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Everything posted by gyroprotagonist
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Thanks. guy was advertising on twitter about Z2 and Z3 below floor price. this one was listed at ~3.6 or so and i put a bid in at 3 and sorta forgot about it. The Z2 Naka went for just over 6 ETH i think. yeah, i have not seen anything either way. breeding is where ZED will get the most money to put back into game and make their nut after drops are done. Since they have restricted the # of foals and number of covers that can happen every month, I think they will leave it open for a pretty long time; at least 3 months. All it does is increase the level of horse you need to race as better and better runners are discovered and this turns to a vicious cycle that perpetuates more demand for breeding to keep competing in races. - This will output a TON of trash horses that may serve no purpose at all. maybe they come up with a way to players to 'recycle' glue horses for perks/rewards. That's the biggest downside i see to leaving breeding open indefinitely. Then you throw in the other variables like how they run in the rain, top speed etc... and some of those trash horses might have a redeeming trait that is worth breeding (match your decent horse that is low in that trait with a trash horse that is high). Just spitballing - They also may/will expand the racing tiers. maybe make sub tiers based on odds with in the class (just guessing). They have said something about finding places for every horse to race. As they get more $ into the game and if the base keeps expanding, there is no reason to not expand on the number of races as long as they are still filling up in a reasonable amount of time.
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yeah, might target a Z6 or Z7 or maybe just a Buterin Z8. Those unraced are still selling above drop prices right now. Everything Z1-Z5 seems to be right at or below drop price. Z4/Z5 are right at last drop price. So the value is getting those Z6-Z10 in the drop. The 3-5x premium for unraced Buterin could be coming down as 1000s more of them should be in the next drop. so that's why i will target Z6-Z8 for something. if those Z1-Z4 go for higher than last drop, then the floor will rise on the market. i scored this bad boy a few days ago https://opensea.io/assets/matic/0xa5f1ea7df861952863df2e8d1312f7305dabf215/1103. unraced Z3 Szabo colt for about 1/2 of what they were going for in the last drop. A bunch of these sold really cheap from uninformed sellers and the brokers snagged the 4-5 that were available for 1.75-2.5 ETH and i bought one off of them for 3 ETH. Market is still pretty high on them around 4 ETH for unraced. There are only around ~70 genesis horses left each of Z1-Z4, so I think those will jump in price at the drop even though market is at or below. See the chart below for how many are left and how many sold in the last drop. This could be the last drop ever for the Z1-Z5. The market is really picking up on Legendary Nakamotos no matter the racing results probably due to breeding. I have been bidding like crazy on dormant accounts trying to wake up someone to sell. There are soooo many Z1/Z2/Z3/Z4 Genesis unraced horses out there in seemingly dormant accounts. If they stay dormant and since there are only 1000 minted each of those, they will be even more scarce in the game. I plan on breeding that Z3 and even with setting the fee low around .2 ETH (min would be .1) that would generate .34 ETH per month. I have not been able to see any ranges for stud fees for unraced. I think i could get at least .35 ETH per as trash Legendary Szabo floor price is .4 right now. That makes the pay back time on that 3ETH price about 5 months if I can fill up 3 spots per month. if this dude is right (https://zombie.racing/the-power-of-the-z1-naka-why-we-should-value-the-boys/), then the demand for the Z1-Z4 genesis should only increase as the demand for Legendary breeding (genesis sire x legendary dame) should increase as more and more legendary fillies are created every month.
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here is a pricing chart for all the drops so far on ZED huge jump for that last one.
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This AirBnB cleaning fee thing will get out of hand...
