Jump to content

TKthunder2

Burnt Ends
  • Posts

    3971
  • Joined

  • Last visited

Everything posted by TKthunder2

  1. I started multi quoting you guys but was concerned it would long cat. My ENTIRE post was about these two points above. In basketball we do NOT judge teams ONLY by their record. We judge them by record AND strength of schedule. While we talk about SOS commonly in college football it’s mostly around deciding which is the best 1 loss or 2 loss team, unlike college basketball which emphasizes SOS more so than simple wins and losses. Most of the time, I could give you the record of the teams in college football and you could slot them in order based on record, conference affiliation, and brand name with only an exception for G5 teams (that have depressed rankings) and conference champions (who get elevated rankings). That is NOT the case with college basketball. You don’t consolidate this many brands/powers together to continue business as usual, because business as usual had bluebloods in every power conference. With the consolidation of power in the P2 the expectations around just stack ranking by record is going to be wildly outdated. It’s already widely accepted that the SEC and Big Ten had the best team BEFORE this round of realignment and ranked them that way accordingly. Now the gap between the SEC/B1G has grown and you guys think that that will not have any effect on the rankings or playoff selection? The obvious next step in that evolution is to take strength of schedule into consideration when the Big 12/ACC take a step back in perception while the SEC/B1G take a step forward and realize that a 1 loss SEC/B1G team most likely (but not always) should outrank an undefeated Big12/ACC team, or 3 loss is most likely better than a 2 loss. Start this video at the 3 minute mark if you still don’t get my point.
  2. They can’t come up with something more original…
  3. You’re arguing both sides here. Basketball teams with good records miss the NCAA tournament all the time. You say that’s what you want but you’re actually arguing the opposite. Iowa State made the NCAA men’s basketball tournament as a 6 seed with a record of 19-13, meanwhile North Texas missed the tournament with a record of 26-7. The SEC and Big Ten will have a far more difficult strength of schedule (like Big 12 basketball did last year) and will be rewarded for it. I doubt you’ll see a 1 loss Big12/ACC team passed over for a 3 loss SEC/B1G team but I damn sure hope a 2 loss non conference champion for the B12/ACC doesn’t get in over a 3 loss SEC/B1G team. That is more in line with how the basketball tournament operates and is likely how this will shake out unless you are trying to get the SEC/B1G to breakaway.
  4. Same reason aggy didn’t want to play Texas and wanted to be the only Texas team in the SEC. They scared. They want to be DFW’s only P4 team. SMU has more alumni money (for NIL), better academics, and is in the biggest/most recognizable city in the metro. Losing to them in games or via recruits (high school or transfers) is too much risk for them. TCU will steal their “come home to DFW” shtick and take the SEC/B1G dropouts and JUCO stars and promote their playoff wins over Michigan and their Rose Bowl wins over Wisconsin. If they keep playing and SMU wins a few in a row they’ll just say TCU is ancient history. If TCU stops playing them, then their is not much SMU can do to ever level the playing field.
  5. Hey now…let’s not go too far now. https://www.nbcnews.com/news/us-news/college-admissions-scandal-ex-university-texas-tennis-coach-gets-6-n1142246
  6. And why the fuck would they take UNT and SMU? Looks like more bullshit.
  7. I have Austin on my DL. I live in a LTD under RRISD and pay no city taxes nor can I vote in certain City elections.
  8. I was talking about the next contract. For the expansion to 12, they went with 6 because that was the agreement to get all 10 conferences to agree on playoff expansion. It had to be unanimous to expand while under the still ongoing CFP contract that all 10 conferences and ND agreed to. The thought was that it would be the Power 5 champions plus the highest ranked G5. That thought looks “messy” after this round of realignment. That agreement, as you said, is only for 2024-25. The Big Ten, SEC, and Big 12 might try to push for a change for those 2 years but the G5/ACC/PAC4 have really no reason to change it unless they increase the standard payouts or something like that. Still, if they don’t, you could see even worse terms happening in the next contract. Maybe they drop it to 5 now in hopes that they can keep it going forward as we all realize 6 won’t happen again.
