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LCHorn

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Everything posted by LCHorn

  1. I didn't write on this because it probably needs to be better researched, but I have a feeling that Notre Dame is going after a certain fit at receiver rather than chasing after the best athlete/highest cost. it might be a good example of a team acknowledging budget limitations, but also that they don't want to have to rely on a Carnell Tate or Jeremiah Smith to have a good offense.
  2. I didn't want to make my post even longer than it was, but the recruiting rankings look to be increasingly inaccurate relative to team internals (particularly if teams start diversifying player evaluations), and with the stakes getting higher (because of labor costs), smart teams are going to need to get a lot more professional about scouting and hiring. You're not going to have a Saban who tolerates a 50% wash-out rate when there's so much money tied up in first and second year players. Probably a more analytically minded organization might rate based on likelihood to contribute in year one, year two, etc., with the most compensation going for playing early (less risk). Anyway, that's a long winded explanation for why Broughton is probably overrated if he was a 2026 recruit with the same rating on the recruiting services, but if teams start prioritizing early playing time then he's not a 4 star if he has to cook for two years before he's ready for spot duty. I did think he's worth mentioning because he's very much a recent example of someone who needed to develop, and might be a good template for the back 5 or 10 players in a recruiting class in which most of the money is going to the headliners.
  3. Taking this back to recruiting, Iistened to Bobby and Gerry from yesterday's recording on my morning run and while most of it has been covered up thread, I think it's a few points are interesting and not getting sufficient attention (combining my thoughts with theirs below): 1. Texas has a strategy in how it's allocating money, and while it's reasonable to think they are having to make adjustments, the basic outline of it follows a professional drafting model in which the team assigns a player a value. That value is somewhat predicated on the player's demand, what was spent in the last class, and position group budget. I'm presuming most smart teams are organized in this method, but losing the Ojo's (big guarantee on a riskier outcome) is likely a way for the smaller D-1 schools to remain an annoyance. 2. I would also suspect these are exceptional but we'll see. Basically, if the bottom 35 (of the top 60) D-1 school each offer an Ojo like NIL offer, that's probably compelling to a lot of the top rated prospects. 3. Bobby wrote about this in what was posted up thread, as well, but the allocation of money amongst the top 25 or so is going to make for some interesting and diverse roster constructions, and maybe some of this ends up impacting stylistic choices, too. For example, Texas and a lot of the SEC teams are chasing the same caliber of offensive line talent with the same basic scouting criteria (size, chiefly, over other attributes). Maybe there's a market efficiency for going after cheaper, smaller lineman and tailoring the offense around the athletic limitations (obvious example is an offense that executes a lot of pulls, misdirection, options, etc.) in order to free up money for skill positions. I doubt Texas would experiment here, but it might be the sort of thing a Vandy should try. 4. Gerry reiterated that Texas will continue to pursue Malakai Lee and Winfield from USC, and hasn't given up on Jamarian Carlton (presumably getting Double Eagle offers). Mark Bowman has an open offer, so does Lott. It sounds like pretty much anyone who is at the top of the board is considered open until signing day, regardless of commitment status, and Texas is counting on coaching staff turnover, NIL chaos, and 2025 on field performance to have at least a few of these become open to renegotiation. I'm guessing that's true for our current commitments, too. 5. I know we're all gritting our teeth reading anything like "Texas is going to play by the rules" and "Texas won't be the first team to engage in NIL chicanery", but we are fortunate that Texas is coming off two very strong seasons in both on field performance and recruiting classes. It's not just that there's talent on hand, it's that there appears to be a significant enough amount of player leadership that recruits can see how that's contributing to wins and draft positions. It's going to be a lot easier to fend off Baylor, for example, offering someone like Okpala an extra $100K and/or early playing time if there's very clear developmental superiority and a team of aspirant professionals. 6. Taking it back to recruit through the whistle, Sark hasn't historically moved on to subordinate choices but I think the roster needs and expansion under House would justify it. There's going to need to be space for a Broughton to come in and develop for a few years at a lower payroll number even if he's not playing until year 3 or 4.
  4. I’ve beaten poor Anthony Mackie to death upthread for not having sufficient charisma to play the lead anything, but she’s a great example of someone who is probably in the same relative tier in looks and talent and she totally pops off the screen in everything I’ve seen her in. Some performers just have it.
  5. That’s my suspicion, or it will be open under new owners a decade from now. I don’t know how you run a camp without putting some significant time post tragedy,
  6. Verdict?
  7. Our son just finished 1B at La Junta with our daughter poised to do either Mystic or Waldemar next year. My wife is hitting refresh on all these videos muttering "fuck that, we'll send them to Cheley."
  8. If it's between us and Tech, I'm 100% supportive of holding the line on NIL commitments. If someone is picking Tech it's because that paycheck represents the goal, not making it to the NFL.
  9. Just got back from Bullock IMAX. It's well shot, but Jesus what incredible sound design. It reminds me of the story about David O Russell grinding on George Clooney on the set of Three Kings (the former's general dipshittery on that set is renowned). Russell is reputed to have told Clooney to lose all of the "Clooney tics" that he had honed on tv and that he thought as part of his acting repertoire. Anyway, this movie is like the director told Brad Pitt "I want you to play the movie star--you're Redford and Newman and Cruise in one. Be the most Brad Pitt you can be." It works, somewhat supported by a plot that is pretty much a collection of cliches (in other words, it feels like a movie and Pitt's performance would be out of place in something trying for more authenticity). Good, as well, to see Dr. Sharon from Ted Lasso getting work.
  10. What would you prefer he be doing? There’s a lot of hate for Jeffries and Schumer over here-what do you think they should be doing differently?
