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TKthunder2

Burnt Ends
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Everything posted by TKthunder2

  1. Stay classy. If you do immediately know an example in history where a nation decided to attack another to claim territory when they were having massive internal problems at home then I can’t help you. South Korea and Switzerland have reversed their positions on supporting Ukraine (even if just passively). Iran also announced it would change its position on Ukraine and would now be linking its banking system with Russia.
  2. We can agree to disagree, but just to clarify. The COVID part was more pointed at China and less at India. The thought is that of the pickup and focus on Taiwan has been that China’s COVID policies have been an abject failure and their only play has been an over the top focus on nationalistic pride. A ‘quick and decisive’ re-conquering of Taiwan forcing reunification (I feel like I’ve seen this movie before) would be a way to deflect from that failure and highlight a major milestone for the people of mainland China to celebrate. China’s lust for Taiwan won’t go way, and with the world distracted by Russia, this could be their best opportunity to reach that goal without making front page headlines all over the globe. While people would not be happy with them, with the war in Ukraine and a possible world wide recession on the horizon, would limit the ability to enact too many sanctions. But even if they do enact some token sanctions, China now has a few partners in Iran/Russia/NK plus a few like India/Brazil that are less inclined to follow the lead of the West that could help offset. Still China would mostly be betting that the US can’t quit China’s cheap labor cold turkey, and that they’d eventually get away with it and everything would normalize within a few years.
  3. Two theaters of war. Iran has already been assisting Russia. I don’t think it’s a far fetched as you do for a WWIII situation to arise with teams already loosely established (West/West like countries supporting Ukraine vs Russia and their allies/China/NK/Iran). The Middle East is a mess and with South Korea considering going nuclear, China and India struggling with COVID the Far East isn’t much better. Can mutually assured destruction prevent this from going full all out war? Absolutely…but I see a powder keg waiting for a match to kick off and this could be the start of that. When the major players are focused on one war other players may try to take advantage of the distraction. North Korea/South Korea, China/Taiwan, India/Pakistan, Israel/Iran were all on my bingo card once Russia invaded and I think we can check off that last one now as Israel flying into Iran’s airspace seems like a pretty major escalation to me. Yes, this could be a lot of nothing, but I think a reasonable person would agree that with Israel’s direct attack on Iran, we are closer to WWIII this week than we were last week.
  4. My point was FOX is missing out on ~20 games between ‘23 & ‘24 including a pair of RRSO game and Michigan at Texas in ‘24. Giving them more inventory/options with conference game from BYU/UH/Cincy/UCF aren’t going to move the needle. Out of those, the only notable OOC home game in 23/24 is Cincy hosting Pitt in 2024. Clearly that’s not an even trade for FOX. I’m not sure what if anything that has to do with a boycott. At this point Texas/OU want to leave, the Big 12 wants them gone, ESPN wants them in 2024 (after they get the 1st tier rights from CBS but could likely live with getting them a year early), so FOX is the only sticking point and they have a legitimate issue here. How do you compensate them for 20 games of Texas/OU over 2 seasons including 3 major blueblood vs blueblood opportunities? Putting aside the logistics of getting it scheduled, but even if both agreed to a 6 year OOC series (encompassing the full timeline of the Big 12’s new deal) think 6 year agreement for Texas/Tech & Oklahoma/OSU (or just home and home with UT v TCU/Tech/Baylor & OU v OSU/KSU/ISU), that would still only give FOX the opportunity for 6 UT/OU games (which they would also have to fight with ESPN for those rights, since the B12 is a joint ESPN/FOX agreement) and that doesn’t even offset a single year of their deal with UT/OU in the B12, much less 2. If I was FOX I’m not going to play ball unless I get a long term series or multiple OOC from both UT/OU, and I make ESPN trade me some game picks and/or straight inventory from their agreement to offset my loss. In summary, 2023 seems like a near impossibility, but 2024 could happen with some wheeling and dealing between UT/OU/ESPN and FOX.
  5. I agree with most of what you said, but this is what I disagree with as those consequences could be immediate. I do appreciate the detailed response. +rep
  6. Proxy war via Palestinians may now be returned in force with a proxy war in Iran from their own citizens with Israel finally supplying the weapon via intermediaries. If Israel is this bold Iran will respond even more brazenly. US has been holding Israel back but if Iran slips one through the Iron Dome then Israel and Iran may go into a full on war of hurling drones and missiles at each other which then could include multiple players in the region like Azerbaijan, Turkey, and Saudi Arabia. You’re right that this could just be another escalation in the on going back and forth but this seems far more brazen to me which is why I honestly believe this could be the start of something bigger.
  7. Yes agree Russia started it, but it’s currently contained to Ukraine. If Iran/Israel start going at it all gloves are off and this may be the flashpoint for a wider far reaching conflict.
