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40acredropout

Burnt Ends
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Everything posted by 40acredropout

  1. I peaked at lines last night and had same take on TCU, KU, Texas, USC lines. No super strong conviction on the others. You feel strongly on Tennessee? I'm having hard time getting myself to them beating Gators by 11 just knowing how one sided series has been. I know that doesn't make a shit and Florida looked like ass last week, I just can't get there in my head. On betting Iowa O/U, feels like betting over is the equivalent of trying to throw deep when your QB sucks ass but they're stacking 9 (or 10) in the box on you. 35.5 is such an absurdly low line. Dating back to 2003, of 14,889 game sample, only 10 games have been at that O/U line or lower. Offenses have to be putrid for that line to be put out in the first place so I guess it shouldn't be shocking that 7/10 of those games hit the under. Neither Iowa or Rutgers has shown me anything to feel strongly on the Over, that's just such a low total I can't help but question it.
  2. Just to stir some shit up... https://www.teamrankings.com/ncf/odds-movement/ats/results/ Teamrankings.com has historical line movement dating back to 2008 season. 11,583 games. Largest movement from opening to close was 8 points which happened only 14 times. This would miss a scenario where a star was injured in the previous game as that injury is presumably baked into opening line of following week. So dating back to 2008, there hasn't been an instance of a player being unexpectedly unavailable after opening lines were published that resulted in more than an 8 point swing.
  3. Looks like #15... are we sure that's not Will Stone though?
  4. Texas- 48 Tech- 31 Receivers- 235 yards
  5. Probably because Anwar’s dumbass claimed he saw the video of something that didn’t happen (the dipshit “mounting” bevo). Video clearly shows the handlers stopping the guy as he was climbing the fence and then getting taken down by the cop… never got close to Bevo. But Anwar had to be part of it.
  6. Holy fuck I got my ass handed to me this week lol. 4-10 straight picks, missed my sucker dawg ML parlay as well. Now 24-25 on the year.
  7. Lol college fucking football man. Had my worst week gambling in the last 3 seasons and of course I nail the score here. Smdh.
  8. Dude. The preferred nomenclature is mo thicc
  9. Have these dumbfucks not seen our Alamo bowl record? We are obv gonna own them.
  10. Tell me you're old without telling me you're old.
  11. This was my first thought. Or maybe the UTSA hype video put some fear in Sark and he isn't comfortable rolling with Wright anymore.
  12. Where will all the dumb hot chicks go?
  13. who that posts on here do you think had enough friends to fill a large table?
  14. In last 6 games I believe they have 5 offensive TD’s and 11 turnovers. Not great.
  15. Did you or him make more money last year?
  16. I hope so but I'll believe it when I see it. I don't know how many times the last 10+ years we've heard players talk about how the mentality/culture has changed for the better. Players know the right things to say. I don't trust that shit though, show us on the field. Yeah, you showed us something Saturday. Do it again. And again. And again.
  17. A commitment from a freshman from Hereford, Tx. Didn’t think I’d see that.
  18. At least he had the stones to go to the frickin camps, unlike Arch /aggy
  19. Not surprising she's a grammar nazi. Written word was always going to be her primary form of communication with there always being a dick in her mouth.
  20. Added to my card everything below line... this should be it: O47 Air Force @ Wyoming U58.5 Purdue @ Syracuse OU -11.5 @ Nebraska O57.5 Buffalo @ Coastal Carolina O48.5 Tulane @ Kansas State Nevada +23 @ Iowa USC -12.5 vs Fresno State Texas -11 vs UTSA U61.5 Western Kentucky @ Indiana BYU +3.5 @ Oregon U58 BYU @ Oregon U47 Colorado @ Minnesota Michigan State +3.5 @ Washington U56.5 Michigan State @ Washington Sucker Road Dawg ML Parlay: BYU, Michigan State, Miami, Western Kentucky -> $10 to win $506
  21. good call
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