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statsman

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  1. Last year’s B12 CG was the first time Mike Gundy went into a Texas game without having worked on Texas the prior spring and summer. He rolled out his 2022 Texas game plan. It was glorious.
  2. I’m not sure you understand what this thread is about…
  3. Clearly, the best way to compare conference quality (and program quality) is head to head competition. It’s the best way, but not a perfect way. For one thing, there is the jihad factor. In 2022, for example, the three top games Texas circled were Alabama, Oklahoma and TCU (the last is my guess, due to Sark working for CDC. If you offer a different “third circle”, I won’t argue). Meanwhile, Oklahoma, OSU, TCU, TT, ISU and Baylor all Texas circled. Game results and objective measures don’t care about jihads. For another, the main source of inter-conference competition is bowl games, and the non-playoff bowl games have become pure exhibitions. That fact (I believe it is a fact) is only gradually being recognized. It was a lot of fun watching OSU edge the Aggies last December, but, with the sit outs, the lame ducks and the transfers, does it really say anything about program quality? Finally, I’ll refer you to the 2022 CFP semifinal between TCU and Michigan. TCU QB Max Duggan carried the ball 15 times for 57 yards and two TDs. The running QB is college football’s cheat code. Problem is- the QB needs to be the size of VY or Cam Newton if he is going to do it two games in a row. Duggan isn’t, and his body not being right contributed to TCU’s embarrassing thrashing by UGA. The SEC has a good record in inter conference play. It has a fantastic record in CFP and BCS CG play. I suspect the expanded playoffs will see plenty of B12 and ACC teams win one game (“We’re every bit as good as you are!”) and very, very few win two in a row.
  4. Can anyone explain what point Mac Engel is trying to make in his whiny column? https://www.gazettextra.com/sports/national/mac-engel-tcu-vs-ucf-is-a-great-big-12-football-game-but-does-the/article_5d4c080d-3713-5d24-b90a-ea11d9d5f13d.html
  5. There actually is objective data. The SEC and B1G, over the last 15 years, gradually increased their number of NFL draftees- not just in gross, but per school. The B12 and ACC reduced. A five star athlete has a reasonable expectation (50% are drafted, approximately) of playing in the NFL, and so it is understandable that they would prefer to play in the SEC or B1G. Al, you don’t follow Texas recruiting like we do. You don’t realize the advantage the Ags (and even Ohio State!) had in recruiting the best players. You don’t know Texas football history like we do; it existed long before Sage Rosenfels. This has been the rule for ninety years- if Texas is not dominating Texas recruiting, the Texas coach’s seat is heating up.
  6. 1. It was recruiting. The best players in the state were all biased towards playing in the SEC first and the B1G second. 2. it was the money. You can’t build a program along the Alabama model without hiring a large support staff for scouting and analysis. The media payouts to the SEC and B1G are large enough to cover that expense. The NIL evolution merely made the SEC a viable alternative for Texas. If paying players were against the rules, Texas wouldn’t do it.
  7. Nope. It was Utah’s president. https://www.azcentral.com/story/sports/college/pac-12/2023/10/07/pac-12-conference-collapse-arizona-state-michael-crow-speculation-wrong/71103413007/ (I had remembered it as ASU’s president, but that turned out to be wrong).
  8. https://www.sportsmediawatch.com/college-football-tv-ratings/ Nice week for the B12. Lot of games viewed, and on major channels, because 11 B12 teams played 10 games against P4 opponents. Four were B12 home games. I complained about B12 teams adopting the Snyder system of only scheduling patsies OOC; now, not even KSU commits to that.
  9. You have to admire this level of commitment to a bit
  10. From your lips to God’s ear, but I’m not going to set myself up for disappointment OU losing to non-P5 teams, going back: 2009: BYU (finished 11-2 and #12) 2005: TCU (finished 11-1 and #11) 1996: Tulsa (finished 4-7) and TCU (finished 5-7) So, after 1996, OU has only lost to exceptional non P5 teams. In 1996, they were so shitty, they lost to two bad non P5 teams. I remember an average Army team giving them more of a game than they wanted, but they squeaked past them. I hope OU is shitty like it hasn’t been for decades, but they’ll have to show me.
  11. I trust your evaluation of their program, but I have seen so many fatally flawed Texas teams use program muscle memory, significant talent advantage in a couple of units, and a deeper dig into the schematic bag than they really wanted to make, in order to soundly beat a lesser foe, and quiet the wolves. It’s certainly not a sign of program health and the piper will have to be paid at some point (David Ash carried nine times in a thumping of NMSU in 2013; how did that work out?) , but I expect a thirty point win to be more likely than a slight defeat, for OU.
