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TXSooner518

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Everything posted by TXSooner518

  1. Penn State won at Iowa and beat Michigan.
  2. Ha! Fair point Dr. Sam. I would counter that Clemson has a 1 point escape over a quite mediocre 4-5 team and Bama doesn’t. Every computer power rating I have seen has Bama > Clemson also.
  3. I actually thought they did a quite good job. My quibbles - I would have OU ahead of Utah (obv) and I think ND is a couple spots too high. But I think they didn’t just sort by record and did a good blend of “eye test” and pure resume. Minnesota is where they should be. They will be fine if they do what an actual top 5/10 team should do with the rest of their schedule. Takeaways: If Clemson loses they are toast barring huge chaos. Bama losing to LSU puts them on shakier ground than I would have thought. People will end up losing their minds because teams drop while winning because they reevaluate the entire resume. Georgia right now has better wins than some of the other one loss teams. As that gets evened out, the S Carolina loss becomes bigger. In UGAs specific case it doesn’t matter because if they win out they are in and should be and if they lose again it will take chaos.
  4. Irrelevant against that hand but worth thinking about what’s best against his range.
  5. Both hands are close. I like the K2 jam/calloff much more if we have Axdd just because we are so solidly fucked if he has the nut draw. Plenty reasonable tho. Deliciously won with the king lol. On the AJdd one, we can freeroll a jack by jamming but is the jack really folding to a river jam on a diamond? And if we jam they may fold a flush draw that we instead stack by calling. I lean call for those reasons.
  6. In Sagarin, % of teams that are outside the Top 50: AAC: 50%, 6/12 - tougher than the ACC?? ACC: 57%, 8/14 - unreal bad for a P5, made worse by them also having #s 40, 43, 47 and 49. 86% of this conference is 40th or worse!!! B1G: 43%, 6/14 - 7 top 25 teams make this league super polarized, as opposed to just awful like ACC. B12: 30%, 3/10 PAC: 33%, 4/12 - also have 42, 45, and 50. Only P5 with no Bottom 50 team though. Better than it has been in a long time. SEC: 29%, 4/14 - also have 44 and 46. Only 2 gimmes, but both are more than 10 spots lower than Kansas, so yeah. West still stronger at the top, but divisions more balanced than in prior years, which had previously created the same inflated records that the imbalanced ACC and B1G schedules (and awfulness of ACC) are doing this year.
  7. Well, they are the only 2 loss B12 team, so yeah. The imbalanced schedules in some conferences along with piles of awful bottom feeders really have some misleading records. I see people wanting Indiana ranked. They haven't beaten a team in the Top 50 of FPI this season. In Sagarin, SEVEN B12 teams would be the 2nd best ACC team. Five B1G teams would be the 2nd worst team in the B12 (well Rutgers would be the worst). Five ACC teams would be the 2nd worst team in the B12 (well Ga Tech would be the worst). The B12 teams have to play a top 30 team 70% of the time, while teams like Minn and Indy have fattened up on teams outside the top 50 entirely. And b/c of the parity, the B12 teams stay just out of the rankings, making the schedule look much easier than it is.
  8. You think he probably limp-called KK four ways pre? I definitely don’t. He likely has a 9 but wjth the busted flush draw we prob have to call but we are losing well over 50% of the time IMO. If the river put up the 4 straight and 3 flush and this guy donks we can probably fold though I usually spite call anyway.
  9. Yeah JFC sorry all. Tapa was giving me an error but was also posting. And then has no delete option and yeah. I normally save my quads for the poker table and golf course.
  10. It was definitely Texas cue even though not in Texas. Shiner Bock and Austin Eastciders available at the bar. Place was hopping. We told our Lyft driver to hit it up since he mentioned how great we smelled haha.
  11. It was definitely Texas cue even though not in Texas. Shiner Bock and Austin Eastciders available at the bar. Place was hopping. We told our Lyft driver to hit it up since he mentioned how great we smelled haha.
  12. It was definitely Texas cue even though not in Texas. Shiner Bock and Austin Eastciders available at the bar. Place was hopping. We told our Lyft driver to hit it up since he mentioned how great we smelled haha.
  13. Not exactly Texas BBQ, but found myself in Charleston and so decided to check in on John Lewis. Brisket and ribs fantastic, sausage was pretty spicy, but a drier more solid texture than I prefer.
  14. Teams only had two idle weeks this year because of how the calendar fell. Everyone started their season on Aug 31, and in 2020 will be on Sep 5, basically a week later. Has to do with where Labor Day falls. Dar, slow pony.