  9. Might want to start wrapping your head around 4 (which even that might not happen, if we end up straight at large selections). If the ACC hangs around that’s giving the 4 Power conferences spots now that they’re all going divisionless and it won’t be possible to have a 6-6 UCLA in the CCG anymore with bid stealing potential. If the ACC implodes that’s giving the 3 conferences spots and saving the 4th for the G5-PAC/ACC leftovers. Which is about as good as anyone could realistically hope for.
  10. If you had said Indiana or Illinois then I would agree, but… Iowa - flagship school of the state with 3 million people, with 5 national titles, top 40 in all time wins and a top 25 stadium by capacity Minnesota -flagship and ONLY FBS school of a state with 6 million people, 7 national titles, top 25 in all time wins, top 50 stadium by capacity vs Iowa State - 2nd school in a state of 3 million people, zero national titles, top 90 in all time wins, top 30 stadium by capacity You guys have a nice stadium but otherwise I don’t get the resentment on programs that are clearly superior.
  11. This is great, but I didn’t realize it was a secret. MD Anderson was always planned from the start when they were designing the medical school.
  12. We’re Texas. We have our own identity and do not need the validation of others. We did not try to fit in with aggy, pig, or the tiny private schools of the SWC. We didn’t try to fit in with dirt burglars, corn, or the farm schools of the Big8. We won’t try to fit in with the Deep South mother fuckers either. If that makes us arrogant then so be it, but I’d rather be arrogant than try to fit in by doing stupid shit like this… https://athlonsports.com/girls/texas-ams-welcome-sec-video-disaster
  13. Only 20 stadiums outside the P2 that can even hold 60k and 7 of those are off campus built for bowls/pros.
  14. Fair, but if ESPN stops bidding on rights then those numbers will quickly fall dramatically. CBS/NBC have cut their sports business down to the bone. FOX only has so many channels. The market will reset at some point but while yes it’s clearly a factor (get someone else to share this load in case of the bubble popping) I don’t think it’s as big of a worry. Disney is looking to turn ESPN into a money making monster, but they just don’t want to be the face of the monster.
  15. 40 senators actually 9 states don’t have FBS teams (Alaska, Montana, ND, SD, Delaware, VT, NH, RI, Maine) 6 states don’t have Power 5 teams (Hawaii, Nevada, Idaho, Wyoming, New Mexico, Connecticut) This model drops 5 states from the P5 (Kansas, Maryland, New Jerseys, New York, and Massachusetts). This is the most contentious part of the whole process. Those states (other than Kansas) are also very large so it’s likely worth the revenue cut to just include a school from each and call it a day.
  16. It’s gambling. ESPN is getting into sport betting and fantasy betting. That doesn’t align with their whole family image around Mickey and the theme parks. They’ll partner with a third party like FanDuel or MGM and let them buy into a minority share of the company and they’ll be the face of the operation completely separate from the House of Mouse. ESPN’s branding could immediately make it the #1 gambling website in the WORLD in a very short amount of time. Online poker, off track betting, and every type of sports could be a one sport shop for main events, news, and betting. Their only possible connection would be the main OTA ABC channel.
  17. Really not a bad list but since this likely will carry over to basketball as well. Indiana not Purdue Maryland not Pitt UVA not VT and Kansas over WVU
  18. SEC is FAR better pound for pound and it’s not really close. The Big Ten has a lot of fat that will eventually need to be trimmed. Viewership aligns pretty closely to stadium size (excluding those with oversized off campus stadiums like Miami, UCLA, Temple, Pitt, UTSA, USF, Memphis, UNLV). Below is the rank of on campus stadiums with more than 50k seats, BOLD= >75k By capacity the SEC has 4, 5, 6, 7, 8, 9, 10, 11, 12, 18, 20, 25, 28, 31, 33 (NR: Vanderbilt) Big Ten has 1, 2, 3, 13, 15, 19, 21, 22, 23, 35, 39, 44, 45, 46, 47, 50 (off campus: UCLA)(NR: Northwestern) ACC has 14, 16, 24, 29, 32, 38, 43, 49 (off campus: Miami, Pitt)(NR: Syracuse, BC, Duke, Wake) ND is 17 B12 has 26, 30, 34, 36, 37, 40, 42, 48, 52, 53, 54 (NR: Baylor, TCU, UCF, UH, Cincy) PAC4: 27, 51 (NR: OSU, WSU) If you assume we’re moving to 3 Power conferences, outside of Vandy, every SEC school would be in the top 3rd. FSU/Clemson clearly make the cut and even UVA would make the top 3rd as well. Only UNC at 49 would fall outside the top 3rd. If you look at realignment through this lens, it seems most likely that the bloated Big Ten would be more likely to split than the SEC which seems far more aligned.
