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Everything posted by bolverk
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Please take a screenshot of the tweet and post it. Many here refuse to click links to Xitter.
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Don't forget to stop off at the Five & Dime while you're in town. They got a deal on Tuesdays, offering free oats for your horsies while they wait at the hitching post.
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This analysis piece and the other following story (below) about China doubling down on industrial output should be read together. For Xi, Chinaβs Strongman Leader, Ceding to Trump Is Not an Option China sees little to gain in capitulating to President Trumpβs tariff threats, labeling them βblackmailβ and vowing to βfight to the end.β Xi Jinping wants you to know that he will not be cowed. Confronted with the latest threat from President Trump of an additional 50 percent tariff on Chinese goods unless Beijing reverses its retaliatory levies on U.S. imports, Chinaβs top leader has remained defiant. His Ministry of Commerce on Tuesday accused the United States of βblackmailβ and declared that Beijing would βfight to the end.β But behind the bravado is a more complicated set of realities for Mr. Xi that makes it politically and economically untenable to offer concessions to the countryβs single largest trading partner and chief rival for global influence. With Mr. Trump also refusing to back down, a devastating trade war between the two largest economies may be inevitable β a showdown with painful consequences that will be felt across the world. The dilemma for Mr. Xi is that looking weak is not an option, but hitting back risks further escalation. The Chinese leader has cast himself as a national savior who is rejuvenating his countryβs greatness. As a result, Beijing has less flexibility to back down from a fight with Washington, as other U.S. trading partners like Vietnam have tried, because it could undercut Mr. Xiβs legitimacy, analysts say. βBeijingβs response to date has emphasized three things: resolve, resilience, and retaliation,β said Julian Gewirtz, a former senior China policy official at the White House and State Department under President Biden who is now writing a book on U.S.-China relations. βXi has built up an image of himself as a defiant strongman helming a powerful country, and Chinaβs official messaging is conveying that they are determined to stand up to U.S. pressure even at high costs,β he said. That helps explain why China scuttled a deal to sell a portion of TikTok to American investors last week in response to Mr. Trumpβs sweeping tariffs, and why it is resisting a sale of the ports owned by the Hong Kong company CK Hutchison along the Panama Canal. cont'd βThe Tsunami Is Comingβ: Chinaβs Global Exports Are Just Getting Started A staggering $1.9 trillion in extra industrial lending is fueling a continued flood of exports that could be spread even wider across the world by the Trump tariffs. For decades, the worldβs largest car factory was Volkswagenβs complex in Wolfsburg, Germany. But BYD, the Chinese electric carmaker, is building two factories in China, each capable of producing twice as many cars as Wolfsburg. Recent data from Chinaβs central bank shows that state-controlled banks lent an extra $1.9 trillion to industrial borrowers over the past four years. On the fringes of cities all over China, new factories are being built day and night, and existing factories are being upgraded with robots and automation. Chinaβs investments and advances in manufacturing are producing a wave of exports that threatens to cause factory closings and layoffs not just in the United States but also around the globe. βThe tsunami is coming for everyone,β said Katherine Tai, who was the United States trade representative for former President Joseph R. Biden Jr. President Trumpβs steep tariffs announced on Wednesday, which have caused stocks in Asia and elsewhere to plunge, were the most drastic response yet to Chinaβs export push. From Brazil and Indonesia to Thailand and the European Union, many countries have already moved more quietly to increase tariffs as well. Chinese leaders are furious at the recent proliferation of trade barriers, and particularly Mr. Trumpβs latest tariffs. They take pride in Chinaβs high savings rate, long work hours and abundance of engineers and software programmers, as well as its legions of electricians, welders, mechanics, construction workers and other skilled tradesmen. On state television Saturday night, an anchor solemnly read a government statement condemning the United States: βIt is using tariffs to subvert the existing international economic and trade orderβ so as βto serve the hegemonic interests of the United States.β Five years ago, before a housing bubble burst, cranes putting up apartment towers dotted practically every city in China. Today, many of those cranes are gone and the ones that are left seldom move. At Beijingβs behest, banks have rapidly shifted their lending from real estate to industry. China is using more factory robots than the rest of the world combined, and most of them are made in China by Chinese companies, although some components are still imported. After several years of rapid growth, overall installations of new factory equipment have already jumped another 18 percent this year. When Zeekr, a Chinese electric carmaker, opened a factory four years ago in Ningbo, a two-hour drive south of Shanghai, the facility had 500 robots. Now it has 820, and many more are planned. As new factories come online, Chinaβs exports are rapidly accelerating. They rose 13.3 percent in 2023 and then another 17.3 percent last year. cont'd
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So much of social conservatism is rooted in self-loathing.
