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Laxtonto

Certifiably Surly
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Everything posted by Laxtonto

  1. So is this a case of we don’t have the barrels and shells to keep the current systems going or we don’t have the equipment to replace the losses on the battlefield? Is this a pivot to smaller towed guns because they can be moved my modern personal vehicles and so they are something they can utilize at the front due to the significant reduction in combat capable heavy trucks and infantry support vehicles that normally be used to help move modern artillery? This is a sign of some type of failure within the Russian war machine, but decoding the why will have a major impact on target selection going forward.
  2. So 47 yarder for the win?
  3. So is FSU that bad, GT that good or something in between? Thinking FSU is a barely ranked team at the end of the year and GT?
  4. So it seems like GT got off script and fell apart.. .
  5. How does FSU not just overflowing with talented kids to roll out at WR. It is pretty obvious that they dont trust the WRs (and/or DJ to get them the ball) on anything so far. GT is steadily creeping up pre-snap. Where is the play action?
  6. GT seems to be at least not getting gashed every play now
  7. So FSU D seems a bit confused
  8. Curious what happens when GT actually forces DJ to do anything other than short throws... GT is getting blown off the line and getting no pressure when they pass.
  9. LZ3 would be to keep the forces in Melitpol from rolling up on the troops west. Blocking force over the Deniper would ensure that the force driving up from Armyasnk has to engage with the troops from Kherson proper instead of contesting the landings the at LZ1 and LZ2. I did not expect the amphibious landings of LZ1&2 as a major salient, but they may be a token force or something of substance. It is hard to tell with something like this. Amphibious assaults and the required coordination at large scale are extremely hard to pull off and should be something that would be instantly sniffed out days before the attack due to the need to mass-landing craft/boats to be able to make a move in mass to be effective. But the battle plan is pretty obvious. Hopefully, they noticed an approach to roll up many Russian troops dug in on the banks of the Dnieper and this is so obvious that if forces a withdrawal or a quick encirclement of the Russian troops and so this makes sense to attempt a major amphibious landing. If this is true and is the real move and not a feint, godspeed, and good luck.
  10. If they can't transport oil or fuel across the Kerch bridge anymore, there is no point in blowing it up (by the way, this is a huge admission tactically by the Russian side). In truth, it might be more useful to force Russia to blow it up on the way out as one last humiliation. It is always better to give the opponent a chance to pull out their troops knowing that the territory in Crimea is the real value in this war. Without fuel or ferries, most of the equipment cannot be pulled out. The troops would be a bonus, but in this day and age, large masses of men are pointless on a battlefield.
  11. 1. Air Defenses in Crimea destroyed ✅ 2. Fuel deliveries to Crimea stopped ✅ 3. Water supplies limited due to blowing the dam over the Deniper ✅ 4. ? It is almost like they are checking all the boxes for the precursor for an invasion of Crimea. My guess is that the next step is going to be all bridges from the Kherson Oblast to Crimea and then command and control centers up and down the banks of the Deniper. Then a blocking force out of Nikopol to keep the Melitpol forces occupied and a push from Kherson proper. Control the skies to limit movement and allow better reconnaissance. Cut supplies to make it difficult to move and limit portable power generation, cut the basic necessities for the troops to degrade in effectiveness. That leaves, cutting off all possibility of resupply and limiting the avenues for reinforcement and retreat and then disrupt operational control in the theater and day to day decisions...
  12. The CSU game will be about whether can we get to the QB consistently. If we are finally getting consistent pressure off the edge, then everything will fall into place. If CSU isn't forced to get the ball out fast, even if they get blown out, then I will have serious concerns this year. My view on the Michigan game will be tied to the CSU game and getting pressure. If we can apply pressure with our front 4, then I am much less worried about Michigan, even if it becomes a slog low-scoring ordeal because they have a legit D. If we have to blitz to apply pressure, that makes it more likely that Michigan can grind out drives. We need the sacks to kill drives and give us as many chances to score as we can. Eventually, we wear down the Michigan D if they cant get off the field.
  13. I think this is the part that many on both sides just miss. These are just dumb kids, that are protesting as a group to find a community on campus that are being used by either side of the discussion. We have moved away from the ability to have a reasonable discourse over the topic now and are instead moving to the mob mentality on either side. The problem is that there is no succinct pretty solution that addresses all the concerns from either side, and instead of coming to a reasonable solution we have what we have now. Generally, when a system refuses to find an equilibrium it is being impacted by outside actors that would be negatively impacted by the solution. There are actors on both sides of this that would be better served individually by no solution being found, and at some point that needs to be addressed before a real "end" will ever happen.
  14. The problem is that 30 years ago what was considered "material support" and what will be considered now may be considered two different things. Unfortunately in the highly litigious world politics has become, I am unsure if the old standards apply. How the statute is written to include an individual as personnel, can it be twisted to show that people protesting have some form of financial support from aligned organizations outside of the US are not shown to have a known tie and are still actively then working for the goals of the organizations? It's a major stretch in my view, but how we have seen other statutes "reimagined" lately, I am unwilling to write it off as impossible or even very unlikely. That is my greatest concern with all of this, from a student standpoint. All it takes is this become enough of a hot issue to upset a subset in the DOJ and a large swath of kids' lives will in effect be ruined. While I may disagree with their viewpoint, I don't support people targeting a person's right to protest organically. The problem we run into is what is organic in nature, and what is driven by someone else. As someone who is heavily invested in the international student community, I do question the validity of the organic nature of some policies and approaches and more importantly, I am concerned that the students themselves do not understand that they are more at risk than they perceive.
  15. The issue is actively supporting an U.S.-designated terrorist organization is a valid path for removal from the US. What makes this interesting is that there is a fun legal argument between freedom of speech and knowingly provide “material support or resources” to a designated FTO.
  16. Ive mentioned this before, but the real trick is to split the gap between the Keherson defenses and Melitpol. Strike south to Rykove (where the highways V's into on the east side of northern Crimean map) and stop. Then face eastward to keep Melitpol occupied as a blocking force and tallow Russia to pull back theoir troops from the Kherson river region to Armiansk. If you bottle them up your, then salient is stuck between a trapped force on the east and Melitpol, with no defenses in place. If you let them withdraw, worst case for Russin troops is for them to reinforce Armiansk (which is already reinforced to the point that it is untakeable without prolonged shelling or some creative ways to jump that small isthmus to bottle them up) and they halt y our advance. Best case they then have to take the long way around to reinforce other fronts... But if you can get them to withdraw behind Armiansk and then blow the Kerch bridge, they are in effect trapped with much lower casualties. If you believe that you can hit the bridge whenever you want, you do it after they begin a southward withdrawal. Funny enough, even if they dont attack you have to be leery to pull troops to reinforce Kurst now from there...
  17. Yeah, that does not instill any confidence that the OL is remotely stable... I thought they had all of these guys that were experienced and were ready to make a big step forward. That sounds like we are in the countdown to game day and we still dont really know what we are doing. Not a single name as a starter or who has locked in a position. No discussion about which battles are going on, just straight up we are still trying to find who our best 5 is in general...
  18. Also ongoing fury with #USA in London. The new 🇬🇧govt has confirmed policy is to let #Ukraine use #StormShadow missiles in #Russia. However as some components are supplied by the U.S., permission is needed. Biden's administration has not even replied to the request for a month.
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