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TwiceHorn

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Everything posted by TwiceHorn

  1. I see as much downside as upside.
  2. Are prep school guys named Christian from tony NYC burbs really gritty? He looks the part. Has a rather declasse surname, though.
  3. No one is "glazing" Russia or China. Long experience has taught us the regime change without pretty exquisite post-coup planning opens us up to local resentment and for our enemies to make further inroads in supporting our opponents, or people who may become our opponents. This is showing all the earmarks of a hasty, poorly thought out even if militarily well-executed feat of clumsy international "diplomacy."
  4. Oh, I don't even think it's even about oil reserves. That's a post-hoc justification. It's just an ego-fit by Trump that has some vague connections to something "good," and a whole lot of pretty bad outcomes. He took out a world leader, quien es mas macho?
  5. AFAIK, Fred is one of the good guys despite the errors in that post.
  6. Was wondering for a bit how chicken killed thousands of Americans.
  7. Ain't nothin gonna change. No one actually gives a shit about fraud. What part of performative don't you get?
  8. https://www.usatoday.com/story/news/politics/2026/01/05/hegseth-mark-kelly-censure-pentagon-court-martial/88029585007/ According to this, they can't reduce his retirement without a reduction in grade. There is a hearing process for that. Whiskey Pete may be a bit over his skis here. Although I'm sure they think they have it rigged.
  9. Notable somewhat that Sheena has changed from that ludicrous Lionheart sports to a blank site agency. https://www.aicsports.net/
  10. Never thought I'd say this, but bring on Medicare!
  11. I suppose we should add that not guilty by reason of insanity is not the same as an acquittal. In most jurisdictions, those not guilty by insanity are instead committed to mental health treatment facilities for an indeterminate term, for release upon medical assessment that no longer a danger to themselves or society. See, e.g. John Hinkley. So, it's not like they escape "punishment" entirely, and, they are incapacitated for most purposes as if in prison. Prison is a notoriously bad environment for the floridly mentally ill, in terms of the prisoner's well being and that of the prison environment, let alone any conceptions of rehabilitation. I honestly think the definition of insanity for this purpose should be expanded given that it was conceived of long before psychology and psychiatry had reached their current state. That would entail more state hospitals that would probably converge to prison-like conditions. But maybe not. It seems a more humane and rational way to deal with this kind of thing.
  12. Is that Obamacare or employer-sponsored? I'm self-employed and made the core decision years ago just to bear SE tax and insurance cost on Obamacare by myself. I'm toying with seeking an of-counsel arrangement that would include access to a group plan, but as a 1099, probably going to have to bear full freight on that, and, in the past, small group plans haven't been a whole lot better than Obamacare. They do tend to offer more comprehensive coverage.
  13. Seriously, though. That type of government program fraud is pretty rampant everywhere, including right here in redass, MAGA Mayes Middleton, Texas. This is a complete right-wing con-job. A Chris Rufo hoax. A veritable witch hunt.
  14. Usually, the lowest plans available are right at or under $1000/month for two, approaching retirement age, reasonable health, light to medium utilization. This year, they started at about $1600 for off-brand stuff. Went with Oscar, which I had had before and went ok.
  15. For the same plan, year on year, up about 1600/month, or more than 100%. The original signing deadline was 12/15, so everyone should have seen it already. I am guardedly able to apply a small amount of tax credit (that I may or may not be entitled to depending on how the income year turns out). I don't usually take it, but this year switched plans and applied a couple hundred a month to keep the increase to about 30%. May regret that next April, we'll see.
  16. It's not like Cuba was some picnic for lower-class Cubans under Somoza. Some landowners had a pretty nice life there, but I find it highly unlikely that they'd get their land back or be able to assemble anything resembling their old life under Emperador por vida del Estados Unidos Esteban Meeler.
  17. That is my point. Which is why I said "err'one uses em."
  18. Pretty sure Trump thinks everyone in business a) puts up other people's money and b) extracts a management or license fee to make money.
  19. Well, he's making it like he didn't want to leave but we forced him.
  20. And, we already had a lot of presence in Panama, militarily, and soft power. Hell, we practically installed Noriega.
  21. Well, all that said. being recruited over, with or without the money, definitely sends a signal. I think the money commitment makes that signal even worse. The investment in the player recruited over you makes it more likely they get snaps regardless of merit. I'm glad this crap didn't come along until I was older, more cynical, and less inclined to give a shit. When I was a student and for some years after, I saw these guys as a lot like me and my fellow students (hello fellow kids!).
  22. I don't know that you can make pronouncements about democracy in either Iraq or Venezuela. The problem is, the guy who did it. He never does anything that doesn't benefit him as directly as possible. Exactly what his precise motives here are unknown, but you can count on some form of self-dealing. And you're correct that anything in the aftermath the Trump administration can fuck up it will, and to a fare-the-well. There aren't any democracy believers in the administration, certainly not Trump. We've done this before with varying combinations of democracy belief and corruption, that is better men and worse. It's always ended up corrupt. Even and especially if we get a friendly corrupt administration. It's going to throw the doors wide for our enemies. If Venezuela lands on democracy, it will be an amazing accident of historical proportions.
  23. Unless he was having his scholarship revoked, it was all in his control. Take what's offered compete for playing time, prove em wrong on both counts. Or bounce. Your call.
  24. Stop and think about it. You were in Iraq. Saddam was a bad guy, sure. Are Iraqis better off? Is the world? Saddam is gone, that's about all you can say. Life in Iraq for most Iraqis still sucks. Who "won" in that one?
  25. Especially when this is just another abuse of executive power.
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