gyroprotagonist replied to Bateshorn's topic in Daily Texan
offer to work as the cleaner and to complete to job overnight -
Las Vegas go hard or go home thread
gyroprotagonist replied to bigup2dahorns's topic in Food and Travel
locked and loaded for labor day weekend at the cosmo. flights seemed to be getting more expensive (at least from Dallas) so maybe less trash walking around by then. hopefully Uber with the surge pricing back in place will be under control as well. thanks to all for posting your recent trips. -
2020 - 2021 Dallas Mavericks: That motherfu*ker in Dallas is coming
gyroprotagonist replied to CBT's topic in Basketball
this hits close to home because played pickup ball on Sat and got the same pain in my neck/shouulder. hopefully Luka can get in to see a doc faster than my Tuesday appt. I am hoping some corticosteroids will do the trick. i was sky high during that first quarter run, but damn, KL decided not to miss the entire night. seemed like all of their offensive rebounds led to 3s. i don't blame Rick too much for taking Luka out in the first. I mean fuck, can we not expect the rest of the team to not blow a 20 pt lead in 3 minutes? hindsight, it wouild have been better to ride the hot hand and finish the qtr scrong. -
so i think i see how these NFT grinders are operating. They look up horses that the owner has not started an auction for yet, then start bidding on them with a low ball offer. A lot of times there is no activity on the account for weeks+ so owner is probably not up to date on pricing. If the owner bites, then they keep going through the horses trying to get them all. It usually takes a few sales for the owner to wake up and check the market. Most opensea accounts are set up to email the owner when a bid is received. If you can hook a person that just an NFT collector and got these horses cheap 3 months ago that's where the crazy deals are had. - It's all the guys with "NFT" in their opensea handle. I watched them snipe each other up to a certain level, then they are out. But that's how they get these crazy good deals. They sorta provoke the horse owner to sell by creating activity on their account. I saw one that bought an unraced Z1 Nak for 0.85 ETH (yes decimal is in the right place) 7 days ago. holy S! But they want to turn around and sell them quickly, so normally they will list at or below floor and drop their price every few hours to get a sale. anyway, i wish the horse sexytime would hurry up and happen. Has anyone seen an speculation on the potential drop prices? wondering if they will stay the same or go down. the opensea market seems lower (than TERA drop) on the expensive (unraced) horses Z1-Z4 and higher on the Z5-Z10 genesis. I think a lot of the people who got those horses cheap/early are cashing in and willing to sell below drop prices.
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So my friends dad broke his leg the other night
gyroprotagonist replied to tbone_'s topic in Daily Texan
yeah, MRIs are almost always like that. last one i had you could go after hours to the facility and pay cash and it was ~$350. Using insurance it would have been about $1200. I could not count it towards the deductible though. If you are doing MRI that will probably lead to surgery (in the same year) then better to use insurance and assume you will hit your max out of pocket. Had a CAT scan that was the same way. $175 cash money or $800 w/ insurance. -
also, gas fees are pretty low right now. it was like $10 to move some ETH into the ZED WETH wallet.
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2020 - 2021 Dallas Mavericks: That motherfu*ker in Dallas is coming
gyroprotagonist replied to CBT's topic in Basketball
USC was favored by a touchdown over Vince and crew. relax -
wish i was browsing when this drunk person sold off their horses in the last 24 hours. unraced Z3 for 1.2 ETH ($3200; drop price $13,600) https://opensea.io/assets/matic/0xa5f1ea7df861952863df2e8d1312f7305dabf215/3841 unraced Z3 for 1.6 ETH https://knowyourhorses.com/horses/3840 it's racing now and drawing all single digit odds unraced Z2 for 3.2 ETH ($8600; drop price $19,500) listed for 7.75 ETH now https://opensea.io/assets/matic/0xa5f1ea7df861952863df2e8d1312f7305dabf215/3839 unraced Z2 for 2.96 ETH listed now for 6.1 ETH https://opensea.io/assets/matic/0xa5f1ea7df861952863df2e8d1312f7305dabf215/3838
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food for thought https://zombie.racing/the-power-of-the-z1-naka-why-we-should-value-the-boys/ tldr - dude thinks that Nakamoto covers (stud fees) could end up being very lucrative based on the fact that Genesis sire can keep an Exclusive or Elite at the same level (but the filly can't). With an ever expanding base of Exclusive/Elite fillies and a finite number of Genesis studs the supply and demand ratio keeps getting more and more out of whack. anyway, you can monkey around with the stud fees but using some fairly conservative numbers it might not take long to recover your costs on buying a Nak for those outrageous prices. I don't know what the ZED rake is (10%?) on stud fees. ROI even col is # of months to break even on purchase. you could make back that fee in 7-9 months of breeding. Maybe that is why people were willing to pay $20-40K for these things. Or ZED could get raided by a 3-7 letter acronym government agency and and it all goes tits up. These guys that were in from day 1 did not pay hardly anything for their Naks (i am guessing) so it is all house money to them. so with that said, can you buy more ETH by using a kidney as collateral? asking for a friend.
