Jump to content

Captainant

Certifiably Surly
  • Posts

    17426
  • Joined

  • Days Won

    6

Everything posted by Captainant

  1. Who's claiming a conspiracy? Weather patterns are measurably more intense than they used to be, because of the increase of thermal energy in the system in general. It's the same oscillations as there's ever been, just getting more and more intense as our climate gets ever warmer. A couple degrees net increase in your body leads to all sorts of dysfunction and discomfort - a couple degrees net on the world is gonna do that on the scale that only mother nature can bring. As a Texan, it's pretty fucking important to be congizant of that reality. Plus, gutting our gulf weather data sources is only going to make that challenge of prediction of both timing and scale even harder thr stochastic environment known as Texas.
  2. Any sufficiently advanced technology is indistinguishable from magic. If you were born in the era of a hydrodynamic drive being the pinnacle of technology, I could see how this sort of advanced mathematical model could seem magical. But Elon is not the wizard or originator of any of the technology that he is fawned over for. I'd bet your FIL spends a bunch of time on Fox and Twitter and has internalized the cult of personality
  3. Nevermind that they all use the same sources for their radar maps, and we have been defunding weather radar systems and deactivating data sharing systems all over the place. Someone said up thread this is complete outlier, and I fear that these data points are going to be less and less the outlier as we lean harder into fucking the environment and climate
  4. Inb4 the sign is changed to Alligator Auschwitz
  5. Yes yes, anyone staking a radical position is just as lame as the mainstream. I'm familiar with the play you're running from Bernie
  6. It literally got trump elected, so why not give it a whirl? Harness the hatred for the extravagantly wealthy, rather than for brown people
  7. Lol you sound like TahoeHorn talking about trump. This is a weird bit to do on July 4, but go off king
  8. Unless you're prosecuting a trumpist lmfao. How the fuck could you type that sentence on July 4, 2025 with a straight face
  9. Concern troll is VERY concerned.
  10. They are dead-ass saying that they're gonna feed alligators "65 million meals" at this facility. ... The US Latino population is around 65 million people.
  11. If Star Trek is any guide, it'll take a nuclear war for people to back off that bugaboo
  12. TBH what you're describing is what the start of my career looked like, only it was crappy brittle spaghetti code that came from TCS. Nobody in house could maintain it and my first big project was refactoring it into a documented and not dogmatically OOP'd codebase - crazy shit like hundreds of lines of class definition and factories just to enable basic operations on JSON objects. Management never wants to invest in good tech and talent, and will only begrudgingly do so after it's demonstrated THAT is what gives a market advantage. On the flip side, cleaning that mess up has been quite a nice career for me so far.
  13. It's fucking crazy how true this is. There's ZERO critical thinking in that class of person, all they see is dollar signs from cutting workers and they don't give a shit about the plummeting quality of product - whether that's customer service interactions, or more brittle and less secure code, or just generally trashing your market reputation. Crazy thing is though - they're gonna be looooong gone before those chickens come home to roost. That's the MBA way, baby! Harvest short term benefits to get their bonuses and then skip town to a new firm before the long-term consequences are made apparent. I think this is true for really basic, reading comprehension stuff. GenAI is gonna absolutely destroy the data entry industry as it currently stands - but that doesn't mean there's nothing else those folks could do. In an information economy, machine learning is the steam or ICE engine. It's what lets us sift through the vast amounts of data. But just because we came up with steam engines doesn't mean that we didn't need rail workers anymore driving stakes. John Henry could have done other jobs workin' on the railroad
  14. This is a fascinating problem space in LLMs! A broadly trained foundational model is gonna be dogshit at mathematical reasoning, as its main corpus of knowledge is mainly general knowledge and writings. So it sounds right that it would have a lay-person's understanding of those subjects. There are techniques called "fine tuning" where you take a base foundational model (like GPT4 or Claude 4.0 or whatever LLM is your fancy) and then do a differential training run on top and introduce in your own corpus of documents. It's SUPER expensive compared to just doing Retrieval Augmented Generation, however it results in a LLM that has a better "feel" for the "music" of the theory than a generalist LLM. All that to say though - they're still pretty dogshit at correctness. To meaningfully improve upon correctness it would take a true Generative Adversarial Network where you're training both a generative model and a "judge" model (academically, it's called a "discriminator" model) that decides if the generated output is dogshit or not. It's can result in very finely tuned and believable generative models, however they have an extremely narrow domain of utility and still take a SHITTON of electricity to produce. And to even start building a GAN architecture, it takes a mountain of data to train the generator and disciminator. Data that doesn't really exist as of right now, and as you correctly point out, is probably going to be generated with AI and result in a Hapsburg AI model
  15. It is my vibe that the higher ed management pipeline is as dog shit and reliant on consulting as every other management pipeline that I've come across. Just there to make a splash and leave before everyone gets wet kind of thing. Am I off base? I feel like everything is boiling down to profit and loss, even education and civic services
  16. Not for nothing, but how'd y'all do on the $MELANIA pump and dump?
  17. As someone who got to watch their dads Parkinson's progress dramatically faster due to a bad drug interaction on a trial for a drug that there's now lawsuits over.... That policy move is gonna kill millions of desperate Americans AND send them a bill for the privilege of picking up all the pieces after they move fast and break things
  18. Actually a really solid video to share with parents or friends/family that have trouble with discerning AI from reality
  19. https://www.cnbc.com/2025/07/01/powell-confirms-that-the-fed-would-have-cut-by-now-were-it-not-for-tariffs.html When asked during a panel if the Fed would have lowered rates again this year had Trump not announced his controversial plan to impose higher levies on imported goods earlier this year, Powell said, "I think that's right." "In effect, we went on hold when we saw the size of the tariffs and essentially all inflation forecasts for the United States went up materially as a consequence of the tariffs," Powell said at European Central Bank forum in Sintra, Portugal. Powell's admission comes as the Fed has entered a holding pattern on interest rates despite mounting pressure from the White House. The Fed last month held the key borrowing rate steady once again, keeping fed funds at the same range between 4.25% and 4.5% where it's been since December. The central bank's policy-setting Federal Open Market Committee indicated via its so-called dot plot of members' projections that there could be two cuts by the end of 2025. However, Powell also said at a press conference last month that the Fed was "well positioned" to remain in a wait-and-see mode. On Tuesday, Powell was asked if July would be too soon for markets to expect a rate cut. He answered that that he "really can't say" and that "it's going to depend on the data." Fed funds futures traders are pricing in a more than 76% likelihood that the central bank once again holds rates steady at the July policy gathering, according to the CME FedWatch tool. "We are going meeting by meeting," Powell said during Tuesday's panel. "I wouldn't take any meeting off the table or put it directly on the table. It's going to depend on how the data evolve."
  20. no, no, no! Pointing out how the president is trading personal favors for foreign policy concessions is politicizing things
  21. It's gonna be a real kick in the ass for Texans when the Orwellian named "Big Beautiful Bill" introduces excise taxes on solar and wind energy https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/congress/megabill-mystery-new-solar-wind-tax-surprise-republican-senators-rcna216120 edit: You can find the new tax on solar and wind on page 558, applicable if components are sourced from China https://www.budget.senate.gov/imo/media/doc/the_one_big_beautiful_bill_act.pdf
  22. huh, Xaiomi makes a bunch of electronics and cell phones so they've definitely got the electronics supply chain to fill out a car. No telling if they're good automakers though
  23. Chamber of Commerce types should not be anywhere near education.
  24. It really is crazy how much of conservative policy is just policing their own demons and forcing the rest of society to live their self-hatred sickness
×
×
  • Create New...