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NoName

Burnt Ends
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Everything posted by NoName

  1. he pointed out how this one 81 yard run in the OU game run showed him that Foreman had some crazy burst and how he was outrunning little dudes. on the run he pointed out, Foreman was caught from behind by 2 DBs and a 3rd would have tackled him if the first 2 didn't. and yes, i pointed out that outside of that on erun, Foreman wasn't great that game. he had 36 yards on 8 carries and had 0 touches in the 4th quarter the parallel he is pointing out is dumb. using any single run as a "this guy is awesome" example is dumb. comparing two guys together because of one run is dumb. that guy has a long history of posting dumb shit on this site. i
  2. my guy, you can't say someone was out there outrunning little guys (DBs) then he gets caught from behind by said little guys, one of whom he had a 5-6 yard lead on and the other who crossed from outside the numbers on the other side of the field to tackle him.
  3. googled and got some more info. didn't turn over, it was a friend's game. https://davekarpf.substack.com/p/elon-musk-and-the-infinite-rebuy
  4. would never work/happen. no team or ownership group would ever agree to put themselves at risk to lose that much money. like wood said, better to expand # of teams because that is way more realistic than promotion/relegation anyone have an example of a sports league from the last 50 years that didn't start off as pro/releg that then flipped? soccer already had that. F1 does not. it devalues the teams if they can be relegated and someone bought in before that was the case. nobody is ever going to agree to de-value their team (hence the fight not to add a 11th team) soccer is way different than f1
  5. NoName

    Whatcha reading?

