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Chopper

Certifiably Surly
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Everything posted by Chopper

  1. This is not money from a rogue bitch billionaire this is small donations with a max limit of $3300. Short answer is yes. But that's easy to say and a lot of money that would require telling my FA and wife that I was doing it so lulz. I've bet less than $1k in my entire life despite being in Vegas a bunch of times, so the lawyerly answer is, it depends. That's a lot of money to most people. More than the average American's retirement account. If I found a bag with $50k this afternoon, you were there egging me on, and if there were a highly reputable, legal and easy place to bet it with fair odds? Yep. In a heartbeat.
  2. I didn't expect to open the thread this morning and be confronted by so many nattering nabobs of negativism. Stand up straight with your chest out. Kamala Harris is going to win and it won't be particularly close. Is it the large rallies? No. But yes. They tell me about voter enthusiasm and likely voters. Is it the canvassing operations and volunteers? Yes. Is it individual donations? Yes. Is it because even the credible polls are absolutely worthless and should be ignored unless there's a large sample AND large spread surpassing the margin of error? Absolutely. Do the pollsters themselves know this? You betcha. There's a post in here of even Nate Cohn acknowledging his operation is oversampling R's. Are the polls knowingly ignoring new registrants, overwhelmingly voting for Kamala, and among the most likely to go out and vote? Fuck yes. Ignore the fucking polls and go vote. Sign up for a phone bank. Tell your friends and neighbors to vote. left one out - Women are voting in much higher frequency and not only are there more women voters than men overall, those that are voting are overwhelmingly voting for Harris. Harris has made it clear to women to vote why they need to vote, and they're doing so.
  3. Susquehanna poll of Michigan: Harris 🔵 52% Trump 🔴 47% 0.5% undecided.
  4. oops I didn't see that post SHOT CHASER
  5. lulz - now the problem is Harris will only give Rogen an hour of her time a week before the election, and wants it to be in DC.
  6. "You're a member of Hamas and Israel may decide to blow you up any minute now." Seems odd that Ana is complaining that there's too much ridicule of a nazi going on in this thread. Is the world upside down?
  7. @immamacI'm not sure why these videos take up so much screen space. To download bluesky vids the app to use is down.blue. The native format is .ts but apparently that's not accepted on this site so I have it converted to mp4, which is the only other option. Any ideas?
  8. long post warning - I've been reading a bunch of the critiques of Bezos. Here's some of the deeper cuts. <How much do you trust the media?> <trust in media separated by political affiliation> this is a badass resignation letter from a contributing columnist A WP Opinions writer and editor bafyreidekeovql7mmzu2huhtrgjkwk4vfflzm7weevevhsl6w2oysgnshq.mp4
  9. This just in. We assholes are posting wrong on the surly.
  10. Here's a thread I found about the poll released today covering Texas.
  11. also even Obama lost Kansas by 15 to -- checks notes -- McCain.
  12. What the "comedian" says it's about Brilliant joke, sir. Hey y'all with zero context here's a joke about an island that's 2000 miles away and their 6 year old problem with -- checks notes -- landfill capacity.
  13. That's the 3rd different explanation I've heard of the joke. The first two were all the trash they couldn't deal with because the hurricane created so much. I forget what the second was. But I believe neither explanation/excuse. Am I supposed to believe a comedian who doesn't know Puerto Rico is the USA not only knows about the "Great Pacific Garbage Patch" but is going to make a joke about it, in front of a bunch of magtards when the rest of his act is cunt and cock and brown people?
  14. update/correction - many ballots destroyed in Vancouver. Only 2 in Portland. Vancouver by the way was the staging point for the nazis who'd regularly commute to Portland to try to stir up trouble, until they got their asses whooped. They'd all meet in their fascist friend's Vancouver basement apartment before carpooling to Portland. Lots of white supremacist types like @incredulity live there.
  15. That's 8% of total subscribers lost over the weekend. And counting. https://www.npr.org/2024/10/28/nx-s1-5168416/washington-post-bezos-endorsement-president-cancellations-resignations all because their absurdly wealthy, cowardly owner wanted to suck up to the wanna-be dictator who's going to lose the election
  16. Agreed. But they won't. The billionaire media cartel needs to be broken up.
  17. This goes to 52-46 if you go by LVs as people who say they intend to vote. Turnout will make all the difference. And KH-TW's side shows all signs of being much more engaged and motivated. edit - also it doesn't include new registrants and those are -- what -- 2/3 for KH?
  18. Only 2 ballots were damaged and the voters have already been contacted, per reports.
  19. That sound you hear is the Trump campaign in full panic mode, trying to drive up the negatives of Harris in a desperate attempt to stifle voter turnout. Take that and add it to Trump bitching at Fox News while he sits on his fat red ass, and you have even more evidence of how desperate and angry they are. That's all it is. They have no secret formula and no ideas. They are just trying to keep things close so they can try their bullshit in the courts after they lose the election count.
  20. I didn't see where anybody's broken out the tabs on the TX poll. From what little I saw earlier this morning they had Houston all fucked up, way underestimating the Kamala vote. I'll go look for it. Bro. Time for another sign update.
  21. I'm behind in this thread. Has it made it over here that < 200,000 > subscribers to the W Post canceled their subscriptions in the past couple days? Also - this reporter says he reported this in more detail at the Daily Beast after the hurricane happened.
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