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52-80

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Everything posted by 52-80

  1. I think there's unexplored, untapped potential in the government identifying the most difficult problems to solve... and then deploying a squadron of ex- meter maids on those jobs.
  2. well, the thing is, fatty was right. maybe not in the percentages, but the fact that the cost of eating out (black) matched wages (dashed red)-- specifically wages for individual, non-supervisory employees in mostly very blue collar jobs. the other lines are cost of food at home, and blended total food spend. you didnt specify a timeframe but mentioned "previous twenty years" so i rounded up to a nice 2000 start date. switching gears to talks of the "middle class stagnation/shrinking", these might rile people up a bit: this is from the Congressional Budget Office's late 2023 publication of Distribution of Household Income, pages 26 and 28 and then this one...if you consider 20-80th income as middle class, its size has been constant. in fact if you segregate the middle three quintiles as working class (20-40), middle class (40-60), and upper middle (60-80), itll show the "middle" did shrink because they promoted upwards into the upper middle!
  3. My comment to fatty was facetiously pointing out that people here often make spurrious claims, and then ignore — worse, get offended!!— when contradicted by actual objective data. I dont know what fattys real underlying belief was, whether he was being sarcastic, but I do know the relative cost of eating out stayed constant to earnings, but the total cost of food went down over the long term. To pre-empt any cherry picked slicing of the data, YOU can pick any timeframe you want. 5 year, 20 year, 35 year, etc, and we’ll see what the numbers say. We agree to plant the goalpost before we snap the ball…otherwise its a waste of time
  4. Academics make all sorts of claims even with peer review, so no single finding is the absolute infallible truth. If their method is robust enough, it deserves a better rebuttal than casual dismissal.
  5. What politics do they harbor and what did they introduce into the dataset that they studied? Kirk Herbstreet analyzing a game of football doesnt involve him running onto the field and throwing it.
  6. Solidarity in bearishness. I stand with wally ✊🏾✊🏾✊🏾
  7. They didnt inject politics into it. They found that politics was a predictor of the change in health responses and differentiator between different classes. You could also look at that groups prior body of work to see if the nature and conclusions of their studies were politically prejudiced. And it helps to read the other paper that decomposed the correlation to social media use (which trended the same rate well before 2012)
  8. do it wally. cost of spx puts are cheap. vix (30d vol) is basically skirting historical lows.
  9. update: this was going good for a bit, but has inverted the other way. cousin jensen is embarassing cousin lisa. im still holding onto it
  10. 😄 i agree but im trying to spend them on family (to visit us), not on myself
  11. The authors strike out social media use as "neither a strong nor consistent risk factor of depressive affect" , citing another study of 70,000 high schoolers from 2009-2017 (common co-author in both papers) https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC7876159/
  12. dont know who you're addressing who claimed that, but wages have gone up faster than cost of groceries, and faster than total cost of living. the only thing that matched it is the cost of eating out. total expenditure on food for a family has never been lower.
  13. he aint call himself skinny, so i respect the honesty.
  14. Can you cite from the 84-page long crypto thread in which you actively participate, how much BTC I hold and what I think of it as a a "wealth investment vehicle"? So, which line on that chart do you map to you schitzo loser?
  15. Paper by a group of non-political epidemiologists at Columbia, analyzing mental health reports of 80,000 12th graders https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC8713953/ Strong inflection of psychology around 2011 (not just in recent years)
  16. numbers are tricky and deceptive. can i get more anecdotes from the people with their lived experiences instead?
  17. im lazy and they also send spam emails and the memberships expires after inactivity so i have to reactive aeroplan and aer lingus and so on. but mostly im lazy
  18. hornacek, bryon russell, and later andrei kirilenko are cool. everyone else associated with that organization can SABOD forever
  19. $14B seems like a good deal in retrospect, when California is asking over $100B for theirs (lmao). 12 fucking figures
  20. Granada/alhambra would be more significant tourist experience for a first time visit, and the basque would be more appropriate for a repeat visit
  21. Goddamnit i want to burn my amex points on flights but for almost all its airline transfer partners you need an existing account simply to use their rewards booking engine
  22. the Sphinx has a tail and its bizarre ive only seen it from the front
  23. that's the job walking the tightline that we dont want. i would think that the fed recognizes property as one of the cornerstone of wealth and wouldnt want to shock that market/asset class. note that there have been few real estate 'crashes', and that they were not fed-induced. e.g. 2007 was due to action of lenders, while FFR was around a reasonable 5%
  24. 2/3 of them talk about it atleast once a week 1/3 think they'll have to make major sacrifices there's also data on "anxiety" over the topic, but it's not segregated by age
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