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When the legislative branch fails to rein in the Executive, And the Judiciary fails to stop the Executive. All that's left is the Executive.
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Wordle 1,389 2/6 π©β¬π©β¬π© π©π©π©π©π© Connections Puzzle #667 π©π©π©π© π¨π¨π¨π¨ πͺπͺπͺπͺ π¦π¦π¦π¦ π Daily Quordle 1170 6οΈβ£5οΈβ£ 4οΈβ£7οΈβ£ m-w.com/games/quordle/ β¬π¨β¬π¨β¬ π¨β¬β¬π¨π© β¬β¬β¬β¬β¬ β¬β¬π¨β¬β¬ π¨β¬β¬β¬β¬ β¬β¬β¬β¬β¬ β¬β¬π©β¬β¬ β¬β¬β¬β¬β¬ β¬π©β¬β¬β¬ π©π©π©π©π© π©π©π©π©π© β¬β¬β¬β¬β¬ β¬β¬π¨β¬β¬ β¬β¬β¬β¬π¨ β¬π¨β¬β¬π¨ β¬β¬π©β¬β¬ π¨β¬π¨β¬β¬ β¬β¬β¬β¬β¬ π©π©π©π©π© β¬β¬β¬β¬β¬ β¬β¬β¬β¬β¬ β¬β¬β¬π©π¨ β¬β¬β¬β¬β¬ β¬β¬β¬β¬β¬ β¬β¬β¬β¬β¬ π©π©π©π©π©
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I wonder when we start to watch what we say and begin to self-censor, even here on Surly. Almost all of us could be tracedβif one had the means and were so inclinedβin some way or another through our IP addresses, our 3.50 subscriptions, emails used to sign up, etc. Obviously, we're not that big of a deal and could be pretty far down on a watch list, but we also have some connected people and some stark-raving lunatic true believers who might have some other dubious connections.
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Are you willing to share, at least vaguely, what kind of research it was? Asking solely for when I'm arguing with one particular person IRL in mind and he says, "Maybe they should've pulled the plug, dude."
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Dems have been warning the Olds for 25 years that Republicans were coming after their SS and Medicare, but by and large, the Olds continued to vote for them. I guess that prospect wasn't as scary as non-white people and gays
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It goes back several years. In the US, we spray/dip/apply (I can't remember which) dead chickens that have been plucked with bleach before selling them. In Europe, they don't/can't for whatever regulatory purpose (sounds unhealthily to me). So, we aren't allowed to export our dead poultry there for consumption.
