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Had Enough

Certifiably Surly
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Everything posted by Had Enough

  1. Oh Bobby, one implosion game won’t keep us from the playoffs. It could eliminate us in the playoffs though. But we still have the defense as a backstop. A big difference in Sark and Greg Davis is that his short/screen game can be very effective.
  2. Personally, I don’t expect a repeat of the numbers from the defense. We don’t really need that anyway. Part of that is the under appreciated element of the hammered dogshit personnel that we went up against. It’ll be improved - The Ohio State over Michigan. OU certainly can’t be worse. A&M should be improved. UF won’t run out an Ivy League QB. MSU likely won’t run out a QB for his first start. Georgia will be a bit wait and see. Per Phil Steeles experience chart, we get the top 6 in the SEC, which leaves Arkansas and Georgia outside that 6. The draft results tell you one of two things regarding the offensive talent of our opponents, maybe both - it was weak or not draft eligible. There’s a strong likelihood our opponents are far better equipped to create matchups that better suit them as compared to last year. Better Olines, better QBs and probably better skill guys. The hope would be an uptick in our pass rush covers for the back end when it’s off. And don’t take that to mean I’m saying we won’t be damn good on the back end.
  3. The concern for Horns fans should be once we get to the final 8 will we make the critical plays. Oline. We don’t have but 1 returning starter, but Hutson, Goosby and Campbell have starts and reps against high quality opponents. We aren’t relying on guys new to the program either. For a first or second year to guy to log reps, they’ll have to beat out a guy that has been with the program 3 or 4 years. This is how transition should look. And, yes, Arch will likely tone down the aggressive nature of the opposing defense. Sark will need to call a few to gain that respect though. And I’d wager that Wisners experience helps too.
  4. This is the good stuff. The throw was on the money no doubt, but that was questionable corner play. Looks like the LB takes the flat. The safeties don’t drop like cover 2. The corner isn’t doing anything then chops his steps. So, yeah, that looks to be quite sorry play on his part.
  5. Then why were you asking if we were going to be “good?”
  6. We only boner in Omaha so you’ll have to wait.
  7. We’re pretty much hitting on all cylinders defensively. The one negative is that it’s not ideal to have to hit the portal for DT depth. But in today’s environment it is easier to fill that depth via the portal. I have not observed it directly but most information points to the fact that our guys are being pushed towards their maximum potential. Wins, accolades, presumably money, exposure/NFL opportunities are at an all time here. All those things make it an easy sell for those willing to work and compete.
  8. For 2014 we had a solid core of upperclass defensive players but depth was pretty sparse. That repeated in 2017 to an extent. Gone in 2018 were Poona Ford, DeShon Elliott, Malik Jefferson, Hilton Hill. The 2012 defense had a pretty significant contribution from guys that were factors in 2014. The depth probably had too much reliance on underclass guys then progression until their final years. Then the core guys left, and you start over. Specific to Diaz and Orlando, they aren’t great coaches that can sustain but are capable of bigger years when it hits right.
  9. That was a great pass. It should be fun to watch. I do wonder about Sark a bit. For me, it felt as though Ewers was less caution to the wind last year. Did we harp on the right read/right throw and consequently took fewer risks? Or was that just Ewers? That’s probably a reasonable approach given our stout defense except that our red zone offense was lacking. As others have mentioned, a few more higher risk throws may result in some picks, but there’s upside there too. Certainly the increase in mobility will matter too.
  10. Just for a little speculation, I’d throw that this was a circled game on the schedule given Lebby’s coaching background. In the small sample, you saw several different looks on defense in addition to the offensive gameplan. It’d be interesting to hear some insight on MSUs typical defense. The opponent doesn’t matter when play 1 has the ball caught on a well timed comeback 22 yards downfield. The crosser off the slide up the pocket was one you don’t see often. No flinch on the big TD to Moore. The awareness on the sideline dump to Gibson was great. That TD to the deep left corner is a discussion point. There was a similar play versus Georgia. The critics didn’t like throwing into double coverage. You can have the similar discussion here on the throw to #81. But none were close to being picks. The Georgia play was a big one if the ball is target. There’s an argument to be made that Arch knew exactly the risks for the decisions he made on those plays as opposed to his inexperience leading to a poor decision.
  11. I’m not sure that data is available, but I do not have it either way. Pff shows 3 batted balls versus OSU then 1 each against multiple teams including both Georgia games. I am not sure how they logged the Kentucky pick/fumble 6, but KY game reflected 1 batted ball. The Vandy one I’m guessing was deemed too deep in the backfield so it wasn’t logged. The A&M one. That was ugly. So there were some big ones. You might even say memorable.
  12. I want to dedicate this post to @Thatguy. In sheer number of balls batted at or near the LOS, PFF has Ewers tied with Shadeur Sanders and others at 8. That’s tied for 27th with 15 guys. Quick calculation shows that on a per pass basis Ewers is at 41st and Shedeur 42nd of those 42. I’d wager neither would be in the top 50 on a per pass basis. Dart, Gabriel, McCord all had more passes batted, all at a higher clip. Given our higher propensity for screens and the short game, It is below 2%. Drew Allan and Michael Hawkins had 0, if that moves the needed on wanting them. C Weigman and Alan Bowman are quite good too. There are somewhere in the vicinity of 25 guys that cut Ewers batted balls in half.
