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LCHorn

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Everything posted by LCHorn

  1. Blanco getting a second opinion on the elbow, hmmmmm…..
  2. Just curious, but what are you basing this on? According to the May Harris poll, Israel (over Hamas) has a 54%-46% advantage in support amongst poll respondents 18-24. This grows to 65%-35% for 25-34. I'll add that only 5% of those polled considered this their top issue, against 65% that said the economy. I think you have a misread on the importance of that one.
  3. To be fair, Carrie Isaac could indeed be terrible and she’d still be miles better than her predecessor and Donna Campbell.
  4. It’s probably a steep hill for someone with that last name to win statewide in Florida and start garnering more attention. I’m not sure why ya’ll are looking for house reps and, to a lesser extent, senators, to be standard bearers of party evolution (although Ruben Gallego would likely take issue with this claim). It seems more likely that they’ll need to come from the states.
  5. Counterpoint-you ascribe what I consider co-option as deliberately undertaken by the GOP. I think they got dragged there by Trump and don’t really control anything. I don’t know that the Dems need a propaganda machine (you could argue there’s one already that’s mostly refugees from the mainstream media that have moved to podcasting and sub newsletters). The problem (or challenge) is that it doesn’t have appeal beyond the educated. Jon Stewart has a podcast-if his appeal was broader he’d be doing Joe Rogan numbers. Ultimately, I think the whole “we have a problem with the medium” isn’t as complicated as the Dems message is oppositional to Trump and that plays poorly in any area on which he’s perceived to offer a better solution. In other words, swing voters aren’t listening to Dems defending civil rights because they are more concerned about their job, their house payment, what to do with their kids after school, etc. Trump continues to control that message there because he played one on TV. Maybe this is overly hopeful on my part, but I would think the answer is to just try a lot of things and see which starts gaining appeal. I also don’t want to oversimplify it, but a lot of hemming and hawing could just boil down to “run younger candidates than what the GOP has to offer” if you want to go after the younger swing voters.
  6. Sorry, I was asking @chainsaw to tell me where in YouTube I’d need to go to see Klein provide cover to Dem elites and shifts housing policy blame elsewhere. Otherwise, “here’s a video of a guy I think sucks; it’s an hour and I want you to watch the whole thing to get my point.” Is a bit of a trap.
  7. Can you tell me where to go? I like Ezra (and really like his wife) and whether you and others agree or disagree with his positions, I far prefer the debates on policy to personalities.
  8. Let’s be clear, that’s all it really takes on the message. The problem the Dems have is a reluctance to direct that fire on economic and social elites if they don’t believe it. That’s partially why people like Tim Walz and Scott Galloway give so much attention to reframing masculinity away from antisocial habits. You have to reframe what it means to be a man in 2025 to create the space to sell progressive values in a Democratic Party that’s decided they can treat that group with benign neglect.
  9. Ugh, west Austin.
  10. Looks like Vikki Goodwin is first out of the gate on the Dem side to run against Patrick for Lt Gov. First impression is she’ll lose badly and put district 47 in play as the conservative-moderate alliance in west audience unites over not wanting to be represented by someone named Pooja.
  11. Maybe they are just trying to provide consistency with Q2 stadium prices.
  12. I use rokus on our two older tvs. I like it more than Samsung’s ui
  13. This- @Bevo, you got dealt a bad hand because the lender should have provided more warning, but sometimes it’s just not clear to the borrower why stuff is needed and why they come as a late request (I.e., maybe your credit eligibility is a little complicated. The fact they’ve needed you to furnish information on your business from 20 years ago AND have an issue with the collateral makes me think this is a loan with some hair on it. Sometimes late documentation requests are because the underwriter is unhappy with what you and the LO have provided so far and it just takes time to grind away at it. Most of all, the lender dropped the ball from a communication standpoint-you should have a better understanding of why they’ve asked for what they’ve asked for (I.e., I’ve had a borrower tell me a hundred times “I sent you that already,” and I have to clarify that “no, what you sent didn’t have what I need on it or it is too old now or it this is truly something new.” Your description of things has enough red flags that it’s possible you’re partially the asshole here. In that vein, and this should get repeated on the main thread, you should never, ever, ever, schedule movers the day (or first business day) after closing. The whole loan process requires a lot coming together at one time and there’s just no reason to put that extra stress on yourself.
  14. I don’t think you’ll need to worry about that. The whistle practice is mainly so you don’t have to yell to grab their attention because a group of boys can’t sit still for longer than 5 seconds at a time. Just Google five man football plays and decide on which formation you want to start out of. You can number the positions or use a letter (like big boy football). Because you only need a few plays it’s easier to figure out a couple that’ll send most of the defense to one side of the field while you send the ball the other side.
  15. Most of them in Texas are 2nd or 3rd generation Tex Mex-racism isn’t a big part of it, though I’m sure they aren’t trying to closely examine what they have in common with migrants getting deported.