  11. That’s the national anthem for boomer lesbians who listen exclusively to NPR and are really into canning vegetables.
  12. Clearly you assholes aren’t sufficiently woke because that song is like the lesbian National anthem.
  13. There was an article in The NY Times recently about the campaign strategy that that Trump and Bernie employed successfully that I can’t stop trying to use in though experiments. Basically, the author proposed that they ran against the party, not just in rhetoric but that the party’s moderating influence tempers a message that’s more attention getting when it’s extreme. You can’t just be for smart immigration enforcement on the right, Trump is for zero immigration, build a wall to keep everyone out, make it impossible for unfriendly nations to even send tourists here, etc. if you’re Bernie, it’s Medicare for all. If you think the NYC Mayoral race is indicative of anything, it’s embracing things like rent freezes and free day care. In the author’s opinion, it’s not just running to the natural extreme in your own party, either (in other words, it doesn’t mean the most partisan candidates win); as these candidates might (or should) have heterodox views (Trump is a better example of this, when he touts things like a tax break on tips that would be anathema to a Paul Ryan type). Anyway, I was thinking of version of this on immigration in which a Democratic candidate runs a pro-immigration platform. The Democratic Party is terrified on seen as being soft on enforcement, weak on defense, and overly concerned with alienating coalition groups, but it’s almost impossible to find moderate positions on those issues that don’t sound wildly uninspiring (basically, you end up with Colin Alred). Imagine a candidate who says “Immigrants aren’t the problem, in fact we need more of them. I propose we tear down the wall and make anyone coming to the US a temporary resident if they can get here.” Another version of this might be “I can’t support Israel’s wars in Gaza and Iran purely on the basis that I don’t support violence for any reason.” If this author is correct, I would at least think there will be primary candidates in 2026 that will explore better whether this works.
  14. Though she was a small part of BP 2, this seemed her biggest contribution. I’m totally confused by reviews that describe her as part of what works.
  15. This is probably true to a point, I.e., a lot of the program’s revenue includes donations that can either go into Bellmont or Texas One. The advantage UT/Austin (keeping those separate because location is a big part) should have is that, over a long enough time line, the specific advantages for the school to generate real value independent of wealthy donors should make the revenue stream bigger and more consistent. In other words, it’s healthier to have a Ewers getting paid to do Dr. Pepper commercials than to have Cody Campbell at Tech pony up extra money for NIL that maybe comes out of what he’d normally spend on Tech university donations (or maybe he just donates more in total but is apt to get fatigued as the money demands increase).
  16. Perpetually injured We already have one Aaron Holiday, now you want two? What is this fascination with guards who can’t shoot?
  17. Same, and I think this is one of those “the AD’s message is this” when Burton feels obligated to toe the party line. I think it’s more likely we (and by this, I mean Sark as the architect and the main NIL donors) are in agreement that a bunch of schools feel a lot richer all of a sudden and are making promises that, if we’re offering to match, are poised to make retaining the last couple of classes really expensive (I.e., well outside of the budget). It doesn’t serve sustained program success to have the top rated recruiting class year after year, only to lose 50% or more after year 1 because the financial commitment isn’t there.
  18. To be fair, I think a lot of people that would be supportive of the vaccine considered this so out of character for Perry that it became immediately suspicious. Who knows, maybe some phd candidate working on their poly sci dissertation can make an argument this was the start of some traditional Dems moving toward MAHA.
  19. I'm presuming wired; like you, I'm out on Sonos for the same reason (past Sonos owner). I met with an AV person who said that their are outdoor speakers that don't require a separate amplifier, which seems like a good idea since it's just a two speaker set up.
  20. Pushing this one to the top. We're about to re-do our deck and installation of a couple of ceiling speakers is on the wish list. I'm told there are speakers we can buy that have an amplifier built in, and that can play music via bluetooth or audio for an outdoor TV (this is the two use cases). Does anyone have a recommendation?
  21. I bought the Dolphin Nautilus CC Plus two years ago (spent $799) and have had two warranty claims, each of which required it to be shipped to Georgia for service for $85 shipping. Currently waiting on parts from them for a third warranty claim that I convinced their customer service staff would be better performed by me if I had the parts (rather than have both parties pay that shipping fee again). It does do a really good job of cleaning when it's not out of commission.
  22. True, but they will make a big frowny face if you decline to replace all four sensors just because one is out.
  23. I would have preferred Jerome to Capela. Most of what I read says he's lost a lot defensively and isn't a good big for small line-ups, and we already have Adams if we want to play Sengun at 4. Thompson already averaged the 3rd most minutes on the team last year--he can take more shots but they have a desperate need to fill minutes at 2. Maybe that matters, and maybe that's Harden fighting hard to get Chris Paul, then Westbrook, then...out the door. Players (active, anyway) are shitty GM's.
  24. You should listen to Ezra Klein’s podcast (I think released today) with Chris Hayes as they dig into the NYC mayor campaign. The comments on Spotify are hating on them for not talking policy, but they are geeking out about Mamdani’s mastery of social media in a way that’s a far more useful appraisal of campaign strategy in 2025 than another analysis on policy preferences. In other words, doom and gloom don’t sell, the circus is what sells. Dems can win with that approach, Mamdani is exhibit one and it’s not taking his platform, it’s taking his media approach and communication strategy.
  25. This is how I feel. Beto, the San Antonio twins, Talarico, whoever. If they aren't going to announce now for something perhaps more attainable, more the merrier. I wouldn't call it a hail mary, but I think one tactic that might work in Texas is to throw in as much talent as possible into one race and use that to help get attention down ballot.
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