  13. I don’t think Flores was a late window guy. Rerick flipped from A&M to Texas, which makes his portal entry a bit surprising. But the unknown variables may be deciding factor. Volantis was the unique one that was more last minute. There are 11 pitchers signed/committed for next years team. 7 position players but that includes Jonah and 2 likely high draftees.
  14. Roster limits or not this is the likely outcome for a number of programs. It’s probably more NIL/portal than roster limits. It’s the Saban methodology. Sign and churn the roster with churn being even easier due to the portal. The Texas 2026 commit list shows 21 players. I can’t imagine there’s close to 21 of those guys on the roster come spring 27. There’s 17 for 2025. Yes, I’d expect the freshman numbers to dwindle at some point.
  15. Let’s not play both sides of the fence here. You want to implicate all of them rather just the 4. Who are the players you know? Yes, you’ve said that multiple times about Schloss. Most fans that care about that sort of thing are likely well informed and know that going back to TCU Schloss has found and/or developed talent. You could argue that once he got established at TCU there’s been better talent at TCU than Texas. If you were to use MLB as the measuring stick. If I’m interpreting 64 analytics properly, Tennessee has had 19 guys enter the portal. And I see a recent article from the Knoxville News that kicks it up to 22. LSU and UGa last year were at 14 and 15, respectively. These are amongst the best rosters in the country. I’d presume they are at or near the top of the NIL food chain. All these guys are not leaving due to the lack of natural ability. They also aren’t all leaving because they’re supremely talented. Teams are churning 25 to 33% of their roster. I’d wager even the best have similar guys to those you reference.
  16. Need to highlight it with excessive eye black.
  17. Speaking of QBs, what happened to @WinningIsHard?
  18. For many Heisman level QBs it’s about their surroundings more so than them. Numbers and team wins. Throw in the name Manning and a few splash highlights, and you have an immediate contender. Nevermind that Arch has an additional 8 months of practice reps, film study and maturity over last season. He’s a 3rd guy who should be hitting his prime college QB self. I’ll maintain my stance on Ewers over Manning. Sark thought he could win with both. So he stuck with the experienced guy. I believe even after the season Sark stated Ewers can “make all the throws” so there’s the theoretical prototype QB that he likes. Sark wouldn’t sacrifice the shot at the title just because. He liked Quinn, thought he could win and went with the incumbent.
  19. Probably true but Witt, Harrison and Mercer’s rehab were a little long. And Witt and Mercers were two years of no production.
  20. I’m well aware, but presumably balls that we can’t get to become hits, which may then become earned runs, right?
  21. I am bit curious about injuries. A Longhorn baseball savant sent me a podcast with Schloss. He mentioned Mercer hitting 97. That’s two years running he seemed slated for a big role but pitched very little. Then Spencer. Last year was worse. Curious if we have a higher, more longed injury rate than others.
  22. Damn. I wonder what our staff ERA would have been had our 2B, SS, and 3B been able to wipe their own asses defensively.
  23. In college baseball, there’s pretty much never a team that knows what it has to start the season. Not 1-9. Not the entire pitching staff. Odd that we are supposedly a program that is based on CWS or bust yet lose our shit on a midweek loss. Those games are available to find out what you have for that post season run. Cowan had pitched 3 innings Friday night. Let’s keep in mind he’s a Wofford transfer that throws about 90. You are correct they could have gone Evans and maybe that works out, buts it unlikely he finishes that game. In the end, LSU looks to have trusted about 4 pitchers. Highlighted that Cowan only started twice - both post season. Then Eysnson came in to finish Little Rock. Had they lost their Spencer, they’re likely worse off than us in spite of having all that talent on their team. They didn’t trust those fast ballers to throw strikes. The difference in LSUs final outcome as compared to ours is they got a weak regional. They didn’t lose Anderson or Jones. Then they stayed out of the losers bracket so their lack of trust in that staff didn’t impact the outcomes. Here are some numbers to chew on for Horns versus UTSA. Bing and Howard combined for 7 innings of no hit ball on the early season against them. Ruger gave up 1 run in 4 innings. I believe the discussion then was it very much mattered to UTSA. Now Burns. He gave up 4 hits and 1 earned run on that Tuesday night. He allowed all 3 inherited runs to score. So let’s advance the season a couple of months. You’re up 6-5. One out, 2 runners on. Who you going to out of the pen? Burns it is. He proceeds to give up 3 hits, 1 run of his own and allows both inherited runs to score. The only out recorded was a throw out at home. Teams don’t know what they have in the early season. The situation you highlighted is a bit of contrast with our end to the season. We had some data points for several guys but chose to ignore them. I haven’t heard the rationale for our regional pitching choices, but the choices were odd. And several were not good with signs indicating that potential outcome.
  24. Sounds like some of you need to pull some strings and get us Wisconsin.
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