  16. I know several ICE agents that are USMC vets. They are going to follow orders short of anything clearly illegal, but anything on that slippery slope is likely to get obeyed. It’s just how they have been trained and follows their natural instincts. DHS is probably similar-they just aren’t trained for independent decision making that conflicts with senior leadership.
  17. I just wrapped coaching a team of second graders. A few random tips: 1. Surprisingly common-sense, but buy a whistle. It gets their attention and you don’t have to raise your voice. It also gets them familiar with that as the stop-start of play. 2. Move everyone around. Kids are going to be asking to play the same positions and you’ll want to try to balance playing time. 3. Have at least five plays of you can install quickly. I’m presuming your league lets the coaches remain on the field, so you can have a binder with your plays and help line everyone up. They need to be super simple (like 3 runs and 2 passes) because the objective early in the season is just to execute. Fumbles and bad snaps are killers in a game with limited number of possessions. 4. Later in the season you can do some misdirection and it’ll blow the opposing kids minds. They just don’t have the years of watching football where they understand zones. 5. I’ve got two kids that just do not have the maturity to follow instructions and I try to hide them in spots where the responsibilities are simple (I.e., away from the ball like in WR or corner). 6. Probably of the 10 or so touchdowns that have been scored against us, 8 of them were because the corner let the runner get outside of them and the safety took a bad angle. I’ve worked with them on that all season and maybe you can do better knowing that going into it. 7. A huge problem the boys have is taking a handoff at full or 3/4 speed and we induce a lot of negative plays on defense as a result (this is probably the single biggest thing we do well on offense). In our league your defense can’t cross the line of scrimmage until the ball has moved out of the QB’s hands, and if the runner is taking it and then starting to accelerate he’s going to run into our guys. On offense we spend 90% of our practice time working on stuff like that-my son says he hates it (he’d rather goof around and play tag) but it’s football, not recess.
  18. I feel like there’s been this weird historical revision on this and that progressives are expected to be default anti-NAFTA and I don’t understand it. Was the hope you had for your children was to press buttons in a Levi’s factory? You mean a party who felt like this would help create a more stable, peaceful China took steps that resulted in a stable, peaceful China? We don’t have a way to examine the counterfactual of what hundreds of millions of unemployed Chinese men look like but historically it’s a recipe for instability and that’s particularly bad when nukes are involved. Okay, no defense there. Every time I hear Clinton try to justify this one I feel like it’s pure bullshit.
  19. They haven’t been the problem for him, it’s his lack of appeal to African Americans, and who tend to be survey very conservative on LGBTQ issues. What might be different now is that Trump has appeared to fracture the presumed loyalty the younger members of that group has to voting D and more closely resemble their economic counterparts among other ethnic groups. If you have to earn that vote based on economics and not civil rights, anyway, then you might as well not run from losing a few elderly AA votes.
  20. I’ve been down on Mayor Pete’s chances in ‘28, but I’m coming around to the idea that he’ll just be so familiar to much of the electorate that his homosexuality won’t have the same challenges it might to another candidate. Also, the voters most concerned about that weren’t ever going to vote Dem anyway. It also stands to reason that ‘28 is going to be about the economy and coalition building around ethnicity will be less emphasized.
  21. Do you trust your wife? What I mean is, do you think she’d go behind your back, try to hamstring you?
  22. Unfortunately, that one requires power first. That said, I do think bringing justice that errors on the side of retribution needs to be part of the '26 platform. There's so much corruption going on in this admin that isn't contemplated by current laws and I'd not let that stand in the way enforcing anything popular.
  23. See, I disagree with this, too. Those are the old tools and they don't work anymore. Shame only works on the socially/economically aspirant and, as you've forcefully written many times, the cruelty for the right is an end unto itself. You don't go into the right's podcast and media ecosystem looking to convert the hardliners, you go because they are popular with the groups that have abandoned the left and center and you have to meet them where they are. Most listeners of Rogan and Theo Vonn* aren't there for the wackadoo politics, they are there to laugh or because they like the guest or the sense of community listening conveys. Otherwise, you're just feeding more into the delusion that lefties are alternatively snobs or pussies. *I'm not putting Hanania in this category. I have no idea who listens to him since the most popular media on the right appear proudly anti-intellectual.
  24. Except that’s flat out untrue. If you want to maintain a rigid definition built around nazism and make the case that WW2 forced ignorant white nativists to hide their natural prejudice in mixed company, I get it. It didn’t go away, though, and instead evolved and fractured into Christian nationalism, white supremacy, anti-democratic movements, etc., it’s all rooted in the same place. And I’d far rather the left’s standard bearers confront that ignorance head on than imagine they’ll disappear if we just wish hard enough. Two Trump victories should be all the proof you need.
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