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Supposedly blocked on the grounds of which court should hear the case. Meanwhile, they'll continue deporting people, who I'm sure will get their own judicial review after they've wasted away for months/years in a Salvadoran gulag under the guise of the Venezuelan war we find ourselves fighting. https://www.nytimes.com/2025/04/07/us/politics/supreme-court-trump-venezuelan-deportations.html The Supreme Court ruled on Monday night that the Trump administration could continue to deport Venezuelan migrants based on a wartime powers act for now, overturning a lower court that had put a temporary stop to the deportations. The decision marks a victory for the Trump administration, although the ruling is narrow and focused on the proper venue for the cases, rather than on the administrationβs use of a centuries-old law to justify its decision to send planeloads of Venezuelans to El Salvador with little to no due process. The justices did not address the question of whether the Trump administration improperly categorized the Venezuelans as deportable under the Alien Enemies Act, finding the migrants had improperly challenged their deportations in Washington, D.C. The justices determined that the migrants should have raised challenges in Texas, where they were being held. βThe detainees are confined in Texas, so venue is improper in the District of Columbia,β according to the courtβs order, which was brief and unsigned, as is typical in such emergency applications. In a concurrence, Justice Brett M. Kavanaugh stressed that the justices were in agreement that the migrants should receive judicial review, but that they were divided over where the case should be heard. βAs the court stresses, the courtβs disagreement with the dissenters is not over whether the detainees receive judicial review of their transfers β all nine members of the court agree that judicial review is available,β Justice Kavanaugh wrote. βThe only question is where that judicial review should occur.β The case is perhaps the most high-profile of the eight emergency applications the Trump administration has filed with the Supreme Court so far, and it presents a direct collision between the judicial and executive branches. The administration had asked the justices to weigh in on its effort to use the Alien Enemies Act of 1798 to deport more than 100 Venezuelans to a prison in El Salvador. The administration claims the migrants are all members of Tren de Aragua, a violent street gang rooted in Venezuela, and that their removals are allowed under the act, which grants the president authority to detain or deport citizens of enemy nations. The president may invoke the law in times of βdeclared warβ or when a foreign government invades the United States. On March 14, President Trump signed a proclamation that targeted members of Tren de Aragua, claiming that there was an βinvasionβ and a βpredatory incursionβ underway as he invoked the wartime law. In the proclamation, Mr. Trump claimed that the gang was βundertaking hostile actionsβ against the United States βat the direction, clandestine or otherwiseβ of the Venezuelan government. Lawyers representing some of those targeted then challenged the order in federal court in Washington. That same day, planeloads of the deportees were sent to El Salvador, which had entered an agreement with the Trump administration to take the Venezuelans and detain them. A federal judge, James E. Boasberg, directed the administration to stop the flights. He subsequently issued a written order temporarily pausing the administrationβs plan while the court case proceeded. The Trump administration appealed Judge Boasbergβs temporary restraining order, and a divided panel of three appellate court judges in Washington sided with the migrants, keeping the pause in place. One judge wrote that the governmentβs deportation plan had denied the Venezuelans βeven a gossamer thread of due process.β At that point, the Trump administration asked the Supreme Court to weigh in, arguing in its application that the case presented βfundamental questions about who decides how to conduct sensitive national-security-related operations in this country.β Lawyers for the migrants responded sharply, arguing that the temporary pause by Judge Boasberg was βthe only thingβ standing in the way of the government sending migrants βto a prison in El Salvador, perhaps never to be seen again, without any kind of procedural protection, much less judicial review.β The American Civil Liberties Union and Democracy Forward, the groups representing the Venezuelan migrants, said that the president had bent the law in an βeffort to shoehorn a criminal gangβ into the wartime law in a manner that was βcompletely at odds with the limited delegation of wartime authority Congress chose to give him through the statute.β Lawyers for the migrants said the migrants sent to El Salvador βhave been confined, incommunicado, in one of most brutal prisons in the world, where torture and other human rights abuses are rampant.β The Trump administration replied on Wednesday in a brief that contended that the government was not denying that the Venezuelan migrants should receive βjudicial review.β βThey obviously do,β the acting solicitor general, Sarah M. Harris, wrote. Rather, the government argued, that βthe pressing issues right now are βprocedural issuesβ about where and how detainees should challenge their designations as enemy aliens.β Ms. Harris argued that the migrants should have filed their legal challenge in Texas, where they had been detained before the deportation flights, rather than in Washington. She asked the justices to lift the temporary block on Mr. Trumpβs order, calling the pause βan intolerably long time for a court to block the executiveβs conduct of foreign-policy and national-security operations.β Ms. Harris claimed that the migrantsβ lawyers had offered a βsensationalizedβ narrative. She added that the government denied that the migrants might face torture in El Salvador, writing that the governmentβs position is βto abhor torture, not to invite brutalization.β