    he's a damn good writer. highly recommend the Danny Ryan books, highly recommend the cartel/power of the dog series and highly recommend The Force (which was optioned to be a movie and still hasn't happened yet)
  6. once again you are blinded by a single run from a single game Foreman went 9 for 117 in the 2015 OU game. 81 of that came on one play. he was not touched until he was 10 yards down the field, a guy got 1 arm on him there. then another guy dove at his ankles and he shrugged that off and then he wasn't touched again until he was tackled. this was a bad OU defense. Heard attempted 11 passes, Texas completed 9 passes for 55 yards and rushed it 58 times. Texas won 24-17. Foreman didn't outrun anyone lol. he had an 81 yard run and was tackled from behind at the 10 yard line with 3 dudes around him that all would have tackled him here's the 3 guys associated with that tackle (10, 13, 15) that touch happened with 10 seconds in the 3rd Q. that was his last touch of the game as Texas salted away the win with Heard (21 carries) and Gray (22 carries) the rest of the game he had 8 carries for 36 yards, or 4 yards per carry. dude was an incredible player at Texas. not denying that at all, but that single run is stuck in your mind as some kind of wild play where he ran away from a bunch of little dudes is absolutely incorrect.
  7. more shitting on cybertruck thedrive: Tesla Cybertruck Gets Worse Towing Range Than Model X With the Same Trailer https://www.thedrive.com/news/tesla-cybertruck-gets-worse-towing-range-than-model-x-with-the-same-trailer also this is absolutely the most Elon Musk story i've ever heard
  8. it's a great move. i hope they sign some talented dudes ASAP
  9. just to be clear, this took less than 10 min thanks to https://collegefootballdata.com/ and Excel - not a long project and can be done even faster if you know anything about R and Python
  10. i agree with the tiny sample size issue totally and completely. the point of that is that the data we do have and do have access to does not back up the "Guy A is more explosive than Guy B" eye test. all we do know is that at every opportunity for their careers at Texas the coaching staff, which has access to way more data and way more information than we do, has said chosen to give more snaps to Baxter over Blue. here's is to hoping Texas has some wildass RB room next year and they both run for thousand yards. i agree that a lot of the value of those terms is better in other sports vs football in general. there is no CFB version of wRC+ out there to compare how good True Freshman Bijan was vs true freshman Cedric Benson or even an easier way to compare someone like Blue to someone like Baxter. i agree that the sample size is too small in CFB i agree that there are huge swings in variability to make any one of them the single best stat or single best metric. also i think there is absolutely value in looking some of the advanced stats as a piece of the puzzle and a piece of how good a player/team is. i think they are more valuable at the team level than the player level (much larger sample size at that point) but there is no be all end all stat i think some of the RB stats we had access to are useful (highlight yards vs line yards for example) - but again that doesn't show everything and isn't the end all be all. of all the (public systems) out there, prediction tracker tracks like 50 different (public) systems that all make game predictions and last year 2 total systems beat the line straight up and the best one was only 0.5% better than the line SU. ATS, the line was better by almost 5%. none of em are perfect, none of them are the end all-be all. that said, the very basic stats around Blue vs Baxter absolutely do not back up the "Blue is incredibly explosive and way more explosive than Baxter." the comparison to Herman hurts i like stats, i think they add color to the discussion and add value to the discussion. you have to balance between the gut/eye test and the stats side of things. anyone who uses stats alone is as bad as someone who uses the eye test alone.
  11. yeah, that's wrong. pulled the per play data for only the ISU game, the TTU game, the Oklahoma State game and the Washington game - games after Brooks got hurt and those two basically split rushing attempts. here's the results edit: fixed my %s, i had hardcoded formulas - my bad By percentage, Baxter had fewer rushes that went for negative yards (2% for Baxter - 1 rush, 11.1% for Blue - 4 rushes), more rushes that went 5+ yards, more rushes that went 10+ yards. Blue had more rushes by % that went 20+ yards (2.8 vs 2.0%) and 1 that went for 30+ yards, Baxter had 0. this is just to prove that nobody was out here ripping of 18 yards very often and getting dinged by my 20 yard threshold Blue's rushes of 10+ yards: 11, 12, 69, 12, 16, 12 Baxter's rushes of 10+ yards: 12, 13, 13, 14, 21, 13, 10, 14, 13, 16 people get blinded by a 69 yard TD - which was awesome - but the guy was touched like 1 yard beyond the line of scrimmage and never touched again despite this guy having 40 yards and this angle on him (he took a really bad angle)
  12. this is a damning quote
  13. oh man, this article from Feb on Martinez is aging really bad. feel terrible for OSU https://www.oregonlive.com/beavers/2024/02/oregon-states-trent-bray-on-recruiting-the-transfer-portal-damien-martinezs-loyalty-and-nil.html Oregon State’s Trent Bray on recruiting, the transfer portal, Damien Martinez’s loyalty and NIL the Martinez bit this is the money quote, which really makes him look like a true piece of shit
  14. it's Helobious, it's probably something dumb like he thinks that our RB room sucks
  15. they are a few (any?) OL injuries away from being one of the worst offensive teams in the SEC. they have like two actual good OL on the team 1 of them plays inside. on defense they only have holes at Edge, DT, NT, LB and CB. they think they have even bigger holes at Edge if they are bringing in guys like Josh Celiscar at EDGE (he and Rylan Kennedy make up 40% of their EDGE players on campus right now) did i mention they also have 3 kickers on scholarship? and that they have an OC coaching his second year outside of the KSU bubble who hired 0 of the existing position coaches/has never worked with any of the already hired offensive coaches? next year is truly going to be a disaster for them. the OL alone means it's going to be a multiple year rebuild for them to be even decent.
  16. A&M paying the NIL bag for another DL would be an incredible waste of resources.
  17. Ethics? Ethics in here? Since when is that a thing. I'm not unaware Blue was 3rd string last year in spite of being rated higher (before skipping his senior year) than JB and true Freshman Baxter named the starter. I thought it was purely on talent eval by Choice/Sark, I missed anything said about his character. Why didn't Sark say bye bye when he announced he was entering the portal? I don't think a RB that wasn't getting the touches he expected threatening to portal was any worse than a starting WR (no names here) doing the same after every season, just maybe a little less publicly? just to point out, Baxter was a higher ranked recruit than Blue was. we all know the Brooks story. Blue topped out at #60 in the composite, Baxter finished at #30 Blue topped out at #31 (95 rating) in the Top247, Baxter finished at #30 (98 rating) and got as high as #26 also if you can't see the difference between Xavier Worthy threatening to enter the portal to get more NIL money (but keeping it all in house) and a RB with 5 career touches letting folks know he was going to enter the portal - i'm not sure what to say. let's review the tape on this: news hits that Blue is expected to enter the portal via IT and other paysites, including TFB Blue meets with coaches reported that coaches told Blue he could enter the portal but if he did there was no place for him to come back to Texas 4 hours after the news hitting Blue posts that he is "locked in" also if you don't think he has practiced what he was going to say about quitting on his high school team at all over the 3 years since he said it you really are fucking dumb.
  18. yeah, i'm really necro'ing a conversation where original post was made 20 hours ago and the most recent post that it spawned was made like 4 hours ago. if you think me, or anyone else on this god forsaken website, is going to not take the opportunity to call out people for posting dumb shit you really are an idiot. saying this is peak dumb shit. also, he didn't skip his senior year. he quit on his team, then tried to come back, then wasn't allowed back. this shit wasn't created whole cloth out of nothing.
  19. so just to be clear, you have a situation where a guy quits his HS team, then his his freshman year gets 15 total carries and averages 2.2 yards, then says he's going to enter the portal, then decides not to when Texas tells him goodby, then gets so outclassed by a true freshman RB that he is a very distant third on the depth chart (for comparison Keilan Robinson had 3 rushes vs Bama and X and Mitchell both had the same # of carries as Blue in that game), then ends up only getting snaps for the year because the starter tears his ACL and it moves him to 2nd on the depth chart. ...does Blue have really nice wiggle? absolutely. but his stats are bumped up a ton by the fact he had 26% of his yardage for the year on 2 carries (3% of his total carries) - that is not sustainable nor is it a real perception of his skill. if you drop the one 69 yard carry it drops his YPC an entire yard per carry (6.12 to 5.14) this isn't that complex. the imbalance in usage between the two is because of skill and skillset differences between the two. even now, how many articles have been written about how Blue is expected to be the starter for 24 (i haven't seen any) - maybe he takes a huge jump forward, and i hope he does. but the reason for the imbalance is clear if you pay any attention again, Texas saw fit to start a true Freshman against Alabama, give him the most touches on the team in that game 15 touches (same as Brooks) and give you guy 1 and you are confused as to why the imbalance exists? clearly they and everyone else under the sun think one guy is significantly better than the other.
  20. 2020 tOSU had Julian Fleming (4 overall), JSN (15 overall), Gee Scott Jr (37 overall) 2023 tOSU had Carnell Tate (22 overall), Brandon Inniss (35 overall) and Noah Rogers (40 overall) so one that includes 3 of those guys would be the best WR class based on the top - Moore at #4 overall, Lockett at #11 overall, Ffrench at 30. just edges out the 2021 tOSU class. the big takeaway here should be that Brian Hartline is really damn good at recruiting edit: the Alabama class posted earlier is a good point, but i'm only looking at recruiting rankings and them having overall players 24/29/35 isn't as good as the other classes. the 00 Texas class BJ Johnson at #7, Roy Williams at #18, Sloan Thomas at #34 is close.
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