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2020 - 2021 Dallas Mavericks: That motherfu*ker in Dallas is coming
gyroprotagonist replied to CBT's topic in Basketball
yep, had trouble getting sleep after that game last night. still amped. seeing Luka just say IDGAF who you put on me I am getting mine was bad ass. -
Redundant topics are dumb - just post gifs!!!
gyroprotagonist replied to Cheeseweasel's topic in Cloak Room
the US is so far out in front on the vaccines compared to the rest of the world. not going to get into a should we have re-opened or not, but the vaxs work and are slaying the chances of any nth waves happening no matter our behavior. they are making gov's from all states look good no matter their stance and finally forcing the CDC to relax their stances. yay us. Hearing same thing from Indian colleagues i work with. my director has lost something like a dozen extended family members (all old-ish) that live in India. -
lol, if you paid 3.2 for that then we need to have an intervention
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i've taken to the notion to just keep any genesis horse no matter how crappy. who knows what could be sired by that horse. I listed my non-winner Z7 Finney Colt for about 10 minutes then changed my mind. I think genesis horses are going to spike right after the drop if we have another wave of people pissed that they could not get in on it. if you look at the super long term view either - lol, ZED run has like 5 users and Z1 Nakamotos are $10 for a dozen. - betting on digital horses catches on, all the genesis horses are dropped and there is still a demand. There is still going to be a buzz for genesis horses, even crappy Buterins. does that buzz mean crappy Z10s are going for 2 ETH or just maintaining their value? who knows NFTs seem pretty fucking stupid to me, but then i was never a sports card collector or could give fuckall about memorabilia and stuff like that. I look at the other collections in some of these people's wallets and and am WFT is this shit? But add in the gaming/gambling aspect and the ability to make your own NFTs that could or could not be valuable as a racer or a breeder or to just resell and now sir, you have my attention. - Also as they add attributes to the horses that you can see, you don't want to have sold off an idiot savant horse that has a stupid high attribute in say speed, but just sucked at all the other ones. maybe that would be worth something as breeding stock.
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lol. just missed this. genesis sold for 3 cents https://opensea.io/assets/matic/0xa5f1ea7df861952863df2e8d1312f7305dabf215/26593
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some rando on twitter prediction on horse prices leading up to and after the drop and breeding. i tend to agree with these general trends although i think the post breeding curves may just be flat. It all depends on how many new players join up and catch the FOMO fever.
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Credit card frauding bitches
gyroprotagonist replied to victory88's topic in Can You Help Me With This?
would freezing your credit prevent someone filing for unemployment? I have one of mine frozen, but someone still filed unemployment for me in Virginia. I got mailed a pre-paid credit card from State of Virginia and a bunch of letters, one of which stated I would get nothing and like it from them, so I am curious about what's on the credit card. but not curious enough to have to punch in my SS# on the telephone number on the back of the card to check the balance (same with website). -
no, not bidding on Rainbow Doll. .4 ETH ($1000) is likely what it is going to take; too much imo for a Z9 that is unproven. really just looking to buy 'not glue' Buterins Z8/9 ~ $600 range (.2-.25 ETH). May just wait and try my luck during the next drop which is supposed to happen June 5th/6th or so to snag a Finney filly. Not sure how they determine the drop prices. I can't see them doubling from last time though so i think they will still be 'reasonable' and should help drive down the existing unraced genesis market pricing to approach TERA drop prices. Yeah, i think good horses can come from trash (or not elite) parents. Here is Gun for Hire's (& sister) parents. All of them are inverted V-shaped Trash or not, I can guarantee that King Razor can command whatever stud fee he wants.
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Z1 drop price was ~$36K so not that crazy i guess. not sure what an avg Z1 g-race odds are, but pulling a 3 means it has pretty good potential. There are a lot of Z1 that run 15+ odds in the g-race. sub par raced Z2 Nakamoto are going as low as 5 ETH ($12-13K) which the drop price was ~$19K. you just have to be on at the right place right time to snag stuff like this: https://opensea.io/assets/matic/0xa5f1ea7df861952863df2e8d1312f7305dabf215/8082 this sold for .5 ETH ($1300) yesterday. drop price was $1600 and the 2 paid races were higher dollar races so it's odds in the cheapest races would be a lot better. There are lots of just NFT traders that scour the lists and snatch up any bargains then immediately jack the price and list again. going to look for a genesis Finney filly before breeding starts, but not holding my breath.
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it helps if you think of ETH like casino chips with little intrinsic value. i have been following the female sales pretty closely and anything with an established profile is going for a lot. you got a great deal on Lemon. unraced Buterin Genesis are still going for a crazy good premium right now.
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i am going to look to pick up a Z2-Z4 Legendary Nak filly and colt after breeding starts. Should be a ton of them available. Then you can start adding some of that expensive blood to a stable. If you want to spend for another U-shaped filly, here is one for 2ETH https://opensea.io/assets/matic/0xa5f1ea7df861952863df2e8d1312f7305dabf215/12197 will do well if stays in class IV, but profile breaks down in class III. - my oz&lbs horse has a strong win/place/show profile but sucks at finishing 10+. just moved up to class I - no idea if that would merit anyone paying for a stud fee, but if I could breed it with a Nak horse that could compete in class I, then having a L-shaped profile would great.
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