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17 year old stabbed to death by another 17 year old at Frisco track meet
bolverk replied to Derka's topic in Daily Texan
"This could've been a dating quarrel. Do you know the sexual orientation of the boys involved?" "What if it comes out Metcalf called Anthony the "n" word?" -
https://www.wsj.com/finance/stocks/the-false-tariff-headline-that-sent-stocks-on-a-2-trillion-ride-2224ef75 https://archive.is/98rc1 A wild stock-market swing based on false information added $2.4 trillion in value and erased it almost as quickly Monday morning. The episode played out in just over half an hour, all based on misleading reports that said President Trump was considering a 90-day pause to implementing tariffs. The rally-turned-rout underscored how feverish many investors are for any information that might calm the market and how easily misinformation and Wall Streetβs high-frequency trading strategies that react to headlines in seconds can impact asset prices. News that tariff-shocked investors had been dying to see began circulating on social media shortly after 10:10 a.m. in New York: βHASSETT: TRUMP IS CONSIDERING A 90-DAY PAUSE IN TARIFFS FOR ALL COUNTRIES EXCEPT CHINA,β the headline read, in an apparent reference to words from Kevin Hassett, director of the National Economic Council. Stock indexes soared. After trading as much as 4.7% lower early in the session, the S&P 500 rose to trade up 3.4% in a jarring intraday reversal. The broad-based index added $2.4 trillion in market value in the 10 minutes from 10:08 to 10:18 a.m., according to Dow Jones Market Data. By 10:41 a.m. it had all been wiped out. The S&P 500 erased $2.5 trillion in value in around 23 minutes after the White House quickly denied that such a pause was being discussed. After the false headline caused the S&P 500 to trade in its widest intraday range since March 2020, the index closed down just 0.2%. The origin of the report remains unclear. The headline was circulating on social media by 10:13 a.m., when a widely followed X account known as Walter Bloomberg posted it. The anonymous account has for years posted trading-related news throughout the market day, often in the form of all-caps newswire headlines copy-and-pasted from the Bloomberg Terminal. The account, which has nearly one million followers, isnβt associated with Bloomberg News. The Walter Bloomberg account and others like it are popular with market watchers who donβt have access to Bloombergβs expensive news-and-data terminals. The headline in question didnβt come from Bloombergβs newswires, however. And the news was quickly gaining steam with major outlets. A CNBC anchor read the news live on air around 10:15 a.m., before warning viewers that, βWeβll try and source that, exactly where that came from.β At 10:20, Reuters sent the same news over its wires, attributing it to CNBC. βAs we were chasing the news of the market moves in real-time, we aired unconfirmed information in a banner. Our reporters quickly made a correction on air,β a CNBC spokeswoman said. A Reuters spokeswoman said: βReuters, drawing from a headline on CNBC, published a story on April 7 saying White House economic adviser Kevin Hassett had said that President Trump was considering a 90-day tariff pause on all countries except China. The White House denied the report. Reuters has withdrawn the incorrect report and regrets its error.β The original headline might have been an inaccurate summary of an interview Hassett gave on Fox News earlier Monday morning. In a βFox & Friendsβ interview before the market opened, Hassett was asked if the White House would consider a 90-day pause on the tariffs. βYeah, I think the president is going to decide what the president is going to decide. There are more than 50 countries in negotiation with the president,β Hassett said, without elaborating further on a potential pause.
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Papers, please. Surly thread of deportation cruelty dominance
bolverk replied to Captainant's topic in Daily Texan
Is this another one of those "they didn't come for me so I didn't speak out" kind of situations? Like when we all saw the State's security apparatus swoop in on a college campus and start prematurely cracking heads because they didn't like the speech or who was speaking but pretended it had something to do with disrupting classes and blocking sidewalks? Like when a prominent university starts firing academic staff over their disagreements with how that college is handling its shit because, again, we didn't like the people they're attempting to protect? Like when a governor pardons a murderer because the victim held an opinion he didn't like? Just asking questions so that we're clear if future signs start cropping up.- 566 replies
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No. White people absolutely do accept their benefits (which come in many variable ways), but they'll say stuff like, "well, I paid into it and deserve my check," while pretending others don't also contribute to our national well-being because anyone who isn't white must necessarily be a welfare queen and, therefore, is wholly undeserving of any sort of assistance.
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Understanding what's moving the market and where it will go is now more a matter of comprehending the psychology of a single man and how investors respond to his megalomania than anything you might have learned in B school.
