.
  24. 77 degrees yesterday, the precursor to bad shit this time of year. Typically it’s a bigger problem in February in this area. I can’t remember a December outbreak locally.
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