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Everything posted by Had Enough
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That was a terrible slide. The truth is had he been kicked out it was earned, intentional or not. Why exactly do we need spikes?
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So Cincy, Arizona and WVU only get a 3rd of a win each?
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You may be on to something here.
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Yep, their lack of interest across the board has been detrimental. I mean Stanford lost a big time baseball player and softball player to A&M and Tech. It’s competition and dollars.
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Last year, there were 19 SEC/ACC teams in the tourney. The last decade or so you can throw East Carolina, Coastal Carolina. Even an Indiana State. All matched up against each other. So guess what? Odds are there will be a ton advance out of there with the most representation being the SEC. Texas, at least from my “feel” of it, has had more difficulty advancing when playing west coast teams. Texas fans have discussed the easy path of Tennessee Tech or South Florida. At some level it was east coast teams that helped them get there. East Carolina, Miami. Now, the SEC did beat 2 west coast teams last year. They did have home field advantage. Traveling half way across the country is tough. Something even the most western SEC teams are reluctant to do non-conference cause you might run into an extra loss or two. The west coast has been squeezed for the past two decades which has resulted in guys like Braden Montgomery and Paul Skenes running east. Maybe even a Dylan Volantis. Much of that is the west coast teams fault, but it’s two decades worth of SEC/ACC over representation and over seeding that has essentially built upon itself year over year. There are reasons FSU hasn’t won the whole thing in spite of many opportunities. Part of that is their path to get there. Kentucky last year and Texas this year won 22 conference games. Neither would be considered super talented. Maybe that talent disparity isn’t what some think.
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It’s odd. I despise the SEC but hold no ill will towards Tebow or even UF for 2008. It was all big 12 jackassery. I had forgotten how 1996 all went down so I was merely running my mouth on that part. Was generally a Spurrier fan so that wasn’t a bad outcome.
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But if you look at it from the perspective that we did not get a shot, you may see it differently. This is all off the top of my head so I may be off. We beat a “rival” by 40+ plus with their only TD being a fumble scoop and score. It was a back up that fumbled. There were 2 minutes left us up 52-3. A footnote that gets lost in the discussion is that I believe we pushed our schedule back due to hurricane impact. So our bye week was less beneficial to us. We had 4 top 15 matchups in the course of a month. One versus a top 5 at a neutral site. Won by 10 and had the momentum. Finished on the road, at night in Techs biggest game in their history while they were top 10, maybe top 5. OU got them at OU subsequent to that. You know the type of game that is often an emotional letdown. Seeing as how we beat a national championship participant we had the best win. We had the last second loss on the road so we likely had the most acceptable loss. UF lost at home. Essentially we lost out on the conference championship game because OU had a better perceived non-conference schedule even though we had an SEC team on that schedule. Ungrateful bastards for taking a spot when we gift wrapped an appearance for you when we took out Nebraska years earlier.
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The SEC bias is such that the Aggies were still considered a tourney possibility after getting swept at home by Mizzou. Kentucky lost Lipscomb, Wofford and Xavier. Two of those 3 in weekends series. They won several one run games against weak competition. On most days, they’re probably one of the best 64 teams. At the same time, there’s no metrics confirming they’re certainly one of the 64 best. They were 4 games under .500 in conference then lost the tourney opener. In their non-conference, they beat two tourney teams - Miami of Ohio (KY won by 1 run) and Louisville. They finished out 4-7 in May. They have no marquee non-conference wins. They don’t really have any high profile non-conference losses - simply losses to lesser conferences or middle of the road teams. They finished poorly. They’re sub-.500 in conference. They were one of the few major conference teams that didn’t try to schedule a difficult non-conference series or tournament. They won 2 series against tourney teams, and only 1 of those was above .500 in conference. They were not even the last 4 in. Cause they were 38th in the RPI and from the SEC.
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Flawed absolutely. As best I can tell, you lose 3-2 it is the same impact as losing 13-2 in 7 innings. Vandy vs Texas in the SEC tourney. We both played UTenn. We got pitcher of the year Doyle. They got a guy with a 5+ plus ERA, WHIP around 1.5 and a losing record. Same impact in the RPI as best I can tell. On and by the way two weeks earlier, Doyle went 7 shutout innings with 12 Ks. No walks, 2 hits versus that same Vandy team. Also we roughed up Crossland from OU more than Vandy did a mere week later. The RPI and the SOS (again run differential has no significance) are the only metrics that Vandy has us beat. And the tourney in which they faced the 3rd worst starters for OU and Tennessee. The Ole Miss guy is not a starter and went 4 innings for his longest outing of the year.