  15. So, my kiddos like Subway, and we were grabbing a quick lunch between kid birthday parties, so we hit up Subway and I got the brisket sub. Actually - not bad at all! I got the brisket, smoked cheddar, pickles, onions, a bit of the BBQ sauce, a few banana peppers, then had them add sea salt and two-color pepper. No need for mayo or whatever bullshit is in the commercial. It's not Franklin but it's quite edible in a pinch. Fairly spendy for fast food, had a coupon for free chips/drink with it, was still 10.29 for a footlong.
  16. Man, their resume is simply not the same, even without computers. I agree the voters aren't looking at those, I gave them to show it isn't like the voters are overlooking an actual good team. You're completely overlooking Pitt's close calls against bad to horrible teams. They played like a "Top 25" team in 2 of their 7 games (UCF and PSU). Also UVA is pushing "decent." They scored 9 points in a loss to a horrid Miami team, but blew Pitt out. Iowa has beaten Iowa State, and has one-score losses to top 20 teams. Against their 4 scrub opponents, they won by 45, 24, and 30 points before a meh 6 point win over Purdue this week (led by 13 until Purdue scored with less than 30 seconds left). They played like a "Top 25" team in 6 of their 7 games. Iowa State has 2 losses to Top 25 teams by a combined 3 points. They struggled with Northern Iowa in the opener, but all their other wins are double digits, including wins by 25, 24, and 10 in conference, and by 52 OOC. They played like a "Top 25" team in 6 of their 7 games. Texas has 2 losses to Top 5 teams by a touchdown each. They obv struggled with Kansas, but blew out La Tech and Rice, and handled WV on the road by double digits and beat an OSU team by 6 that would def be favored neutral field over UVA. They played like a "Top 25" team in 6 of their 7 games. Michigan has a win over a top 20 team (again something Pitt does not), a loss by 7 on the road to a top 10 team, and a blowout road loss to a top 15 team. They won games against their weak opponents by 19, 17, and 3 in OT. I will say they played like a "Top 25" team in 5 of their 7 games (excluding Whisky and Army). Arizona State is somewhat closer, but is buoyed by having won 2 games over teams that were then-ranked, including winning at Michigan State. They dominated one cupcake, but did only beat Sac State (which is one of the best FCS teams but still) by 12. Colorado not a great loss, but lost by 3. Got handled 21-3 by Utah. They played like a "Top 25" team in I would say 4 of their 7 games (excluding Sac State and Colorado for sure, losing by 18 at Utah is marginal). These resumes simply are not even close. On paper or in computers.
  17. Pitt lost 30-14 to a meh UVa team, and has wins by 10 over Ohio, 3 over Delaware, 3 over Duke, 7 over Syracuse, and 1 over UCF. The UCF win is solid, the others are below average to dreadful. In FPI, Pitt is 55 (Iowa - 19, ISU - 16 , Texas - 24, Michigan - 15 , ASU - 37) Don't like FPI? Sagarin has Pitt at 45 (51 in its Predictor). The 5 teams you list are 14, 15, 17, 20 and 32 in Sagarin. All this said, looking at their schedule, they look like a solid bet to get to the ACC title game maybe even 10-2, and if so, they will be ranked like 15 even though they aren't NEARLY the 15th best team in the nation.
  18. Yeah a couple factors make this the likely worst set of games ever. The bowls have much less flexibility with matchups this year because both semis are the games without conference tie-ins. Also the ACC not having a viable second team will result in an unranked Pitt or UVA or Wake stinking up a Ny6 bowl assuming Clemson makes the playoffs. They need to eliminate the requirement that a conference gets a second team no matter what if they send a team to the playoffs. Also they need to either rotate bowl ties more often or eliminate them (sure keep the Rose when they aren’t a playoff) to keep matchups fresh and have interesting games.
  19. Texas lost 3 games after Tulsa last year. [emoji2373]
  20. Hmmm I had the Tres Leches on my list for this year, keeping it on the list for next year (yes, I already have started my list for next year).
  21. Actually, looking at schedules, pretty solid chance that Wisky @ Minnesota is for the B1G West title. Minn is no great shakes, but winning on the road in a low-scoring affair isn't a lock either. And I still see no reasonable mathematical way that PSU is going to have 1 loss 68% of the time, but only win the conference 2% of the time. What WP% do you have on them @ tOSU and them vs Wisky on a neutral field? And if you don't wanna bother with at-large bids or tie-breakers, maybe skip the CFP percentages?? SMU is more likely to make the playoffs than Wake Forest.
  22. LOL OU has the 5th highest win percentage in CFB this decade, behind only Bama, Clemson, Ohio State, and Boise. They have the 3rd highest in CFB since 2000, behind only tOSU and Boise. Their last graduating class had more B12 titles than any other school has in history. You better hope they are pretty goddamn good, given they win your conference about 70% of the time.
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