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2018 Football Season Game Prediction Contest


Huckleberry

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Can I get a formula check? I predicted Texas wins 48-9 (post #268). Actual score was Maryland 34-29.

By my calculations it would work out as:

200
-25 [wrong winner]
-68 [difference in margins 2(39-5)]
-6 [difference in totals (63-57)]

Total 101

You gave me 81. Where did I figure wrong?

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4 hours ago, Modessit said:

Can I get a formula check? I predicted Texas wins 48-9 (post #268). Actual score was Maryland 34-29.

By my calculations it would work out as:

200
-25 [wrong winner]
-68 [difference in margins 2(39-5)]
-6 [difference in totals (63-57)]

Total 101

You gave me 81. Where did I figure wrong?

Difference in margins is 44, not 34. 39 minus negative 5. The 25 point penalty for the wrong winner is on top of the extra margin penalty. 

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4 hours ago, Modessit said:

Can I get a formula check? I predicted Texas wins 48-9 (post #268). Actual score was Maryland 34-29.

By my calculations it would work out as:

200
-25 [wrong winner]
-68 [difference in margins 2(39-5)]
-6 [difference in totals (63-57)]

Total 101

You gave me 81. Where did I figure wrong?

My understanding is that the margin of victory is calculated as follows:

You picked Texas by 39. Texas lost by 5. The difference is not 39 minus 5 (overall margin between the teams), but 39 PLUS 5 (margin of predicted Texas victory added to the margin of actual Texas loss). Difference in margin would be 2 x 44, not 2 x 34. 

nm. Huckleberry answered.

Edited by Hizzaz Mahdoud
  • Fuck You 1
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My understanding is that the margin of victory is calculated as follows:
You picked Texas by 39. Texas lost by 5. The difference is not 39 minus 5 (overall margin between the teams), but 39 PLUS 5 (margin of predicted Texas victory added to the margin of actual Texas loss). Difference in margin would be 2 x 44, not 2 x 34. 
 
Ok. I guess it wasn't clear in your explanation about difference in margins (39 vs 5). I knew I lost 25 for predicting the wrong winner. I didn't realize that also switched the actual margin to a negative.
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