  19. With the setup I listed above 4 autobids/byes- UGA, Michigan, Clemson, Utah host 1st round- TCU, K State, USC, Tulane*(16) last in- tOSU, Bama, Tenn, Penn St So Tulane would have been the highest ranked conference champ or CCG participant and this would have bumped Washington. When conference move to divisionless setups for picking CCG participants Ohio State would have played Michigan in a rematch moving them into an host spot and Tulane would lose their spot to Washington. 4 autobids/byes- UGA, Michigan, Clemson, Utah host 1st round- TCU, K State, USC, tOSU last in- Bama, Tenn, Penn St, Washington This setup looks to be more fair. Bama/Tenn who did not win or play for their CCG should not get to host over those that did. With the new realignment to a mostly divisionless P4 you’ll see all 8 CCG participants in this field most years with an AAC/MWC champ sneaking in there occasionally over the 2nd place 3 loss ACC team. Put in a 50k seat minimum requirement to host but otherwise I think it would be a solid setup (until the ACC breaks).
  20. I think it’ll either be all at large spots or it’ll be 4 autobids (and byes) to the highest ranked champs. Personally I think only teams that wins their conference or play in their CCG should get to host as well. Would be some bullshit to have a Notre Dame team that only played 12 games with 3 weeks rest hosting a team that played a 13th game and lost with only 2 weeks of rest.
  21. Sports are different than other entertainment. Live eyeballs where you are a captive audience and have to watch commercials is extremely valuable. Sports also does not have significant replay value which sounds like a negative until you realize that if you’re a fan of a team you won’t drop your cable/streaming during the season. Other programming with high replay value can be picked up anytime. I know many people who cycle their services. They sign up for Netflix in Jan, watch everything and cancel then sign up for Max in Feb, Hulu in March, then back to Netflix and mix in a month of Apple when Ted Lasso is fully out. Sports makes it harder to game the system. Anyways, networks will keep paying, they are still valuable. They just may not pay everyone across the board as ESPN has for the last 40 years. Realignment (for all its negatives) is driving us towards a better product most moves (excluding Rutgers/Maryland which were purely market plays for money) we’re to improve the product.
  22. https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Turner_Broadcasting_System
  23. Not a sales guy, but shameless plug. This is literally what we do. https://www.q2.com/product/centrix-etms We sell this to banks/credit unions so situations exactly like you’re describing can be avoided. If this is an issue for you I highly recommend finding one with a Positive Pay solution like ours. If you need a local option, I’m happy to assist.
  24. Will they all get paid more…no, some yeah The idea was to take Cal/Stanford at reduced shares and SMU and maybe Rice at zero shares for the remainder of the ACC’s contract. Those shares would go to FSU/Clemson and maybe UNC/Miami to shut them up. Adding more schools now that have nowhere to go also makes it harder to dissolve or otherwise break open the conference. Also, if FSU, Clemson, Miami, UNC, UVA leave the weak ACC members (Wake Forest) know they are in the same position as WSU/OSU. More numbers means they might be able to keep the band together and expand and not fall prey to the Big 12 (they actually have a lot of realistic candidates, 3 obviously in the B12 and more in the AAC). Yes, ACCN on SFO, DFW/Hou would help (if they could get it) but that is secondary. With the current structure, a logical world would have: Tier One Conferences: SEC: South (South adjacent) Big Ten: Everything else Tier Two Conferences: Big12: West of Mississippi ACC: East of Mississippi Tier Three Conferences: AAC: Eastern/Central Timezone MWC: Mountain/Pacific Timezone Tier Four Conferences: Sun Belt: South (South adjacent) MAC: Midwest Tier Five Conferences: CUSA: anyone and everyone but logic and timing and TV deals don’t always align so we may end up with a nasty hodgepodge.
  25. The idea I’ve seen floated out there is merger and dump the Eastern footprint (assumes Stanford joins Big Ten with ND). ACC loses 4+ND=10 merge with Big 12=26+UConn+Cal=28 and you have 2 conferences of 14 (one of each side of the Mississippi) with joint tv contracts, scheduling agreements and a network.
×
×
  • Create New...