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TKthunder2

Certifiably Surly
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Everything posted by TKthunder2

  1. We’re Texas. We have our own identity and do not need the validation of others. We did not try to fit in with aggy, pig, or the tiny private schools of the SWC. We didn’t try to fit in with dirt burglars, corn, or the farm schools of the Big8. We won’t try to fit in with the Deep South mother fuckers either. If that makes us arrogant then so be it, but I’d rather be arrogant than try to fit in by doing stupid shit like this… https://athlonsports.com/girls/texas-ams-welcome-sec-video-disaster
  2. Only 20 stadiums outside the P2 that can even hold 60k and 7 of those are off campus built for bowls/pros.
  3. Fair, but if ESPN stops bidding on rights then those numbers will quickly fall dramatically. CBS/NBC have cut their sports business down to the bone. FOX only has so many channels. The market will reset at some point but while yes it’s clearly a factor (get someone else to share this load in case of the bubble popping) I don’t think it’s as big of a worry. Disney is looking to turn ESPN into a money making monster, but they just don’t want to be the face of the monster.
  4. 40 senators actually 9 states don’t have FBS teams (Alaska, Montana, ND, SD, Delaware, VT, NH, RI, Maine) 6 states don’t have Power 5 teams (Hawaii, Nevada, Idaho, Wyoming, New Mexico, Connecticut) This model drops 5 states from the P5 (Kansas, Maryland, New Jerseys, New York, and Massachusetts). This is the most contentious part of the whole process. Those states (other than Kansas) are also very large so it’s likely worth the revenue cut to just include a school from each and call it a day.
  5. It’s gambling. ESPN is getting into sport betting and fantasy betting. That doesn’t align with their whole family image around Mickey and the theme parks. They’ll partner with a third party like FanDuel or MGM and let them buy into a minority share of the company and they’ll be the face of the operation completely separate from the House of Mouse. ESPN’s branding could immediately make it the #1 gambling website in the WORLD in a very short amount of time. Online poker, off track betting, and every type of sports could be a one sport shop for main events, news, and betting. Their only possible connection would be the main OTA ABC channel.
  6. Really not a bad list but since this likely will carry over to basketball as well. Indiana not Purdue Maryland not Pitt UVA not VT and Kansas over WVU
  7. SEC is FAR better pound for pound and it’s not really close. The Big Ten has a lot of fat that will eventually need to be trimmed. Viewership aligns pretty closely to stadium size (excluding those with oversized off campus stadiums like Miami, UCLA, Temple, Pitt, UTSA, USF, Memphis, UNLV). Below is the rank of on campus stadiums with more than 50k seats, BOLD= >75k By capacity the SEC has 4, 5, 6, 7, 8, 9, 10, 11, 12, 18, 20, 25, 28, 31, 33 (NR: Vanderbilt) Big Ten has 1, 2, 3, 13, 15, 19, 21, 22, 23, 35, 39, 44, 45, 46, 47, 50 (off campus: UCLA)(NR: Northwestern) ACC has 14, 16, 24, 29, 32, 38, 43, 49 (off campus: Miami, Pitt)(NR: Syracuse, BC, Duke, Wake) ND is 17 B12 has 26, 30, 34, 36, 37, 40, 42, 48, 52, 53, 54 (NR: Baylor, TCU, UCF, UH, Cincy) PAC4: 27, 51 (NR: OSU, WSU) If you assume we’re moving to 3 Power conferences, outside of Vandy, every SEC school would be in the top 3rd. FSU/Clemson clearly make the cut and even UVA would make the top 3rd as well. Only UNC at 49 would fall outside the top 3rd. If you look at realignment through this lens, it seems most likely that the bloated Big Ten would be more likely to split than the SEC which seems far more aligned.
  8. With the setup I listed above 4 autobids/byes- UGA, Michigan, Clemson, Utah host 1st round- TCU, K State, USC, Tulane*(16) last in- tOSU, Bama, Tenn, Penn St So Tulane would have been the highest ranked conference champ or CCG participant and this would have bumped Washington. When conference move to divisionless setups for picking CCG participants Ohio State would have played Michigan in a rematch moving them into an host spot and Tulane would lose their spot to Washington. 4 autobids/byes- UGA, Michigan, Clemson, Utah host 1st round- TCU, K State, USC, tOSU last in- Bama, Tenn, Penn St, Washington This setup looks to be more fair. Bama/Tenn who did not win or play for their CCG should not get to host over those that did. With the new realignment to a mostly divisionless P4 you’ll see all 8 CCG participants in this field most years with an AAC/MWC champ sneaking in there occasionally over the 2nd place 3 loss ACC team. Put in a 50k seat minimum requirement to host but otherwise I think it would be a solid setup (until the ACC breaks).
  9. I think it’ll either be all at large spots or it’ll be 4 autobids (and byes) to the highest ranked champs. Personally I think only teams that wins their conference or play in their CCG should get to host as well. Would be some bullshit to have a Notre Dame team that only played 12 games with 3 weeks rest hosting a team that played a 13th game and lost with only 2 weeks of rest.