  12. Oklahoma is going to work Tulane, hard. It will be a win by a large margin, requiring more pre-game installation and intensity than they ever wanted to put into it.
  13. Look, it’s pretty clear they’re not playing more than 13 games, so why not?
  14. EPL star Georgie Best quotes : “I spent a lot of money on booze, birds and fast cars. The rest I just squandered”. "If I had to choose between dribbling past five players and scoring from 40 yards at Anfield or shagging Miss World, it'd be a hard choice. Thankfully, I've done both." “I used to go missing a lot. Miss Canada, Miss United Kingdom, Miss Workd…” Best was a lot like Mantle- he blew through one liver, got a transplant, and blew through it, too, dying at 59. That’s one thing you can say about Bobby Layne- he didn’t take a liver from the transplant list, leveraging his name for a few more weeks at the expense of someone else, making promises to stop drinking that he knew he wouldn’t keep. He used his liver up, and that was that.
  15. When does Klatt come on? Today?
  16. Here is an article that explained how a real life middle class functional couple lost a lot of money. TLDR: seemingly legit financial advisor “invested” their money in sub-optimum financial instruments that paid high commissions to the salesman. https://www.wsj.com/finance/investing/a-couple-won-the-powerball-investing-it-turned-into-tragedy-fc8fd31c?st=3vtaqccscun8f9e&reflink=mobilewebshare_permalink I wouldn’t be surprised if athletes meet a lot of guys like that.
  17. Jackson Arnold- is he on a multi year NIL deal? Is it guaranteed (assuming he doesn’t quit or transfer)? Maybe he just needs time to work this out, or maybe both parties need a change, but either way, is there a multi year parameter involved?
  18. What? Are you still thinking that Hamas is hanging out in the barracks at Fort Arafat? That’s not how this works. Hamas imbeds among civilians and limits the civilians’ egress. Please answer the question- what should the rule of war be about enemy troops/militants imbedded among civilians?
  19. When Hamas puts its forces in civilian centers, they (Hamas) commit a war crime. When Israel bombs them, there, it is not committing a war crime. If Gaza has a NICU unit, and Sinwar puts his command post right next to it, it is not a war crime for Israel to bomb it. That’s an extreme example to illustrate a point. If you don’t like the formal rules of war, what is your proposal to change them to? Is it your contention that the U.S. committed a war crime when it bombed Dresden? I know that’s what Nazi leaders proposed in the Nuremberg trials. Golda Meir said, “We can forgive them for killing our children. We can’t forgive them for making us kill theirs”.
  20. Alabama needs to handle Wisconsin. I had never been much of a “root for the conference” guy before, but now it can matter.
  21. Big early inter-conference showdowns: LSU loses to USC- B1G over SEC TAMU loses to ND -(quasi-ACC/future B1G) ind over SEC UGA beats Clemson - SEC over ACC Fla loses to Miami - ACC over SEC Texas beats Michigan - SEC over B1G How much will these games matter in December, when the CFP is allocating at-large bids? At least Texas made a contribution
  22. Just a thought- maybe they could lift the curse by giving Leach’s widow the money they owe. (To be safe, if it was me, I’d adjust for inflation at the least)
  23. The B12 habit is to have that patsy in week 1. Even Texas did that, but Texas is enough of a draw that UT-Rice in week 1 is still broadcast worthy. It’s not like the B12 has more attractive slates in later weeks, because they all put their patsies in week 1. In subsequent weeks, the SEC and B1G will still have a greater number of interesting games. (I know that Iowa-ISU is more interesting to B12 fans that Texas-Michigan; the problem is that there just aren’t enough B12 fans, so it should be trying harder, not less).
  24. Sure. The ratings were dominated by P4 teams playing P4 teams. That’s what people want to watch and the networks want to broadcast. The old B12 IR8 schools are still working the Snyder strategy of using early non-conference games with patsies as a way to tune up your team while picking up wins. That was ok in a conference with headliners like NU, OU, Texas, TAMU; the media contract would still be good. Those teams are gone, now. Nobody is tuning into B12 games just because they’re B12 games. They need to either be against a real opponent, or on a time when there are no other viewing options. Otherwise, they’re on streaming.
  25. Previously, I called out Oregon as a cotton candy program- a lot of fluff and sugar, but little substance. Check out their week 1 ratings: https://www.sportsmediawatch.com/college-football-tv-ratings/ Idaho at Oregon on BTN: the number three team in the nation drew 425K. Sure, it’s just the BTN, but…FAU at MSU almost doubled the ratings, Friday on the BTN. And Idaho St at Oregon St attracted more eyes on the CW! I get it. The number of Oregon fans only matters to the extent that Phil Knight is still one of them…
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