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Skipper

Certifiably Surly
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Everything posted by Skipper

  1. I'm assuming people that are selling UW sidelines aren't planning to use them. For example, I suspect the vast majority of 143-145 inventory are scalpers. If so, they will likely collude and move prices in lockstep. When inventory gets low in that scenario, I see them hold firm and at times just flat out eat tickets as they have already locked in profits (from those you mentioned that WAY overpaid). But at least as of now, there is enough inventory that it will move down at some point. Also now at the point where anxious individual buyers will start pricing to sell because they don't want to deal with it (particularly those traveling to the game with extras) so you will find one-off great deals if your timing is right.
  2. I think that $2100 get in the door goes down if it is Texas Bama. If UW wins it does down significantly. If it is Bama/UW, I'm pretty confident tix will be well under face (considering face is pretty pricy for this game). If it is Texas/Michigan all bets are off. Hard to know where it would land. Really no precedent other than Texas/USC when digital tickets/online market wasn't really a thing.
  3. It's pretty clear at this point get in price is going to land well under face. What's going to be interesting is where the more premium inventory (lower through 300 level sidelines and corners) pricing lands. I've been too busy to track closely over the last few days but it sure doesn't seem like much of that inventory has moved this week. Prices have come down some off the extremely optimistic pricing that overly anxious buyers purchased at but not to a point I'm ready to buy and be done with it. And with inventory where it is - I'm still not anxious about buying.
  4. I don't blame you. I blame my shitty work IT dept. This shit happens all the time.
  5. Well, as long as they don't mess with the cap again it may end up working out fine. At this point, given the amount of inventory, I don't see spending more than $350 for a pair of decent seats. I set it at $350 earlier and a pair in the 100 level endzone popped up (I think they sold for $420 after fees). It's just as easy way to track how quickly prices are lowering if they fix it back to where it was though.
  6. The ticketmaster search function has always kind of sucked, but typically it lets you put in set price parameters that allows you to track (by highlighted section and highlighted seats) as prices are drooping. For example, you could cap the range at $500 after fees and it will highlight which tickets are available. For me at least, the high end is set at "$355+" so you could drop below 355 but not set a higher number. Is this the same for everyone else? Never seen this issue before so not sure if across the board or something weird on my app.
  7. Glad you posted this. Same thing here once I saw your post.
  8. Tix held by individuals (particularly uppers in team allotted sections) will almost certainly keep gradually going down. Most individuals won't want to deal with it. Particularly once people start leaving for NOLA and want to enjoy themselves and not worry about selling tix. Those will bottom out first. I'm convinced when large brokerages hold a material portion of the inventory they collude with each other to keep prices high until the last minute. We definitely saw this play out with the Big 12 CCG where almost all premium inventory was held by brokers and prices held firm for the most part then starting magically dropping Friday and particularly late Friday afternoon. Obviously the issue in this market is we really have no way of knowing how much of the inventory is held by brokers (although I suspect it's a decent chunk of the non-team allotted seats in the 100, 200's and 300's). But bowls games are different because people may get great seats from their company leading up to the game and try to sell so random great deals may pop up. Unless someone really wants to present tix as a present for Christmas, I don't see any reason to consider buying until next week given the amount of inventory.
  9. While interesting to know here, face is largely irrelevant these days IMO. The market is the market. I mean for a ton of events, "face" is constantly adjusted for team or concert tickets by primary seller via dynamic pricing.
  10. My buddy was charged $200 each by the athletic dept in 617 row 12. So $200 for a "good" upper. I'm betting face for high upper endzone is cheaper. Obviously "face" increases the lower you go.
  11. Yes, I'm pretty positive "face" for Sugar Bowl uppers is around $200. Maybe slightly less for upper endzone.
  12. I'm sure they will travel decent but will be shocked if it approaches 40%. I'm betting soon (if not already) there is a material premium for tix on the Texas sideline compared to UW. Just like at the Big 12 CCG.
  13. Because there aren't enough flights to get 30K+ people from the Seattle area New Orleans. And regardless, with that kind of time and cost commitment, you have a significant chunk that will keep their powder dry for Houston in case they win. I will be surprised if uppers in UW allotment aren't at or below face by kick.
  14. For that one, I had family that couldn't come last second. I had their 2 endzone seats purchased at face. There was absolutely zero market. I ended up trading to a couple of guys on the golf course in exchange for about 15 beers and a couple of plastic bags with ice. Considering we were completely unprepared to tailgate and were about to walk over to the Texas Exes tent and pay $7/beer or whatever they charged, it was one of the best ticket deals I've ever made considering the market. I knew multiple people that couldn't unload extras at all. Ended up moving from my endzone to pretty good (unused) seats solely based on the extras floating around.
  15. I remember this as well. Had a buddy sell tix to a random couple in the elevator that were just Ole Miss fans in town celebrating New Years for about 50% of face for 300 corners and that was a STEAL compared to what he could sell on the market. Many tix went unused last minute that game. I don't think it will get anything close to that low for this one, but there is still a shit ton of inventory. I'm checking about 2X per day just to keep tabs on inventory and trends but not seriously considering buying at these prices yet.
  16. The biggest problem with Tickpic is lack of inventory. People just don't list with them. If exact seats you want are listed on multiple places by a professional broker, they may end up the cheapest. More often than not, their inventory is shit and much better deals on other sites. As a consumer, all that matters is the all in price regardless which is characterized as fees.
  17. If they hadn't already played that card in 2020 when they were about to get rolled, I absolutely think they would be looking for a way forfeit. As it stands, the potential to get your ass kicked is probably less embarrassing than the shit they would get for backing out of 2 bowl games in 4 years. Also, I don't know how bowl revenue is shared in the SEC but would think they can't afford to get more on Sankey's bad side than they already are.
  18. Unless you have a big group I wouldn't even start seriously looking yet. Seats from team allotments are just starting to hit the market today.
  19. A lot of that depends on where you want to sit although I still think all price levels drop from where they are. If you are willing to sit in shitty seats in the UW ticket allotment I would bet those end up pretty damn cheap.
  20. Pretty sure started getting access today as those started to pop up on ticketmaster when I checked a bit earlier. Same for the UW allotment. I still think prices drop significantly from current levels across all price points.
  21. Yeah, value of season tickets is convenience + playoff option. So somewhat always assumed we would lose money on resales but not to this level (particularly weekday games). We are probably 1 and done as a full blown season ticket holders. Just too hard to consistently make games with young kids. But will be nice come playoff if we make a run to not have to worry about tix.
  22. My definition of Net = Listed price less TM fees. So way under 'face'. Selling for $85/ticket total. Season ticket cost per game is > $150.
  23. Can't make it and selling 2 Stars tix for tonight if anyone on thread interested. Only netting $85 each after ridiculous Ticketmaster fees. 123 Row J.
  24. That looks like gemstone setting I had for TX-OU Friday party last year. But after a win, I go all orange. We have an extremely busy street for people looking at Christmas lights. I'm betting some non-Texas fans were wondering why all of the warm white with intermixed red and green around our house were topped off with Burnt Orange around the roof line the night after we won the Big 12 CCG.
  25. This is greatness. Another collective just needs to structure an agreement with indemnification for any losses with guaranteed representation from a friendly attorney pro bono. Let those fucking idiots "sue" a former athlete and see how that goes for them. Please let this happen.
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