I’ve fallen into this train of thought a few times, here’s what keeps me sane. 1) With so many potential swing states, that means so many different sets containing potentially ugly data. Reminder: she doesn’t need to win even a majority of them. If she wins WI/MI/PA - the states she is consistently doing the best in - she wins, regardless of what happens with all the rest. 2) Republicans have emphasized early voting at unprecedented levels this year. Assuming there will be an Election Day gap between parties as large as in previous years, which basically every red pundit is doing, is a very dangerous assumption. 3) 2020 was a fucking weird ass year. Drawing any conclusions from comparing voting pattern data between now and then is a fool’s errand. 4) Democrats panic when they are told they have a 75% chance to win something. Republicans start bragging when they are told they have a 51% chance to win something. Never forget this.