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"We" aren't sinking the ship. "We" don't have any power to that. "We," however, have been sounding this alarm for fucking years, but the moderates in the middle have the memories of goldfish. If you are a Gen Xer, every single Republican administration that you've experienced as an adult has ended in an economic disaster: Big Bush, Shrub, and Trump. And every single Democratic administration has had to clean up his predecessor's mess. One would think that people of normal intelligence could maybe pick up on a fucking pattern by now and consider that maybe those loony leftists know what the fuck they're doing and talking about. After trying -- repeatedly and desperately -- to point shit out, sometimes you just get worn down, and all you have left is falling back on bitter and angry ridicule.
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Got stumped on both Wordle and Connects and had to step away. That helped with the former but not the latter. I ended up just saying "fuck it" and plowed ahead after a while and plowed ahead into wrongness. Wordle 1,388 4/6 β¬π¨π¨β¬π¨ β¬π¨π¨π¨β¬ π¨β¬β¬π©π© π©π©π©π©π© Connections Puzzle #666 πͺπ©π©π© π¨π©π¦π¨ π¦π¦π¦π¦ π¨π¨π¨π¨ π©πͺπ©π© π©πͺπ©π© π Daily Quordle 1169 7οΈβ£4οΈβ£ 6οΈβ£5οΈβ£ m-w.com/games/quordle/ β¬π¨β¬β¬π¨ π©π¨β¬β¬β¬ β¬β¬π©β¬β¬ β¬β¬π©β¬β¬ β¬β¬β¬β¬β¬ β¬π¨β¬β¬β¬ β¬π¨π©β¬π¨ π©π©π©π©π© β¬β¬π¨β¬β¬ β¬β¬β¬β¬β¬ π©π©β¬π©β¬ β¬β¬β¬β¬β¬ π©π©π©π©π© β¬β¬β¬β¬β¬ β¬π¨β¬β¬π¨ β¬β¬π¨π©β¬ β¬β¬β¬β¬π© π©β¬β¬π¨β¬ β¬π¨β¬β¬β¬ β¬β¬β¬β¬β¬ β¬β¬β¬π¨π¨ β¬β¬β¬β¬β¬ β¬β¬π¨β¬β¬ π©π©π©π©π© π©π©π©π©π© β¬β¬β¬β¬β¬
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It's a helluva thing that Ford makes some kick-ass smaller cars for the European market that compete pretty well, but not in the US of fuckin' A where you can't buy a normal gotdam car from them anymore.
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Wordle 1,387 4/6 β¬π¨π¨β¬β¬ β¬β¬π©π¨β¬ π©π¨π©π¨β¬ π©π©π©π©π© Connections Puzzle #665 π¦π¦π¦π¦ π¨π¨π¨π¨ π©π©π©π© πͺπͺπͺπͺ π Daily Quordle 1168 6οΈβ£8οΈβ£ 4οΈβ£5οΈβ£ m-w.com/games/quordle/ β¬β¬π¨β¬π© β¬β¬π¨β¬β¬ β¬β¬β¬β¬π¨ β¬β¬β¬β¬π© β¬β¬π¨β¬β¬ β¬π¨β¬β¬β¬ β¬β¬β¬π¨π¨ β¬β¬β¬β¬π© β¬β¬β¬β¬β¬ β¬β¬β¬β¬β¬ π©π©π©π©π© π¨β¬β¬π¨β¬ β¬β¬β¬β¬β¬ π©π©π©β¬π© β¬β¬β¬β¬β¬ π©π©π©π©π© π©π©β¬β¬π¨ π©β¬β¬π¨β¬ β¬β¬π©β¬π© π¨π©β¬β¬β¬ β¬β¬β¬β¬β¬ β¬β¬β¬β¬β¬ π©π©π©π©π© π©β¬β¬β¬β¬ β¬β¬β¬β¬β¬ π©π©π©π©π©
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I'm loving this episode! And yeah Sherman is low key hawt. ETA: She's got that jolie laide, as the French say, thing going on.
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Gothic on Vacation had me rolling.
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