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Hookem2147

Burnt Ends
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Everything posted by Hookem2147

  1. He did a good job of hitting the trifecta of talking points you hear from anyone with half a brain: 1. Questioned why his HS team got blown out in the playoffs if Arch is so good. lol 2. If he is so good why didn't he start last year. Check 3. Said if he was truly competitive and wanted to show he was the best, he would have competed at Elite 11. Nailed it.
  2. 1. Get Arch some confidence/rhythm 2. Let the OL gel 3. Figure out a different punt return plan than sticking Ryan Niblett back there 4. Get Christian Clark 30 carries Those are my priorities, in order, for the next 3 weeks. I don't even care that we are about to go 15/15 in the red zone either. The next time I'll care about that is Florida.
  3. Your opponent starting their next drive on their own 1 is actually something the computers factor in.
  4. The computers don’t assume you get 7 points. That is not how analytics work. Maybe that is the disconnect. It says that over the long haul, if you go for this 4th down every time, your win expectancy is greater and your expected points scored is greater than kicking FG. No one remembers the times we converted 4th down in the red zone and scored (Arch against A&M, opening drive against Kentucky, opening drive against Clemson, etc.)
  5. So we need to kick a FG from the one foot line in order to give ourselves a later opportunity to convert a two point try from the 3 yard line. And that assumes every other Ohio State possession plays out the same way (i.e you kick a FG from the 1 foot line, Ohio State isn’t starting their next possession from their own 1). Beating the Ohio State Buckeyes requires you to score touchdowns from the 1 foot line. We can try to convince ourselves otherwise with what-ifs and hypotheticals, but that’s the reality.
  6. Ohio State arguably won the game because they faced 4th and 1 in the second quarter of a 0-0 game and punched it in the end zone. Meanwhile we have people thinking we were going to beat Ohio State by attempting a bunch of field goals in a game where we had minimal offensive pulse until the 4th quarter. Kicking a FG from the one foot line to make a 1 touchdown game a 1 touchdown game defies every rule of game theory. It’s moronic.
  7. One of the most interesting articles I come across every week. Alex Dunlap's defensive deep dig on OB
  8. You wanted us to kick a field goal down 14-0 in the 4th quarter with 7:30 left?
  9. I was waiting for the fake sneak pass or pitch out to Baxter like the Kansas State game a few years back.
  10. Are people just making up an extra possession we never had? These are where our drives ended OSU 43- turnover on downs OSU 47 TEX 28 TEX 46 OSU 45 OSU 1- turnover on downs TEX 48 OSU 9- turnover on downs Touchdown Midfield-turnover on downs Where exactly is the mythical 3 field goals we are making to give us 16 points?
  11. It’s jarring to watch this and compare it to yesterday. No hitch in his delivery, layers the ball in when he needs to, footwork looks pristine. I sure hope yesterday was just an off day because it makes no sense, regardless of competition level.
  12. Ryan Day did not plan for 8 months to have 200 yards of total offense and count on Texas bailing him out in the red zone in order to win a 14-7 game. Let's be serious.
  13. I wouldn’t consider it a low line. Our non con lines last year -35 Colorado State -35.5 UTSA -43.5 ULM
  14. Rewatching the game now and what the hell was up with the slip n slide on the field? We had guys slipping all over the place and Ohio State had some too. It impacted several plays in the first half. Didn’t notice it as much in the second half.
  15. We had the better overall offensive performance and plan in both Ohio State matchups (and the second Georgia matchup) and went 0-3. That is the toughest pill to swallow for me. We had them beat in a variety of different ways and made the 2 or 3 mistakes at the worst times we couldn't afford to make. Ryan Day didn't do anything special in either matchup. He went into his shell, let Jeremiah Smith be a non-factor again and we are the ones who handed him the game. He didn't sit around Columbus all offseason gameplanning for a 200 yard performance on offense. It would be a different story if we were just getting our doors blasted off and outclassed in these games. They have all been winnable aside from Georgia part 1, and even that one was a one-possession game in the second half. I think Sark has won 20 straight games against unranked opponents going back to 2022. 10-6 against top 25 teams. It's the top 1% we are coming face to face with and we have to find a way to get over the top.
  16. San Jose State has a returning QB (Walker Eget) and runs a unique offense with a lot of quick passes. Eget was only sacked 5 times last year on 328 pass attempts. They can't run the ball at all. Their defense got gutted in the portal, and their special teams sucks (missed two FGs with a lefty kicker to lose the Central Michigan game, one of them was a chip shot). I'll say we win something like 48-10.
  17. Niblett is scared to field punts. He muffed several in scrimmage situations in camp, per several people who would know. I don't know why he is back there.
  18. Texas outgained Ohio State by 130 yards. I don’t think Ryan Day’s gameplan was to get 200 yards of total offense. Congrats to Ohio State for winning but acting like they had some superior gameplan and just whipped Texas is flat not true. Texas made the key mistake or two and Ohio State didn’t. Sark needs to be better in certain situations and he isn’t absolved of blame, but I had a feeling we might be in trouble when Arch skipped the ball to the receiver on the first play of the game when no one was within 10 yards.
  19. Must be the first coach in the sports history to ever lose a big game. No, I don’t understand. If you are letting 1 game influence your opinion, it was a shitty opinion to begin with.
  20. That’s even more reason to go for it. You are unlikely to ever get a better chance than the ball at the 1 foot line. And if you kick a FG, you need a TD anyway for it to truly matter. There is no way anyone can say with a serious face we should have kicked a field goal from the 1 foot line with what we had shown offensively up to that point.
  21. 4th and 4 from the 25 in the first quarter is the exact same as 4th and 1 from the 1 foot line down 7-0.
  22. There are probably 50 different coaching things you can critique about that game. Going for it on 4th down in the 3rd quarter from the 1 foot line when you haven’t shown any ability to get close to end zone consistently isn’t one. That is a move any other coach in America would make. You are going to have to score a TD at some point and you have the ball at the 1 foot line. Anybody suggesting a FG there with how the game had played out to that point is a moron.
  23. Feels pretty useless to use a redshirt on a guy who is likely not sticking around in college to play football for 5 years. I think you try to see if he can become a special teams guy this year.
  24. I may be misremembering, but I don't think anyone really thought of Collins and Broughton as great run-stuffing guys heading into last year. They took the next step in their development and in Collins' instance, finally put everything together that he had flashed his whole career. Like you said, I think the depth is much better this year and we have guys like Brevard who specialize in clogging up running games between the tackles.
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