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Hagbard Celine

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Everything posted by Hagbard Celine

  1. wyoming had it's highest ever population during the eclipse in 17
  2. so i'm finally getting in to some modeling of possible scenarios i'm going to post some stuff in the tree rat forum.... a couple of specific items i'm going to send to those that have requested it my biggest concern is what i'm calling the YOLOgoldilocks scenario...... RV ownership is at a record high with 11.2 million households owning an RV in 2021 Approximately 1 million Americans live in recreational vehicles full-time Over 40 million Americans regularly go RVing, with over 25 million RVing a year 38% of the 40 million Americans who own an RV are Millennials Approximately 9% of households in the United States own an RV for recreational purposes
  3. Hagbard Celine

    SpaceX

    t-6 mins they keep talking about scrubbing
  4. you forgot something..... without you there is no london, multilingual, heading out to cast her lots..... what is common amongst all of us? what starts here, changes the world
  5. no need to read this..... it confirms fdr and cvr were seized more than 20 hours ago https://www.news.com.au/travel/travel-updates/incidents/black-box-seized-by-authorities-investigating-latam-airlines-la800-flight-after-turbulence-issue-to-auckland/news-story/76fee35d0469f8fb93bd8f88c864defa the victor vector f=ma glove don't fit, and we have someone claiming access to the data claiming the boxes confirm what has been reported this is going to be interesting but the story is already in remission given the msm is simply repeating yesterday's news
  6. 1-second is what the guy in NZ said - that they know this - implied it's from the FDR and here we go: https://www.yahoo.com/lifestyle/passenger-boeing-flight-suddenly-dropped-061959425.html Passenger on Boeing flight that suddenly dropped says pilot told him he lost control after instrument failure Kathleen Magramo, Manveena Suri and Alex Stambaugh, CNN Tue, March 12, 2024 at 1:24 PM CDT·4 min read 930 The pilot of a terrifying flight from Australia to New Zealand told those on board he temporarily lost control of his Boeing 787 after one of its instruments failed, a passenger said Monday, as authorities investigate what caused a sudden drop that threw travelers around the cabin, injuring dozens. In accordance with rules outlined by the International Civil Aviation Organization (ICAO), Chile’s Directorate General of Civil Aeronautics (DGAC) have sent investigators from the agency’s Operations and Airworthiness team to look into the incident, according to a statement released on Tuesday. “Given that the State of Registration of the aircraft involved is Chilean, it has been established with the New Zealand Transport Accident Investigation Commission (TAIC) that the investigation will be carried out by the Chilean Aeronautical Authority,” the statement read. The incident aboard LATAM Airlines flight 800 from Sydney to Auckland is the latest to hit troubled aircraft manufacturer Boeing, which has been rocked by years of quality and safety issues. Passenger Brian Jokat described the horrifying moment when he was woken from his sleep as the aircraft “dropped something to the effect of 500 feet instantly.” “That’s when I opened my eyes and there was various individuals at the top of the plane. Just stuck to the roof and then they fell to the floor. And then I just realized I’m not in a movie, this is actually for real,” he told CNN’s Erin Burnett. After landing in Auckland, Jokat said the pilot checked on the passengers and explained he had temporarily lost control of the jet. “I immediately engaged with him and said, ‘What was that?’ And he openly admitted, he said, ‘I lost control of the plane. My gauges just kind of went blank on me,’” Jokat said. “He said for that brief moment he couldn’t control anything and that’s when the plane did what it did. Then he said the gauges came back and it reengaged, the plane just reengaged to its normal flight pattern. And we had no issues before, no issues after. But just that moment.” The plane, operated by Chile’s flag carrier, was a Boeing 787-9 Dreamliner, according to flight tracking website FlightAware. LATAM on Monday said the plane “had a technical event during the flight which caused a strong movement,” adding it had landed as scheduled in Auckland. In a statement to CNN Tuesday, Boeing said it was “working to gather more information about the flight and will provide any support needed by our customer.” About 50 people were injured in the incident, with one person in serious condition, emergency services said. Jokat said he feared for his life when he saw fellow passengers fly out of their seats and hit the ceiling of the plane. “People were screaming and crying. And yeah, it was mass chaos for a few short seconds,” he said. “Clearly there was a moment in my head that I just kind of resigned to the fact this could be it. This might be it.” About 50 people were injured in the incident, according to emergency services in Auckland. - Dean Purcell/AP About 50 people were injured in the incident, according to emergency services in Auckland. - Dean Purcell/AP Boeing’s troubles As investigators scramble to discover what might have caused