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Helobious

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Everything posted by Helobious

  1. But 538 isn’t even his thing anymore right? Morris is in charge now
  2. Why does everyone discredit Silver and say he’s shifted right? Because he posts predictions you don’t like? He’s a pretty well-respected mathematician that’s nailed every election except 2016. He hasn’t posted any personal political opinions that I know of. I wouldn’t be so quick to right him off.
  3. Damn. That’s the most pussy-whipped thing I’ve ever read.
  4. That tends to happen when you’re team gets bounced as quickly as yours did
  5. I think people have short attention spans, and those kind of events get washed out in the noise come election time. Roe v Wade overturned last month? Dems win. I feel the same about trump getting shot at. If that happened 2 weeks ago he wins in landslide. Now he’s going to have to sweat out this win.
  6. TIL that San Antonio has cheese shops. Seriously, just be normal and go to heb or Walmart
  7. Regression to mean. Trump barely won all those northern states in 2016, so it made sense why he lost them in 2020. The dems barely won Arizona, Nevada, and Georgia in 2020. It makes sense that they’d lose all 3 of those surprise wins in 2024.
  8. It takes some serious mental gymnastics to think that Harris is winning Nevada & Arizona. Georgia is unlikely but at least there’s data to point to the idea that she has a chance. She has nothing in Nevada or Arizona.
  9. It’s pretty clear the neighbor was making all of that up. Hope he gets charged on some level for being a dumbass. Doesn’t mean the husband is innocent, but still
  10. It’s a legitimate concern that seems very prevalent. To me the bullshit fearmongering is all the trans/bathroom stuff.
  11. Yep. I don’t consider myself that liberal. I think that wokeism is out of hand and damaging to the American psyche. You have a generation of young people now more worried about pronouns and having female leads in movies than about improving their lives and their communities. But goddamn, on the other side there’s religious (and often hypocritical) zealots openly trying to institute a theocracy, with some racism and general toxicity mixed in to their messages. While both sides are bad, to me one is clearly worse for the country
  12. That episode was so stupid. Yes let me hug this recently freed hostage who is soaking wet and smells like gasoline
  13. My grandpa’s favorite player. He was before my time but I know he was a hero to a lot of us. DEP Fernando.
  14. Iirc Eduardo Nunez had a 9th inning homer in game 4 and I was convinced he was going to be a breakout star in 2013. The other Yankee fan poster (morley man?) told me I was stupid
  15. 2012, Cabrera vs Posey. If Jeter doesn’t break his ankle in the ALCS Cabrera never makes it that far though
  16. The electoral college is pretty dumb. I think it’ll be insanely close and take days to sort out before Trump wins. But the map will make it look like he won in a blowout.
  17. I didn’t even notice that. I still think Kamala wins the popular vote but electoral map looks like this. Virginia should be a shade darker blue, clicked one two many times I guess
  18. I’m not saying she’s actually going to lose, I’m saying she’s in a very bad spot and the odds are (literally) against her
  19. Everything showing that Harris is doing bad is GOP propaganda? That doesn’t sound just a little too convenient to you?
  20. The polls have Harris losing, the betting markets have Harris losing, she’s doing dumb shit like going to Houston… a lot of copium being hit around here.
  21. Neighbor witness sounds full of shit:
  22. “A good idea doesn’t care who had it”
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