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berlinerbaer

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Everything posted by berlinerbaer

  1. Last reported on the Cal board it was 9 starters plus more from the lower strings. Cal doesn't have the depth to cover the line as it currently stands with that much depletion. Just MHO.
  2. Bro, Trump's criminal justice reform bill passed the House and Senate with total Democratic support. The only nays came from Republicans. Trump's CARES Act passed overwhelmingly. Dems will give a Republican president a win if it is good legislation.
  3. This all sounds good to me but candidates have proposed something in this general ball park and nobody's been chomping at the bit to vote for it besides progressives. Andrew Yang comes to mind but so does Joe Biden and the child care payments that have been going out for the past several months after the latest stimulus package. No hypotheticals needed. That's real world stuff you can point to. And guess what? Biden's approval is in the gutter. No, not because of the payments, but at least in spite of them. It tangentially reminds me of Obamacare and how the Dems got nuked from orbit electorally the following year, except that was a direct cause and effect. But guess what? It's the law of the land. It was an irreversible step in the right direction. I like good policy too, way more than I like the teams that come up with them. If we could possibly get election reform as well as some real lasting action on climate change this term (BIG if), I would really take the sting out of the Republicans taking control of Congress and the presidency in 2024.
  4. People forget, but Trump did more than pander to the "free shit army". He ran a populist campaign. Yeah, that included racism and grievance but he also told everyone he wanted to tax the rich and "drain the swamp". Those are progressive policies. He co-opted the left as much as the right. Politically savvy considering he was running against a centrist. He then took corruption to heights never before seen. Not specifically responding to you, just pointing this out.
  5. So the Dems get blowback because of their fringe who want acceptance of inequality and equal rights but Republicans don't feel any repercussions from theirs, despite theirs basically staging a violent coup last January, trying to kidnap a sitting governor, and drowning in conspiracy and misinformation, among other things? Ok
  6. How is little Garbers looking tonight? Stats don't seem great.
  7. Oregon is a fraud in the top 10 but they stand a good chance of running the table until the CCG. That's how bad the Pac 12 is this year. Maybe Utah beats them.
  8. He is making an argument that is growing among the Right. Climate change denial is becoming unpopular, so the next argument isn't whether it's occurring, or even if we are responsible. The next few decades are instead going to be spent arguing about whether we make all cars electric and go to renewables by 2040 or just surround Florida with a giant seawall. Or if not all of Florida, at least The Villages. The argument is that it will all be a black swan that nobody saw coming, and that all we can do now is hold back the sea and install bigger air conditioners in our F550s, at least for the people who can afford them, while sticking with coal since at least now a whopping 5% of the emissions are successfully being captured.
  9. Damn it. Too much of a talent mismatch. Even Cristobal can't fuck that up.
  10. I doubt she runs for re-election in 2024. How does she think that future lobbying gig is going to work? Who is going to hire her? Democrats won't approach her and Republicans would rather hear from one of their own.
  11. This dude runs a Youtube channel on electoral commentary and such. Here's his breakdown on Oregon and Texas. Oregon analysis starts at 3:50. Texas at 7:43.
  12. Fivethirtyeight up with an informative piece on this map. Basically every representative is in a safer district except Vicente Gonzalez in TX-15, and he's retiring. That seat alone will determine whether Texas is 25-13 or 24-14. Can't overlook the effect that uncompetitive House races will have up and down the ballot. This new map will really hurt turnout.
  13. What does this mean? What kind of pressure does the state party really have over her? I imagine the DSSC will still control fundraising, and they will likely endorse her over any challengers.
  14. Ditto!
  15. Cal at Washington going to overtime.
  16. More like illegals in the Valley. From 538...
  17. Cool, but if I'm not mistaken, a ballot measure amends the state constitution which is a more permanent solution than legislation.
  18. Start gathering signatures for the ballot measure to eliminate recall elections now, please.
  19. The recall gained some real traction once Delta started getting out of hand. So far, exit polls show really good news for Newsom on that front. https://fivethirtyeight.com/live-blog/california-recall-election-newsom/
  20. No rain here in Sugar Land, but getting really breezy. It's got a noticeable eastward jog on the most recent radar loop. If that keeps up, it will put most of greater Houston in the clean side of the storm.
  21. He's been good tonight.
  22. Some of this is a hangover from European colonization. I think the Belgian colonizers, for example, played the Hutus and Tutsis off each other in Rwanda in order to keep them weak. The two tribes formerly didn't have much beef and it could be argued that they weren't really separate ethnic groups at all. I can't imagine a tiny country like Rwanda splitting apart into its constituent ethnic enclaves. In any case, Rwanda has really turned things around in the last 25 years, for the better.
  23. I came off as slightly primitivist as well. I'm not saying that's wrong, but it is interesting considering I am a scientist by profession. The question that I got most hung up on was the one that asked if I thought that normal people can be trusted to vote. I went with "Agree" but hesitated because I thought I should consider the current political climate rather than what I thought is generally true.
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