the sudden drop, the incident comes at a fraught time for Boeing. The US manufacturer has faced harsh criticism for a series of quality and safety issues in recent years, with many critics saying the company has shifted its focus in the last few decades to financial results at the cost of safety and quality in its aircraft. They include two fatal crashes of the 737 Max jet due to a design flaw in the plane, numerous halts in deliveries due to quality control issues and, most recently, a door plug that blew off of a new 737 Max operated by Alaska Airlines in January, leaving a gaping hole in the side of the plane. Meanwhile, the Federal Aviation Administration in February flagged safety issues with engine anti-ice systems on the 737 Max and larger 787 Dreamliner. The safety regulator continues to allow both models of the plane to fly despite the potential problems. Both issues are moving through the FAA’s standard process for developing airworthiness directives — rather than an emergency process — signaling that the agency and plane maker do not believe the issues are serious enough to require the planes to stop flying immediately. The FAA said Monday it has given Boeing until late May to produce a plan to remedy issues identified in a federal audit and other reviews, including a safety culture survey of employees and a separate panel report that found workers concerned about retaliation for reporting safety concerns. FAA Administrator Mike Whitaker said he expects the company to produce “a very detailed plan within the next 90 days to fix the quality issues that are out there.” Boeing has said it is working on several of the issues Whitaker identified. CNN’s Pete Muntean, Greg Wallace and Chris Isidore contributed reporting. For more CNN news and newsletters create an account at CNN.com Up next Up next Up next Up next Up next
  7. knowing enough about commercial aviation to be dangerous..... .....for the sake of boeing and the 787, which has been "safe" since the battery problem was solved, i hope you're right .....if you are right sad for the pilot who is likely done in commercial flying that said, an autopilot over ride that achieves the 180kt speed increase in 1 second with only a 25' drop? oddly, bbc is silent, but the US mainstream has at least put up their first story as usual they are 18 hours behind while they wait for captured/sanctioned talking points
  8. search string: maximum recorded velocity of windshear in clear-air turbulence 1st result: 1976 smu scholarly article https://scholar.smu.edu/cgi/viewcontent.cgi?referer=&httpsredir=1&article=2133&context=jalc i see references to 110kt as the "threshhold" for "windshear" is it possible to encounter a column of air moving with a vector that achieves a 180kt increase in airspeed with only a 25-foot drop? now out of my skillset pilots & bernoulli engineers weigh in please
  9. as i wrote last night, they have the FDR and the CVR otherwise the detail in this article would not be known...... ++++++ https://www.1news.co.nz/2024/03/12/aircraft-systems-issue-possible-cause-of-latam-incident-commentator/ Aircraft systems issue possible cause of LATAM incident – commentator By 1News Reporters 12:59pm Experts are looking closely at the performance of the Boeing 787-9 Dreamliner which accelerated in groundspeed sharply from 433 knots to 603 knots. An aviation expert has weighed in on what may have caused the LATAM Airlines incident, where up to 50 people were injured mid-flight after a sudden drop in altitude during a trip from Sydney to Auckland. At least 13 people were transported to Middlemore Hospital, and St John said among the 50 injured was one person in serious condition. Some remain in hospital today. Aviation expert Geoffrey Thomas of Airline Ratings has been covering aviation for 50 years. He told 1News the strange circumstances of the event point to a computer malfunction in the Boeing 787-9 Dreamliner. "What we know is [during] the incident which caused all the problems, the speed of the aircraft went from 433 knots to 603 knots groundspeed. Passengers awaiting an onward flight to Santiago have told 1News they are nervous about getting on board a new flight following yesterday’s incident, which injured dozens. "At the same time, there was a 25 foot drop. Now, to the passengers, they would make it seem like thousands of feet, but it was actually 25 feet." Thomas said the 25 foot drop is not to underscore the seriousness of the incident, as a 25 foot drop would have been "terrifying" for the passengers on board. "[It is] still very violent." A 'computer malfunction'? Earlier on in the flight, Thomas said there was another "much lesser" speed aberration, which suggests something "was wrong" with the aircraft systems. "I think [investigators] will find there's an anomaly there... that there's been some false readings which have caused the aircraft engines to surge. It's very difficult to nail it down." Thomas added the incident being caused by wind shear is less likely as those events tend to last longer and have more oscillations. "This was just a very sharp up and down vertical speed change and then it recovered. So to me it seems to point to a computer malfunction." One passenger, Brian Jokat, told RNZ he asked the pilot what happened. "I asked him, I said 'what happened?' and he said my instrument panel went blank just you know for a second." the rest of the article is regurgitation:
