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Duane Moore

Burnt Ends
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Everything posted by Duane Moore

  1. I don’t understand why he emphasizes the pre-invasion intelligence and public warnings it makes him look impotent that Russia disregarded his threats. But prepared remarks are being delivered well.
  2. Are those teleprompters I see set up next to the podium? Is that normal for a press conference?
  3. Scares you to death. You know, 50% of all candidates lose every Election Day.
  4. You may be shitfaced by the time he actually shows up
  5. They’ve also been expecting to go after Kamala because it’s clear that she would be taking over at some point in a hypothetical second Biden term. And they have enough ammunition on her to recreate the bank heist scene from Heat.
  6. I assume the appeal of Vance is to go for the kill in the rust belt states and shore up Trump’s slippage in the white working class vote that he lost there between 2016 and 2020. Also a smart guy and will likely be a competent debater. Vance apparently made the intros that got Trump in with the Silicon Valley donors for his big fundraiser there last month. Of course it could be as simple as Trump likes him because his last name is one syllable. “Trump - Vance” sounds best to him. People say Trump wouldn’t pick Haley or Rubio because they are too ambitious and might try to depose him, but I think you need to watch your back around anyone who could shift so radically between where he was on Trump circa 2015 and where he is now.
  7. I’m sure there are plenty of clips of her on the stump being more focused and prosecuting the case against Trump, but this clip from today captures the Kamala problem in a nutshell. She just sounds like a new age self help guru when she goes on these riffs. BTW, lots of chatter that Vance is the VP pick for Trump.
  8. In the spirit of wrestling analogies, I’m half expecting Trump’s RNC speech to be a version of Shawn Michaels’ “Old Yeller” promo on Ric Flair for his retirement match at Wrestlemania.
  9. My God, listen to these braying hyenas
  10. I’m just picturing comms staffers all over the Hill with pdf attachments to blast emails of their every press contact and a subject line of “FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE,” fingers poised over the “Send” button ready to fire at the first mental breakdown in this presser.
  11. Who is the Tom Hagen of the Democratic Party that can go have a conversation with Joe “Frankie Five Angels” Biden about they did things in the Roman times and how they’ll take care of his family when he steps down?
  12. Apparently Barron’s going to NYU https://www.thedailybeast.com/we-hear-barron-trump-will-attend-nyu
  13. I’m too lazy to go look them up but I think there have been similar profiles in the last two weeks in NYT, WaPo, and WSJ.
  14. The Joementum is real! In all seriousness, I know national polls only mean so much and a NPV tie will be an EC loss for Biden, but these tossup polls are relevant because they are giving the Biden camp ammunition for their argument to stay in the race. The longer it looks like he has a shot, the harder it is for anyone to force him out. It’s only July, and making up 2-3 points between now and November is a lot more realistic than having to make up 5-7.
  15. The Lord Almighty Or the next best thing
  16. Then what are we worrying about? He’s probably up by 10 and cruising to re-election. Well good thing there won’t be any of those thirds on the ballot
  17. This is correct. We’ve never had an election where the public’s opinions of both candidates is so fixed and set in stone. In a normal election a performance like that would have dropped Biden 5-10 points in a week. I was thinking 2-4 points given the dynamic we’ve seen all year, but he’s currently only dropped 1.8 points in the RCP average from the day of the debate. It’s what’s giving him a real argument to stay in.
  18. Stringing this into next week, running out the clock. But counter-programming the RNC?
  19. They’ll have plenty of fire trained on Kamala, because even if Joe stays at the top of the ticket, people understand he won’t stay there for four years if they win. Thread title out front should have told you. That’s the problem, nobody can agree on who that is. What does it say about how people on Capitol Hill regard Kamala’s chances that they haven’t coalesced around her when they obviously think Biden has no shot?
  20. It’s elder abuse at this point.
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