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Lurch

Certifiably Surly
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Everything posted by Lurch

  1. Where do I send my $9.95
  2. 4, 6, whatever. It’s all just numbers
  3. On the top, we’re probably needing another A or J. 6 outs on the flop is 25%, so 25% of the time we will win the top board. On the bottom, someone will have 56 only like 8% of the time, so 92% of the time we’re ahead on bottom board and will win 2/3rds of the time vs what is probably at least one set. So we can say for the bottom board, we’re going to win that half of the pot 60% of the time. (That alone should prob justify your jam) Overall, then, we expect to win 25% of $1000 plus 60% of $1000 (assuming pot will be $2k-ish), so we have $850 ev at a cost of whatever your shove is. Looks plenty good to me
  4. I’m not sure how to do the math here, but it screams shove to me
  5. Oops. 3s I call and he flips AK. Maybe right play is to fold AQ unless you know opponent is aggro
  6. Lurch

    NFL Week 5

    Dicker the Kicker is on the board
  7. You see, he’s a defensive minded coach
  8. Uuuuhhhhhmmmm. I’m back to thinking she did it
  9. Working well for me in Florida
  10. That’s awesome. Someone had to test to see if embedded butt plugs would trip a metal detector
  11. That’s what we’re looking to have happen by jacking rates, right?
  12. $2/5. UTG1 limp. BTN (unknown young dude w $1500 behind) makes it $25. I’ve only been in a few orbits and have seen him do anything. Decide on just a call w AdQd in SB ($725 behind). UTG1 joins. $80 pot. AcTc8h. Checks to BTN who $100. I call, UTG1 folds. $280 pot. 8d. Check, call $200. $680 pot. 3s. Check, he jams. Call $400 or fold?
  13. That’s awesome. Our lacrosse coach last year had to “fire” the sideline score keeper because she wouldn’t stop yelling at the kids mid play. She was giving contradictory instruction from the actual coaches and just generally being insufferable. She then sent a group message that she’d no longer be sharing her game pictures of the team. Many chuckles were had. /csb
  14. Seattle D (vs NO) or Rams D (vs Dallas)? Projections all say Rams, but the matchups seem to scream Seattle. I’m leaning Seattle.
  15. And THAT particular show and player?!?! Like robbing a bank while detectives are there working a prior robbery
  16. I don’t think she cheated, so not really. Postlegate was of course VERY concerning, but I think that put everyone on notice to look for out of line play. I’ve watched tons of hours of streams since and no one seems to god mode like Postle was. In hindsight, he was actually pretty fucking obvious. All that said, I’ve had too many players in regular games comment about my play on streams and it makes me question playing them much more. Some of these dudes are clearly studying live stream players for tendencies.
  17. Lurch

    NFL Week 5

    Sam is getting in this game. Just a matter of when
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