  10. today (tuesday's) flight 800 from AKL to SCL is scheduled to depart in 10 minutes: https://www.flightaware.com/live/flight/LAN800/history/20240312/0550Z/NZAA/SCEL
  11. https://www.flightaware.com/live/flight/LAN800/history/20240311/0045Z/YSSY/NZAA M084F390 DCT TESAT L521 EVONN/N0482F390 L521 GEROS/N0480F410 L521 LEGAN/M084F410 L521 LUNBI/N0472F410 L521 AA DCT
  12. welp, the metal landed 18? hours ago? so the FDR has already been accessed and the CVR track is known the longer it takes to be publicized, the worse it is
  13. this latam shit is potentially a big fucking deal guys driving 787s are not entry level dudes clear air turbulence happens, but this level of severity? bodies breaking and denting the celing, fixtures and luggage bin doors? i haven't posted all the links and pics - someone else can get to it this level of injuries -- FIFTY -- that's almost unprecedented in my recollection latam is claiming "technical malfunction" a glass cockpit going dark and a plane suddenly plunging at 500 knots .... this is some deeply scary shit, potentially scarier that the macgyvers required to fix the 73max
  14. oh boy..... https://www.bbc.com/news/business-68534703 A former Boeing employee known for raising concerns about the firm's production standards has been found dead in the US. John Barnett had worked for Boeing for 32 years, until his retirement in 2017. In the days before his death, he had been giving evidence in a whistleblower lawsuit against the company. Boeing said it was saddened to hear of Mr Barnett's passing. The Charleston County coroner confirmed his death to the BBC on Monday. It said the 62-year-old had died from a "self-inflicted" wound on 9 March and police were investigating.
  15. every fucking episode thursday nights with LA Law alphabettyspahgetti with lettuce in tomato sauce and Network 23 for the win
  16. https://liveandletsfly.com/latam-787-technical-incident/ https://www.textise.net/showText.aspx?strURL=https%3A//www.washingtonpost.com/transportation/2024/03/11/latam-airlines-flight-boeing-australia-new-zealand/#main-content
  17. latam 789 on way from sydney to auckland then across the big empty to santiago...... yesterday something happened, it was not clear-air turbulence, 50 people injured, blood on the celiing welp, houston, we have a problem........ ++++++ More On The Techincal Incident It was originally reported that the incident was due to unexpected clear air turbulence, but that does not appear to be the case. LATAM later blamed the incident on a “technical” issue that led to ” strong movement” but provided no more details. But a passenger onboard reports that one of the pilots told him, “My gauges just blanked out, I lost all of my ability to fly the plane.” Without being an armchair mechanic, I wonder if this has anything to do with the 2016 airworthiness directive from the Federal Aviation Administration (FAA) that concerns control module simultaneously resetting? In an airworthiness directive to be published Friday, the FAA said it is reacting to indications that “all three flight control modules on the 787 might simultaneously reset if continuously powered on for 22 days.” It said such a simultaneous reset in flight “could result in flight control surfaces not moving in response to flight crew inputs for a short time and consequent temporary loss of controllability.” Would these screens going black potentially cause such a freefall or boot the aircraft from autopilot? I trust that LATAM and New Zealand investigators will be transparent as they seek to understand better exactly what occurred.
  18. this when ever flying transoceanic i always do a crash program starting 3 days out to get up at 2am no matter which direction i'm flying i reset the clocks last week and started abiding by them - set your phone and dont hit snooze
  19. goddamnit stop making sense in '88 i played a round in inverness starting at midnight
  20. actually it's the fault of railroads and the telegraph
  21. that accuweather red/yellow/green has historical veracity i've been following this event for 20 years and the average historical cloud cover "north of austin" is 50/50 on 8 April there is a location near the border with an 84% chance of clear skies (highest in the path in the US) with no permanent border patrol facility if one follows a particular route to and from austin pm me for more details, this must not go viral, otherwise the advantage is lost and if you have figured it out for yourself, DON'T FUCKING POST IT IN THE CLEAR OR SPOILED
  22. every zoom this morning with europe was fubar - the lost time/cost for multinationals is incalculable the same thing will happen thist afternoon when apac comes online their tuesday morning - nothing will match up - every calendar with international and domestic video meetings has to be recalibrated manually with the net result of every meeting being cut in half, with the remaining half of that meeting time trying to repair other calendar items it's insane the english-speaking countries (UKUSA = +aus +can +nz) need to get together and align this shit jump 15 minutes every week for 4 weeks (APRIL!) and the rest of the world will get in line
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