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BehoId, The Underminer!

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Everything posted by BehoId, The Underminer!

  1. since my harrowing experience yesterday allowed me to put faces to this, its even more depressing than normal.
  2. some discussion in nyt today. https://www.nytimes.com/2024/09/04/upshot/kamala-harris-trump-polls.html
  3. Its something that has shown up over dozens of polls throughout the year as far as I can tell.
  4. The numbers for black and hispanic voters going to Trump is starting to get concerning. But the topline numbers suggest similar stuff as 2020. Does that mean there is a white shift that offsets it?
  5. I went into the BoA lobby yesterday at noon. First weekday of the month, I realized too late. That is the median voter.
  6. take what you can get. it's either that or the bobbitt route
  7. they'll make nice bookends for our country
  8. I bet if you made a $ spent advertising vs. votes changed graph, it would looks something like this.
  9. i see you've given up your "identical map to 2020" prediction.
  10. Silver or someone like that tweeted that the winner of PA has a 90%+ chance of winning it all.
  11. There's a killer on the loose, and Benoit Blanc has him in his sights: Is it dashing Tom Cruise? Matthew McCannaughey? The reanimated corpse of Marlon Brando? Pope Francis? Warren Buffett? That giant stack of gold krugerrands? Find out in the next installment of $$$GLASS ONION
  12. i think i've seen a 95% identical facebook post every election since facebook
  13. As BrickHorn points out, you have to remember that math like this assumes they are independent, like dice rolls. These very very much are not independent. If the one in three hits on Texas, 95% chance it hits on FL too. So there's a 1 in three she gets either of them. There's pretty close to a 1 in three she gets both of them as well.
  14. im pretty interested in finding out every thought mhanna has had in his entire life. edit: IM IN LUCK!
  15. I think Dale just said he wouldn’t wife Sydney Sweeney.
  16. Her confidence is astounding.
  17. lot of good ones today.
  18. That’s with a red PA and red WI too.
  19. That’s the nice thing about graves, it works with either spelling.
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