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LCHorn

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Everything posted by LCHorn

  1. The Freese at 3b case is buoyed by a 2011 performance in which he was the best player in the world for three weeks. It’s easy to overlook because who gives a fuck about St. Louis.
  2. This was better highlighted in the comments, but Correa’s postseason numbers are MUCH better than Jeters.
  3. I've been practicing a cockney accent so at least they don't know I'm American. "Pommies frights, what the devil is this?!?!" and "Oi! Put on the footy!"
  4. Counterpoint-it’s not sustainable for the Democrats to require an Obama-esque statesman in order to win elections by sufficient margin that they can pass legislation. Turning out current Democrats is not enough. On another note, listened to Pod Save America on my morning run and they have mixed feelings on pegging the resistance around Obamacare subsidies and Medicaid cuts, as those have very noticeable harms that GOP congressional candidates should have to answer for, and that Dem representatives are either unlikely to save them or get credit if they do. Also listened to Steven Pinker on the Dax Shepard podcast (long run), and he would remind us that power is purely perceptional and consensus based. This is Trump’s brilliance, in that he understands that he needs to keep the circus going and probably delights in a shut-down because of all the attention it brings. The Dems should, too, as they’ve been almost totally unable to promote any message outside of safe spaces.
  5. Ezra Klein was on with Tim Miller at The Bulwark and they talked about this-two 2018 shut downs didn’t hurt the GOP electoral prospects in 2020 (they picked up seats) or in 2014 following the 2013 shut-down (again, picked up seats). It’s just not something voters appear to place a big priority on. Also, you’re giving the GOP way too much credit for strategic maneuvering over a long period of time. They basically got lucky that they found a master communicator who can speak stupid to a cohort of voters emboldened by social media algorithms that every one of their infantile thoughts is precious and equally valid as those from the better educated, and should be spread publicly on Facebook and Twitter.
  6. The problem with this strategy is the admin's disregard for previous commitments (which is why I think the deal has to be made in more legally binding way. How you do that I have zero clue). It's pretty clear that the money that is previously allocated by Congress but canceled by the executive is being spent at Trump's discretion.
  7. I'm still not convinced he wins his primary. He's the Christian version of Elizabeth Warren, which probably explains his support in these parts.
  8. No pics, but had Franklin today; got there at 12:15, maybe 20 minutes of waiting in line.
  9. You jest, but something does seem off about the chemistry. It could be as easy as too many new faces, but it’s another reason why I want a more seasoned manager.
  10. Reddit keeps feeding me CSR content and because I’m like a moth to a flame I keep clicking on them. It appears that the consensus is that you have to cleverly use the Edit hotel benefit, like the above, to get much value from it. Amex Plat, by comparison, looks a lot easier.
  11. @Wulaw Horn has stronger feelings about him than I do; I'm mostly interested in upgrading over a comfort hire. Dusty had gotten independent in ways that defied the needed mind meld between GM and field manager; Espada promised to be a team player and had been in the org for five years so had familiarity with personnel. I didn't mind giving him a shot but he's a caretaker and we're not good enough to get by with that anymore.
  12. I’m relying on what Bobby or Gerry wrote previously (or misremembering), but I believe it was said we were willing to match the NIL commitment back when he committed.
  13. Re: Bochy, I’ll add that dumping Espada and hiring Bochy is exactly the kind of splash off-season move that Crane appears to get excited about (and possibly overruling his GM):
  14. This is silly: Bochy is going into the HOF once he’s eligible and I’ll be shocked if a fired Espada ever gets higher than bench coach again. Correa has two priorities-getting paid and winning. Organizing an affirmative action program for MLB management is going to be pretty low on the list.
  15. They are essential but presumably will be lightly staffed as unpaid TSA workers stage a sick-out. More troubling is the same action undergone by the air traffic controllers.
  16. Utilizing government agencies as propaganda delivery needs to be high on the list of corrupt practices addressed by a future Dem leadership. Right now, GOP house members are happy to hide behind the Senate because they don’t have enough votes for cloture. Once the GOP majority in the Senate eliminates the filibuster you’ll see shit in the fan in the House.
  17. Not to change the subject from unruly cyclists, but I would be happy to fork over $2k, $3k annually for a BART type rail line. I’m just confounded we can’t seem to build that kind of thing here.
  18. All three of these are obvious upgrades on a Dusty-esque year-to-year, let’s see how it goes contract. If Espada gets fired I’m going to particular enjoy the carnage in the Chandler Rome comment section as the general opinion there is he’s MOY. The Athletic comments are the absolute dumbest group of posters outside of every SEC school that isn’t us.
  19. I think that was just happenstance and/or management futility. Most mature, good teams end up being stars and scrubs, even before the CBT, just because owners end up holding the line somewhere on payroll. The author (really dating myself, but it was probably Gary Huckabay) was commenting on how teams like the Pirates (and then Royals) never commit to one strategy or another and end up signing mid-tier free agents so they can finish 3rd in the AL Central. You really don’t see that as much in the era of broadly adopted analytics even with minimum payroll requirements. Regardless, Crane/Brown need to get creative on the margins because there’s not a lot of payroll flexibility outside of maybe moving Walker or someone else that retains upside.
  20. First time for me, no kids. Spouse has already seen all top attractions so things like the Eiffel are a check in the box (for me) so that we’ve done it together. Plus, I’ve always wanted to kiss deeply with a girl on the tower and I doubt my wife will approve if it’s not her.
  21. That’s why I’m trying to not over-schedule 😀
  22. Stars and scrubs is in reference to an old Baseball Prospectus team building article and it’s more in reference to how to best optimize payroll across the team than as a judge of talent. We have a fairly mature roster with the veterans getting paid market, a few cost controlled assets with potentially large surplus values like Brown or maybe Smith, and a few JAG’s that need to be replaced once they get expensive (Dubon, Meyers). Dubon is probably worth it on a team with a lower payroll or less established veterans in the infield.
  23. So it looks like we’re going to spend 6 days in Paris broken up by three days in Aix. Have Septime booked for dinner, Eiffel Tower, Louvre, and Musee D’ Orsay booked (Notre Dame doesn’t accept reserves until two days before). Any other must-do’s that aren’t time consuming? Our hotels are in Le Marais if that matters.
  24. Haha, David Brooks being forced to face up to the emptiness of his understanding for anyone outside his bubble is one of my favorite NYT drinking games.
  25. Counterpoint-the Dems have been focused on policy solutions since 1992 designed to benefit Americans but blame GOP recalcitrance for a failure to implement popular programs about which they themselves are quietly unsupportive. I’m eager for them to pass a billionaire tax just because, and so are a lot of people. I don’t care if it’s unsound economically, or doesn’t really raise much in revenue. It’s simply good optics and the Dems need to remind voters which side of the fence they’re on. I’m avidly watching the potential candidates in 2028 try out different messages and I’m going to support whichever one gets their head around the idea that Trump has broken the norms sufficiently that preserving limits to power simply out custom is stupid.
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