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You and others, I’m sure the committee included, will reference the SOS and RPI. They are both a big circle jerk. The quadrants are bullshit. It’s difficult to buy into beating Mizzou on the road as a Quad 3 win. UCF is a good example of the shit representing the RPI/SOS. They are 20-5 in non-conference. They are 9-21 in the Big 12. They are 3-0 versus the ACC/SEC. 2-0 versus 40 win Stetson. Lots of Florida schools in that non-conference schedule. They didn’t even leave the state until conference. We cannot say those midweek game outcomes are different because the circumstances are different then ignore it when using a metric to help set the field. State of Florida champions. Big 12 second to worst team. Interesting that you listed those pitchers. Take LSU. Three of their 4 best pitchers are newcomers I believe. One from UC San Diego, one from Wofford, one freshman. One of their better hitters is from a lesser Utah school. Thats 3 guys from one bid leagues. Riojas and Spencer for us from smaller schools. Some guy named Skenes was from a nothing school. That Ace Reese was kinda mid at Houston. There’s a lot of guys out there that can be impactful. They’re underappreciated at the smaller schools. The truth is that if you want something useful it will have to be very elaborate. Not sure many would have patience for such an endeavor. You can’t treat baseball similarly to other sports because you don’t run the same team out there every day because of the pitching. Just using the SEC tourney as an example. We got Utenns #1 in their 2nd game. Vandy got their #3 while going with their #2, at worst. Those are in no way equivalent from a strength of schedule or win probability standpoint yet, to my understanding, the RPI/SOS treat them equally. As others have mentioned, if you can’t get to .500 in your conference, which should be the most important part of your schedule, then you best win your tournament. The committee can make some decisions to better the game. We shall see.
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Does that strength of schedule allow for weekend games versus midweek games? Does that strength of schedule account differently for a 3-2 loss versus losing via the 10 run rule? Virginia was 5 games over in conference play. In their first 7 games, they played 2 tourneys with 4 teams from the top 4 RPI conferences. They didn’t play FSU cause it was canceled. Of the top 7, they missed 3, not 4. One of those was canceled then they played 2 of the top 5 on the road. Of Kentucky’s first 13 scheduled games, six were against teams that won no more 25 games. The other 7 had no more than 18 wins. Those weren’t just poor teams they were from weak conferences. These were teams that have done absolutely nothing in college baseball. Virginia is 12 and 3 with two 1 run losses in their last 15. They won 2 of 3 at Georgia Tech. They won 2 of 3 at Va Tech. They swept Miami at home. All during this span. Kentucky is 6-9. Swept at MSU and Vandy. Swept OU. i do not believe that SELa or UTRGV would do better in the SEC. I do believe they should be rewarded for their efforts in comparison. If SEC teams continue to be rewarded for subpar efforts, then these other teams will never compete because the players will always have to upgrade for that chance. The Southlsnd has done well to only get 1 team. The SEC is the master at gaming the RPI. The Big East has figured that out the past few years. Maybe WVU and KU this year. It is more advantageous to schedule easy wins than to challenge yourself and risk losing a game.
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Just from D1s first 4 out and teams to watch, I’d hav Virginia, Xavier, SELa, UTRGV, and Cal Poly over them. if you have a losing conference record, you better do something in non-conference. They were 4 games under then lost their only tourney game. I view them and Baylor as a toss up. Baylor didn’t schedule hammered dogshit in the non-conference except for Sam Houston. But that is understandable given they’ve had 1st round picks and solid teams very recently. If they get in, you are rewarding terrible non- conference scheduling and allowing them to hide behind the SEC. They didn’t play 2 of the top 4 teams, went 1-5 against the other two.
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They lost to Lipscomb, Wofford, Murray State, Western Kentucky, Xavier. They were 1-1 versus Louisville. Miami of Ohio, Northern Kentucky or Wofford is their 2nd best non-conference win. I’m not sure what you’d call UNK with their 2nd place conference finish in the 3rd worst conference. Their first scheduled 13 games (two were canceled) were against sub-.500 teams. I could not tell you which conference any of those teams are in. Might even be a last place finisher or two in there. Actually, at least 3 opponents were last in their conference. Two more were last or last in their division. They were 4-7 in May. Swept twice. Lost their only tourney game when it may have been a must win. They don’t deserve to get an invite.
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Texas Baseball 2025 - Your SEC regular season champions!!
Had Enough replied to petscii's topic in Baseball
You may be correct. That damn whistler should count against them though. For us, our draw will be fine. Maybe not ideal but to host the Regional and Super is the key. -
Texas Baseball 2025 - Your SEC regular season champions!!
