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LCHorn

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Everything posted by LCHorn

  1. So your solution is to tack left? I reluctantly read that same Brett Stephens op-Ed I the Times, even though I know better, because it had a sexy headline, and he did his usually great job of assuming his opinion is representative of larger group than an elite east coast/mexican Jew boarding school kid. All that said, he’s mostly right in the diagnosis if always wrong about the solution (his solution is always that the Dems should be more like, well, Brett himself). But I don’t disagree that the Dems need to re-organize around a center that has abandoned them.
  2. I would have to think either offer starts with Chet and Sengun. I don’t know why Milwaukee would want FVV, or why we’d want to hunt for a new pg if we’re going all in with the trade (I get it’s more of an obvious case based on making the salaries work).
  3. Is anyone else getting hit up by Jose Garza for fundraising emails and texts? I don’t know what fundraising entity sold him my contact information but it was wildly misspent.
  4. Defense has to be really bad at second for me to think that’s where we should be willing to sacrifice offense, particularly playing between Pena and Walker. And he’s an out machine. That said, I can live with him there. It’s letting Dubon take away at bats from any of the rostered outfielders that I really object to (even fucking Chas).
  5. I don’t know what we have to offer that’s superior to whatever OKC can put together.
  6. I’m really hopefully the plan this year isn’t to give Dubon another 400 at bats.
  7. It sounds like we're all going to be 1099 employees of Rocket at some point in the future. It'll be like the Idiocracy Costco but for lending.
  8. Let’s not act like this is TexAgs and that Gerry and Kyle Flood are unquestionable projectors of future collegiate success. Tray Allen and Jake Raulerson were also 5 stars at one point and O-line appears to among the hardest positions to project. Gerry is at least modest enough to get this, which is why he’s usually skeptical about high school lineman making it as college tackles, regardless of bonafides. I really hope Turntine comes to Texas because I love it when we’re attractive to student athletes that actually want the student part, but he looks light and he’s not some underfed kid from Kountze that’s going to put on 40 lbs in year one just because he has access to a dorm buffet and a badass gym (if those kids even exist anymore outside of rural Mississippi).
  9. Here’s a photo of a homeless dude that broke into the ground floor of our AirBnB (we were on the 4th floor) sleeping. What you can’t see is he was about 6’5’’, 250 lbs. My rec-stay in a hotel.
  10. @Bozo_Casanova’s BFF Greg Casar with some strategic recommendations I mostly agree with in Politico
  11. R/USMC has been in mod melt-down mode because it's impossible to talk about stuff like this in an apolitical manner.
  12. @SL Xpress had some epic rants back in the day when most of us thought paying players was, at a minimum, unseemly for the genteel alumni of The University.
  13. Oh, it’s coming off the home builder side completely. I’m seeing a lot of deals on r/mortgage below par, i.e., the mortgage side is making a loss even before we consider the expenses that go into creating a loan. To @tbone_’s point above, you’re right, DHI and Pulte, for example, are down a lot over the last six months but up over the last month and both trading above $100 a share. That said, I’ll standby that I don’t think they are having problems navigating the current environment, relative to their smaller peers, and aren’t starved for capital to take on new projects.
  14. This has been all over the leftist web and podcast-verse for the past couple of weeks. The idea is that even if Trump is too stupid to have a master plan, the people behind him do, or at least want some people to think that they do. I think the truth is closer to the Hegseth texts and whenever the Silicon Valley mafia have their texts leaked. It’s a lot of locker room talk and everyone is surprisingly dumb outside of their core area of expertise.
  15. I can’t recall if I’ve repeated this story upthread, but I’ve heard from some of the community banks we work with that they are strapped for cash because small builders can’t move inventory (and payoff their construction loans). Judging by stock value, the big guys appear fine or their typical incentive shenanigans have obscured their current performance.
  16. One thing I’ll add is playing Smith over Dezenzo might be a good sign of talent management. This is more pre-Luhnow, but previous Astros leadership would have first tried to see what the more experienced player could do. We’d see Dezenzo get 400 slightly below replacement level AB’s in right and be mostly happy because Chas would be the alternative. Maybe we lose 4 WAR (over Tucker) and we’re wondering why we lose the division by a game or two and blame Myers or Altuve for not exceeding projections. Instead, Brown is being aggressive and playing the guy whose 50th percentile outcome might not exceed Dezenzo’s, but if he can better that we have a real shot of replacing Tucker’s offense.
  17. I think it’s more that our outfield is pretty uninspiring and they appear to prefer spending rookie at bats on developing Smith over Dezenzo. I’m in wait and see mode on Altuve, but I wouldn’t be shocked if Yordan is getting most of the LF starts by the all-star break and Altuve divides his time between 2nd and DH.
  18. That’s my read on it. Turntine is a little wary of a three tackle class, particularly if one or two of the others are a little closer to their college play weight.
  19. That’s a part of it, but Harris lost Biden voters in pretty much all categories beside highly educated urbanites. I wouldn’t use the total impotence of the Texas Dems as emblematic of the national party. That said, there’s a sincere concern that the brand is so bad in places like Tyler or Midland that you’re going to lose even if you turn out any voters remotely willing to vote D. Anyway, back to hopium, the upside of the Biden-Trump swing voters is they already like a lot of what the Dems stand for, they just trust them to fix anything.
  20. And hence Beshear trying to stay right of the image AOC has cultivated.
  21. I know it’s somewhat mystifying to anyone posting here and who consumes a lot of political news, but there’s some good 2024 election autopsy work (for example, David Shor on Ezra Klein’s podcast last week) that an astute candidate would be wise to begin with. In short, if the Dems are smart, they’ll want a candidate that best positions himself as appealing to voters who switched. They didn’t switch because they are MAGA, they switched because Biden/Harris* either failed to deliver on improving their lives or couldn’t sell it. *To Harris’ credit, I think she knew this but couldn’t escape the Biden undertow and also, like everyone in DC, underestimated Trump‘s appeal to the poorly informed.
  22. I haven’t listened to it (I’m kind of checked on an Obama-esque interpretation of the world), but whoever the Dems run needs to be capable of pulling in the Biden voters who switched to Trump. I’m not sure that portraying oneself as a firebrand revolutionary 3 years early is strategically sound.
  23. Peche, with the great happy hour? I bet you can squeeze 100+ in there.
  24. I think (and this is for @UpperWestside), that a Dem party reliant on the AA vote for winning majorities is not in a position to run a homosexual in an election where those can’t be sacrificed. That particularly group, when surveyed, is very conservative when it comes to matters of gender rights. But who knows, in the future maybe Trump or his successor continues to carve out young AA, particularly males, and that becomes less of a core constituency for the Dems.
  25. Waiting for @HenryJames to point out that Hopfields has reservations for two available Saturday…. June‘s All Day looks like they have a 8 pm. It might be a little more casual than what you’re looking for but it’s fun and typically a little bit of a light party atmosphere. On Resy, Lenoir has 7 and 7:30 at the bar.
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