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Eastwood

Certifiably Surly
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Everything posted by Eastwood

  1. 2011 had the whole state in exceptional drought. Just CenTex is in exceptional drought, this time. So, congrats to the rest of the State.
  2. I’m here in SA staring at the radar like
  3. Yes, this has been a lost summer for us. In the Spring, it was a fight to get the kids outside to get their energy out. Now it’s a fight because they’re tired of being inside. They are practically begging to ride their bikes and go to the park. The pool is all we really get, but there is very little shade at the neighborhood pool, so middle of the afternoon is still rough. Can’t hit the driving range after work or on the weekends during acceptable drinking hours. Even trying to go for a jog at 9 pm isn’t in the cards because the temp is still in the high 90s The yard is almost completely dead. I have 3 crepe myrtles that are possibly dead, despite trying to water them on occasion and a well established red tipped photonia that may not make it, either.
  4. On my phone, right now, but the ERCOT dashboard Texas map is now showing ~$4,100 in Travis County and just under $8k in Williamson. This is real time locational pricing taken right off their map.
  5. Depends on Austin Energy’s contracts, I guess. But anyone who buys power on spot pricing are getting the hard shaft, right now, similar to the Snowmageddon situation.
  6. ERCOT dashboard starting to get crazy on the pricing. CenTex folks are looking at $6,000+ per KWH, right now. Again, if ERCOT doesn’t handle the next 5 hours correctly, we’ll start seeing blackouts.
  7. ERCOT dashboard showing that estimated demand capacity will exceed estimated committed capacity around 8 PM. There will be excess capacity available, but if someone doesn’t remember to flip a switch or falls asleep at the control panel, we might finally see some demand-related blackouts.
  8. If Enverus is to be believed, 1/3 of the remaining PUDs in the EF asset were EF PUDs and the rest were AC wells. Despite all the early back slapping over AC results in 2021 and early 2022, the 18 month results on those wells weren’t as promising as the experts thought and it is looking less and less like a widely developable formation and more and more like a location specific endeavor.
  9. I’ll DM you later today or tomorrow.
  10. I have an 18, not a 22, and am trying to make it out to Tuscaloosa. It needs a new bottom grate. It works, but will drop some lump charcoal to the bottom. The meat grates are in good shape. I’ve done a brisket and a butt at the same time on it, but a 12# brisket is a tight fit.
  11. Wait, he was there for that? I don’t remember him being there, but that might have been the Boone’s Farm erasing that memory.
  12. We can send a few hundred stickers to slap on ammo boxes along with the donation.
  13. Oh, this is just the new beginning of America’s politics. Do you have any idea what people who graduated high school from ‘99 to ‘06 were sharing on MySpace and Facebook when they were in college without realizing that the internet is forever? By 2040, we’re going to know what every sitting member of Congress’s genitals look like because they either sent them on Snapchat, Twitter DM, or were buried on an SD card in a 2007 Casio digital camera found in the bottom of drawer in an IKEA dresser that was sold at Goodwill.
  14. A good, well seasoned title company should still catch it. No two closings are ever the same, but there is a fairly decent feel, rhythm, cadence, etc. to how each transaction typically goes and the moment something starts to feel off, the escrow officer should do a little extra digging. Some of these title shops are just churn and burn, though, and aren’t really paying attention to the transaction. Escrow assistants help order the survey, HOA docs, get the paperwork in line, escrow officer makes sure the CD and docs are in good shape, and away they go. But you see the same docs thousands and thousands of times over and the little discrepancies start to stand out. Handwriting of the seller and the notary almost perfectly match, a supposedly 95 year old seller with a perfect signature, things like that. But in my own personal experience, sometimes you start saying “well, that’s weird…” one too many times, do a little digging, and find the body they were trying to hide. For my couple of examples, it wasn’t anything overtly criminal, but more along the lines of family members of elderly sellers trying to take a shortcut instead of going through the courts to allow the sale of an owner who is disabled or a husband and wife who are not on good terms and one spouse is trying to sell a property without the other.
  15. Not even close to disliking Obama. He just called it wrong. That’s the gig. That’s what being President is. He had his intel, he had his advisors, and he made the call. The call has costs billions of dollars, thousands of lives, and countless atrocities. But that’s part of the job. If you’re familiar with the photo of Kennedy, I think it is called “The Loneliest Job,” where he is standing silhouetted over his desk, head down, shoulders slumped, with the weight of the nation on his back, that’s how I always thought the Presidency should feel for the person who holds the office. It’s a monumental task with historical consequences that will cost people their lives, and all the fallout that it entails, for decades. We can call out the mistakes of a President without disliking them. Accountability shouldn’t be partisan.
  16. The simplest answer is best, here. Obama just got Russia wrong. There’s no “save face” for his Romney retort. He truly believed it when he said it and never pivoted. The approach at the time was that these were small regional incidents without much impact on the West. Obama essentially played the role of Neville Chamberlain and took Putin at his word that Crimea and the Donbas was all he wanted. Obama was new school, with all of his national political experience being post-Cold War. With the response we see now from Biden as President, I’m betting Biden was in his ear about a firm and hard response but didn’t get any traction.
  17. I almost wrote something similar in the Dark Brandon thread, but didn’t want to derail the thread. The 2014 response to Russia was a grim failure of the Obama administration and Biden was sitting 2nd chair for that. When discussing on TOS, a lot of people were of the opinion that “we shouldn’t start WW3 over Crimea and East Ukraine.” Others, myself included, were of the opinion that it was only the beginning, appeasement never works, and we should learn from history and punch this bully in the mouth now then rather than wait for more damage to be done. The price we now pay for waiting is catastrophic. And we now know that Russia is a paper bear and would have been absolutely rolled out of Ukraine with very little heartache. We also now know that drawing a hard line and setting the terms up front for when NATO would intervene has kept any nuclear threat in check, as well. If there was ever a time for a Russian collapse and a push for dismantling their nuclear arsenal, it will be coming at the tail end of a Ukrainian victory.
  18. Sorry, man, but a 26% interest student loan is almost unheard of. The banks have your boy by balls and he put their hand there, unfortunately.
  19. Ford and GM wouldn’t do this if they were confident that Tesla’s automobile division is no longer a threat to their business model. You don’t throw a disrupting competitor a lifeline by giving them cash flow opportunities. They know that Tesla’s time as a serious competing automobile manufacturer is limited, at least as far as economy consumer vehicles are concerned. If you want your gull winged door electric SUV $100k shitbox, you can keep your gull winged door electric SUV $100k shitbox. The serious automotive companies will make EVs that middle class families can afford.
  20. Did he take on private loans? Hard to imagine that government subsidized loans would have interest rates that run up to 26%. And government subsidized loans can have income based repayment that can stretch out over a couple decades and at the end of the 20 year term, the rest of the balance is forgiven. Sounds like a great deal, but you end up paying double the loan balance over that time in interest.
  21. If Pringles is taken out and there are remaining Wagner units in Africa that refuse to align with the MoD that are disavowed by the Russian government, I could see the 3rd Special Forces Group continuing the “Find Out” portion of Wagner’s “Fuck Around” experiment in Syria in 2018.
  22. She knew that the internet would be cruel. She’d rather put herself on blast than have the team lose a point. She got any eligibility left and does UT need a shot putter?
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