Had Enough replied to petscii's topic in Baseball
They shouldn’t. Theyre 13-11 in road/neutral games. Maybe they didn’t play the dregs of the conference, but they did play UF and the Aggies when they were playing like dregs of the conference. Since April 1st, they’re 5-2 in mid week games. Two 1 run wins (a 1 run loss). We are 16-7 in road/neutral games. We are 5-1 in midweek since April 1. They got swept at home by Pig. Pig swept us at their place. They lost 2 of 3 at OU including 1 run rule. We won 2 of 3 with the loss being a lost lead late. They swept UGA at home. So did we. They swept UK at home. We lost in 15 on the road. Of the top 4 SEC teams, they only played 1. At home. We played 2 including 1 on the road. That MSU team we swept on the road was 1 game behind UTenn and Bama (MSU won 2 of 3 at Bama). We finished 3 games ahead of them. Even in the SEC tournament, they got the #3 choices for OU and UTenn. We got the UTenn pitcher of the year. Any system that counts a game against a college #3 starter the same as the #1 pitcher of the year falls short. Vandy gets a bump because they swept the #39 Xavier. A Xavier that had a 5 game SEC stretch in early April. Lost by a combined 57-9. And 31-5 in the non-Vandy games. Best win is over Creighton, but they lost 3 to them. They’ve split with UConn. Swept by St. John’s. -
Jonah is 4 for his last 21 against SEC competition. Max is 2 for 18 in his return. Looks like Galvan is sub-.200 in May against the SEC. That’s better than Flores, but it isn’t great baseball. Any of our guys could step up and be the guy. I think a weeklong reset could be helpful for a number of guys. That’s probably not what Belyeu needs however. I wouldn’t be surprised to see us hit well next weekend.
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The conference folks should note I changed the channel because of it.
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I’m just messing with you. There’s nothing to worry about based on today. It’s a tourney format that’s nothing like any other. Matchups and tourney format dictate your pitching choices. Theres not much talk about UTenn not going all out to win yesterday since they didn’t start their #1.
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Not enough hit and Miss stuff.
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As best I can tell, Doyle and Arvidson had a decrease in their K/9 today. So guessing they just got lucky in those other 106 innings.
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Did UF move up in the RPI after beating South Carolina? The same USC that was 0-4 versus the ACC and outscored 31-16. Best non-con wins over Charleston and South Carolina Upstate. Lost 3 games by 17 or more. Got outscored by the Aggies 40-19. Gave up 46 to Auburn in 3 games. That South Carolina?
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Thought I saw UCF was 3-0 versus the ACC/SEC with about a 20 run differential. Top 8 seed worthy?
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Yes, it’s me being a smartass. Generally speaking, I stay away from posting here due to the pretty consistent bitching and ripping the dudes and their talent/abilities. So in particular on this night, I want to celebrate those guys that may damn well have the best two year conference record of any team in the country, certainly in the top 3 RPI conferences. 41 wins with maybe more to come. Winning 16 of 19 conference series thus far. All the while losing your #1 starter and potential # 1 starter in back to back seasons. Grubbs, Harrison, Duplantier, Howard, Hamilton, Whitehead, Tumis, Galvan, Schuessler, Flores, Borba, Farmer, Gasparino, Belyeu, Duplantier, Service, Mercer. I look forward to this seasons finish but also the development next year of those first year starters.
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I’m just thankful we got a big effort out of Tommy Farmer before we had to ship his non-SEC talent butt off to the Southland.
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Quinn "La Joya" Ewers - The Man The Myth The Mullet
Had Enough replied to Coach pop a bitch's topic in Football
I’ll add my two cents. Trust me when I say my response is more to keep treaty oak on my side rather than thatguy. Obviously the NFL is not an easier game, but success is measured a bit differently. The Dolphins fans to a point would be satisfied with year over year playoff appearances and a win here or there. However, what thatguy suggested in regards to Quinn and 5 wides is really not an option at the NFL level, at least not as a base offense. I would say the series of repetitions he’s had to date with heavy play action with two wides and a tight or two gives a better building block than what Gabriel has done to date for example. Maybe Dart, award, Shedeur too. He may not be a guy to carry his team. He may not be one to win shootouts. While the defenses may be better, the craziness and variations are less chaotic from week to week. There aIRR opportunities for success staying within the framework and getting Hill and Waddle the ball. There isn’t pressure to win every week to the same extent. Expectations have been reset. He only has to study the playbook and the defense. He is ready for challenge. Maybe. We will see.
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