  8. Did Israel just start WWIII? China/Taiwan you’re on deck.
  9. Yep he had a bunch of sock accounts that he used to like/retweet all his content. Basically one of these racist ‘Texas fans’ was liking/retweeting all of his aggy tweets which didn’t make sense. His sock accounts also didn’t have but 4-5 followers and they basically all just followed each other and he followed them all on his main account. It didn’t take a lot of CSI investigations to put two and two together that he was the true racist tweeting at high school boys.
  10. Social programs and defense spending require an ever increasing population. You cut social security, Medicare, public education, public works (roads, parks, utilities) down to the bone/privatize and strip the military down to just patrolling our own border and maintaining the nukes and it might be possible. But as none of those will occur in any reasonable amount of time (for better or worse) we have to figure out how to support an aging population while at the same time getting through rising healthcare/education cost and housing/water shortages. Go us!
  11. Daniel ‘Wilson’ got married and people started sending him wedding presents. The website is dead now but yeah he changed his name again.
  12. When he got married it was Daniel Wilson aka Daniel Joseph aka Daniel Figurelli.
  13. True but (not discounting the cost of supporting them) you guys do realize that these countries demographics desperately need immigrants right? Most would rather take Ukrainian and Russian refugees than those from Africa/Middle East. Right or wrong, Muslim immigrants have been problematic for most of Europe.
  14. To be fair they aren’t just losing the RRSO. During the regular season this year FOX/FS1 had a Texas or Oklahoma game every weekend except for the RRSO which was on ABC this year, a week where OU had a bye, and one random week where Texas was on ABC and OU was on ESPN2. So FOX is losing roughly 10 games each year. They still have the same number of game inventory, but the quality will take a hit without Texas/OU.
  15. Depends on what metrics you’re really looking at (undergrad, research, quality, doctoral) but after Texas it’s roughly: Kansas, Oklahoma, Iowa State, Baylor TCU, Tech, Oklahoma State K State West Virginia
  16. Yep it hits home. Maybe this should go on the Dad thread, but I’ve seen a similar one about not knowing the last time you pick up and carry your son. My boys is 6, and I think about it pretty often.
  17. Would be very difficult for that to happen, as you’d have to get ESPN and the SEC to agree. Locking down a few out of conference games with Big 12 teams is the path of least resistance, even if it’s not our favorite option.
  18. Hiring ahead of your attrition rate was a big deal over the last decade in tech. While cutting certain departments down to the most efficient head count (fewest) they could manage to get the job done, it quickly became apparent that you couldn’t stay on top of your work as soon as you had attrition. And while cutting cost is good for the stock holders on the surface, not getting development, support or implemented on schedule is bad for retaining clients and revenue. As a result workforce management runs numbers to anticipate hiring needs relative to workload and attrition rates so that they can keep running lean without falling too far behind in their business needs. If it take 3 months to get someone fully trained up then you’re typically 3 months behind (not to mention the front-loaded lag time from recruiting, HR, new hire orientation, etc). When you hear slowing down hiring, it typically means they are adjust those numbers due to lower than expected attrition. If I hired two new devs in Q3 in anticipation that 2 would leave between Q4/Q1 and none have left, then slowing down hiring is completely normal and almost a nonevent as the team is now sitting heavy in headcount (which also makes it ripe for layoffs, either cutting underperformers or high cost employees that no longer justify the salary). This is only noteworthy because it’s happening at scale across the industry and now the talent market (which has been bereft of talent recently) is now flooded with a few hundred thousand new applicants. I’d only get concerned if we see another round of layoffs later this year at this same scale. The market correction is good for the business and recent events have given just about every company a free pass to recalibrate their talent. I feel for anyone that was affect by this but on the bright side if tech keeps growing most of these people will find new jobs within a few months.
  19. Everything you said is true, but he’s not a true dictator or else elections (even rigged ones) wouldn’t happen. If he appears to bend to the West and the religious/conservatives will not be happy and the “election” would give them an opportunity do express that unhappiness. The liberal/progressives (if you can even call them that) could also join the protest (because why not take advantage) and that is often the prefect precursor for lightning the fuse on a regime change. Fake dictators stay in power by giving the illusion of choice but that illusion can be dangerous…which is why these “elections” are still politically important in regards to the NATO elevations.
  20. Seems like a lot of people are glossing over this little tidbit. ”With an election slated for May, Erdogan is aiming to burnish his support from religious conservatives.” I would bet after the May election they “negotiate” and they all are singing Kumbaya by the Annual NATO Labor Day cookout.
  21. Zero, only 46 Johns. It was sting on the clients only.
  22. Men that see this bust in that area may temporarily lower their frequency of visits to prostitutes. But in a few months or even weeks it’ll be right back to normal. Enforcement shit like this is pointless.
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