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troph

Certifiably Surly
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Everything posted by troph

  1. We are in Mexico so I was only tangentially following, I don’t recall 15 inches of rain forecasted but I do recall seeing rainfall could be impressive and anything above 3-4 inches can cause dangerous flooding. If that potential is in the area and you live close to a hill country river or a creek then you need to be on alert. I think it was a mix of the forecast wasn’t 100% (never is), it won’t happen to us, it’s July and weather risk is limited to heat injury only, the flooding risk materialized over night, and just plain not paying attention were the cause. I read earlier that while not unique in flash flooding, the Texas hill country has some of the highest fatality rates of flash flooding in the country.
  2. Dogs are smart but they ain’t surly 1% smart
  3. Yeah im about to bow out here I can’t deal with a parade of pictures of dead baby girls. I know it happened but fuck man. Ugh.
  4. Had a long conversation with my sons today about the importance of knowing the weather at all times, know what the vulnerabilities are where you live or are staying, and to never underestimate nature’s force.
  5. https://zoom.earth/maps/satellite/#view=27.82,-97.183,6z interesting radar track of Barry, thing disintegrated in northern Mexico, crossed the border and seemed to almost reorganize some. Kinda wicked.
  6. I was paying attention. I’ve also stopped wishing for tropical storms to fill the lakes. It fucking kills.
  7. Comms weren’t good enough.
  8. I can’t even. In July. Not a drop of rain is supposed to fall let alone a fucking life threatening flood. So ill. Ugh.
  9. Rain totals over the last 30 days. 28 inches holy shit.
  10. These mother fuckers need to leave god out of it, babies died. Either he doesn’t exist or he’s a piece of shit
  11. fuck it be nevermind
  12. And he should get free blow jobs on demand from the wifey for life.
  13. Wow. Smart folks. Put them in positions requiring critical decision making. Good for them. Wow.
  14. That can’t be you. All men posting on surly are fatasses.
  15. In July too like that’s supposed to be impossible.
  16. So San Saba flowing into Buchanan is flooding, N. Llano is flooding and that hits LBJ, the Guad is flooding and that goes into Canyon, and I suppose the Perd may exceed its banks too going into Travis (though maybe not). I don’t think I’ve ever witnessed it this bad. So many rivers over their banks. unbelievable.
  17. I want to throw up.
  18. LCRA radar overlay, LBJ and Travis watersheds getting pounded (and Kerrville too)… Fucking sucks. I’ve told people in conversation who see the lake at our house that it will take death and severe property destruction to fill it up when people ask “what will it take to fill it up?” I hate this part.
  19. meanwhile our robot bosses ….
  20. I think this is the existential threat of AI, not job losses per se. Companies, firms, management and schools and universities are going to have to actively solve for this issue in the long run. Unless AI can fully replace the nuanced judgment of experts humans where subjectivity and circumstantial dependencies including human mood dictate outcomes, which I am quite suspicious can happen, then the risk really is the elimination of the path to experience for younger workers.
  21. This is exactly my experience on the legal side of things. I’m using it more and more in a discrete instance and the analysis and even the writing is solid. But I’ll spend an hour or more working with the AI tool like is a junior attorney basically making it probe its work. I certainly know where to start but I let AI formulate the approach to an argument and then I probe it for accuracy and improvement. Prompts like, please double check, are you sure, please quote the statute or case (I don’t cite cases so I have less risk there), please provide a link so I can verify, etc. then when it’s time for work product I ask it to write up the letter, memo, clause in a contract, and then I work on the language with it but it’s already writing at a high level when I use a prompt like please prepare a lawyer demand letter written in a style that is sophisticated and similar to what you would expect from the best law firms in the country. Out pops some pretty fantastic writing that I then edit to put my voice into it. As of right now I don’t see the need for a junior attorney and not even 3 months ago I was planning to hire someone, I still may but the calculus has changed.
  22. I was wondering the same thing, maybe better and expanded social programs for all, expanded Medicare, education, labor unions, higher taxes to pay for it, etc, etc, but latent racism, homophobia and transphobia.
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