  10. Sports are different than other entertainment. Live eyeballs where you are a captive audience and have to watch commercials is extremely valuable. Sports also does not have significant replay value which sounds like a negative until you realize that if you’re a fan of a team you won’t drop your cable/streaming during the season. Other programming with high replay value can be picked up anytime. I know many people who cycle their services. They sign up for Netflix in Jan, watch everything and cancel then sign up for Max in Feb, Hulu in March, then back to Netflix and mix in a month of Apple when Ted Lasso is fully out. Sports makes it harder to game the system. Anyways, networks will keep paying, they are still valuable. They just may not pay everyone across the board as ESPN has for the last 40 years. Realignment (for all its negatives) is driving us towards a better product most moves (excluding Rutgers/Maryland which were purely market plays for money) we’re to improve the product.
  11. https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Turner_Broadcasting_System
  12. Not a sales guy, but shameless plug. This is literally what we do. https://www.q2.com/product/centrix-etms We sell this to banks/credit unions so situations exactly like you’re describing can be avoided. If this is an issue for you I highly recommend finding one with a Positive Pay solution like ours. If you need a local option, I’m happy to assist.
  13. Will they all get paid more…no, some yeah The idea was to take Cal/Stanford at reduced shares and SMU and maybe Rice at zero shares for the remainder of the ACC’s contract. Those shares would go to FSU/Clemson and maybe UNC/Miami to shut them up. Adding more schools now that have nowhere to go also makes it harder to dissolve or otherwise break open the conference. Also, if FSU, Clemson, Miami, UNC, UVA leave the weak ACC members (Wake Forest) know they are in the same position as WSU/OSU. More numbers means they might be able to keep the band together and expand and not fall prey to the Big 12 (they actually have a lot of realistic candidates, 3 obviously in the B12 and more in the AAC). Yes, ACCN on SFO, DFW/Hou would help (if they could get it) but that is secondary. With the current structure, a logical world would have: Tier One Conferences: SEC: South (South adjacent) Big Ten: Everything else Tier Two Conferences: Big12: West of Mississippi ACC: East of Mississippi Tier Three Conferences: AAC: Eastern/Central Timezone MWC: Mountain/Pacific Timezone Tier Four Conferences: Sun Belt: South (South adjacent) MAC: Midwest Tier Five Conferences: CUSA: anyone and everyone but logic and timing and TV deals don’t always align so we may end up with a nasty hodgepodge.
  14. The idea I’ve seen floated out there is merger and dump the Eastern footprint (assumes Stanford joins Big Ten with ND). ACC loses 4+ND=10 merge with Big 12=26+UConn+Cal=28 and you have 2 conferences of 14 (one of each side of the Mississippi) with joint tv contracts, scheduling agreements and a network.
  15. Men’s football and basketball (if they run a profit) should be exempt from Title IX. Anything that is unprofitable and cost resources should be balanced dollar per dollar.
  16. Pretty major overhaul, rerouting or burying those power lines must have cost a pretty penny.
  17. https://www.cbssports.com/college-football/news/texas-a-m-shuts-down-controversial-12th-man-nil-fund-after-irs-threatens-foundations-nonprofit-status/
  18. ISU to Colorado was what 10 hours? Back when they took buses and not planes. I get where you’re coming from (and the regionally is one of the reasons I’m glad Texas landed in the SEC while Texas is it’s own region we share some traits with the PAC/B8/SEC but nothing with the Big Ten) but when LA to NYC takes around 5 hours it’s a different landscape than when these regional conferences that primarily traveled by bud were formed.
  19. I agree in spirit, but honestly we’re talking about a single rivalry here Michigan/MSU. The others aren’t important in the long term (Iowa can have Nebraska every year and rotate Wisc/Minn every other years and now get more home games from Michigan/Ohio St/Penn St/USC as a consolation prize). USC/UCLA, UW/UO, Neb/Iowa, Wisc/Minn, IL/NW, IND/Purdue, tOSU/Mich, PSU/MSU, Rut/MD would all be preserved. Only Michigan v Michigan State as an instate rivalry would go from annual to every other year. Is that one rivalry big enough to stop this train? We’re at least thinking about it, so maybe…
  20. That doesn’t make the statement he thinks it does. Iowa/MichiganSt/Purdue/Rutgers all played at the same time a drew 1.47 million viewers ALTOGETHER. That’s less than 370,000 viewers per game if you average it out. Ohio State (who also was opposite a rating giant of Bama@UT) averaged out to 700k and Michigan averaged out to 500k, both more than Iowa/ISU (who were opposite Tenn@Pitt)
  21. I agree with this. The Big 12 has visibility. Just like TCU this year their ratings went from 1 million viewers then they beat Oklahoma and jumped to 2 million then they beat Texas and jumped to 4 million in their final 2 games. I can easily see the same thing happening with nearly any Big 12 favor of the year though I do think without being able to beat UT/OU and easier access to the playoff that 4 million viewers will be rare and infrequent.
  22. Fuck pods.
  23. And that’s fair. But the main point now in the world of streaming is who has an invested fan base that brings the eyeballs. Stadium capacity that gets utilized (not UCLA) is going to be an indicator of who the major targets are.
  24. Again this is just plain wrong. Clemson has a top 15 stadium by capacity, is top 15 is all time wins, and has the most ACC titles. While Dabo has been great for Clemson you can’t assign him credit for all of that. There are 24 teams with home stadiums with 70k+ seats. 21 of those are current/future members of the BigTen/SEC. The other 3? Clemson 81,500 Florida State 79,500 Notre Dame 77,600 These are the top football schools left on the board. This shouldn’t really be an argument here.
  25. Those athletes can transfer anywhere. Texas, Florida, Georgia, Michigan, Ohio State and many other can pump out Olympic athletes just as well as Stanford and Cal.
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