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Dbeasy

Certifiably Surly
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Everything posted by Dbeasy

  1. Who said that? I never saw any poster say that.
  2. If Texas is going to be out, I’m pulling for Indiana, BYU, Duke, James Madison and north Texas. I want the shittiest playoffs ever. How about a North Texas BYU final.
  3. This is a good post. I’ve been very luke warm on Freeman. However, it’s important to know what level of NIL he has available to him. Because when I watch his teams play, they do have a certain toughness about them. And he is able to get some very good talent. Maybe just not enough due to NIL limitations? But this is all a moot point. Sark is here for next year, and probably beyond.
  4. Some teams have the type of offense where they run their system and if they have superior athletes to the competition, they can’t be stopped. The old Leach and OU offenses were that way. As a result they would run up huge scores. The downside was that when they ran into top teams they had few wrinkles to roll out and were stymied. Sark’s approach and offense is built heavily on deception, motion, and throwing in wrinkles to find space. So he doesn’t do much against lesser teams because he wants to save those wrinkles for the critical games like OU and A&M, keeping them off film. As a result, they often don’t destroy lesser opponents. He also purposely gets conservative late in games to avoid low percentage scenarios where the competition comes back to win. It’s why he has so many unnecessary close games. And of course this philosophy is flawed. Playing that conservative actually brings low percentage comebacks into play more than just continuing to beat them down.
  5. Agree. He has amazing physical talent. He dropped a few passes and people totally over-reacted.
  6. I should also mention that a lot of ETF's that invest in bonds have dividends, but they are taxed as ordinary income, not as qualified dividends. So that is confusing for many people.
  7. It's difficult to suggest the best option without knowing more about your financial situation, but in general here are a few thoughts: 1. You mentioned dividends, but there is also the option of interest. The taxing of those two given your financial situation is key. Dividends could be taxed at 0, 15, or 20%. Interest would be at whatever ordinary income tax bracket you reside in, which could be as low as 10%, 12%, or 22%+. The reason I highlighted interest is because there can be less financial risk with investments that provide interest, like CD's or US Treasury notes/bonds. Anything with dividends (like stocks) is going to have more market risk. This should be the first decision you should make. Once you do that, then you can consider the following... 2. If you select bonds/CDs, you have to address interest rate risk. If you buy a ladder of bonds or CD's, then you can reduce some of the risk of interest rates rising. Given your advanced age, maybe a 5 year bond/CD ladder with $100k in each year (year 1 through year 5) would be decent. That would require you to figure out how to buy the 5 bonds/CD's. And the end of each year, the maturing $100k would be reinvested in another 5 year bond, or you could decide to stop continuing the ladder. and just leave each $100k in some sort of short-term investment. You could also build shorter ladders, like 1-3 years. 3. If you are interested in CD's, make sure you DON'T buy callable CD's. Also make sure you don't have too much money at one bank where you exceed federal FDIC insurance. If you have a brokerage account, you could buy CD's from various different highly safe banks. Overall this is pretty safe and you'd earn ~3.4-3.6%. It would be taxed like interest/ordinary income. 4. Rather than CD's, you could also build a 5 year ladder of US Treasury notes/bonds. That would be very safe and you'd earn ~3.5-3.7% on the ladder. The only other complication is that your yearly taxes will have a little bit more complexity from holding the treasury bonds. It's not a big deal, but you have to figure it out the first time. It would be taxed like interest/ordinary income. 5. If building a bond/CD ladder is too complex, you could buy just 1 bond ETF. But if you do that, you want to make sure to not create too much interest rate risk. For example, if you bought an ETF and interest rates skyrocketed, some ETF values would drop significantly. One way to reduce that risk is to buy a bond ETF that has bonds with maturity dates not too far in the future. For example, the Vanguard Government Short-Term ETF (VGSH) holds US treasuries with maturities around 2 years. This would earn about 3.5% and be really easy to buy and just hold. And it's safe because it's invested only in government bonds. This is a decent option. 6. If you want dividends, which come from stocks, then the SCHD ETF recommendation is a good example. Vanguard has a similar ETF, VYM. These distribute about 2.4% right now, and the underlying stocks in them will move up and down with the market. You need to be careful with this option because stock market valuations are at very high levels historically. If your time horizon is 7-10 years+, it might be fine. I get the impression your time horizon is shorter. 7. Finally, there is the whole class of high dividend stocks like described above: mlp's, EPD, etc. There are also ETF's that specialize in these higher dividend securities so that you woudn't have to be a stock picker and hold multiple stocks. However, these are somewhat controversial. Some people love them and others don't. I held them for many years, and for several reasons, they weren't a good fit for me long-term.
  8. Good grief, you people were giving me a heart attack. I don’t know whether you happened to notice that Texas also has a Baker on staff. Maybe throw in a first initial every once and awhile!
  9. Junior actually said his daughter was really really excited to go to New York! And see the Rockettes! That was the most ridiculous segment he’s ever done. I’ve patented and grand-parented several 4 year olds. I can tell you with certainty that a 4 year old has no idea what New York or the Rockettes really even means. She’s just reacting to her parents being so excited, just like a Labrador Retriever. Junior was ridiculous. Both were insufferable pricks yesterday. I just want to see Texas get in the playoffs so Corby’s head will explode.
  10. I just put in a $1M bet on “No”.
  11. Some of y’all are delusional mf’rs.
  12. The post about how both opinions on Texas are right fascinates me. The arguments for and against Texas are both valid, but I think what really annoys me about the whole situation is how the entire coaches poll and AP poll pretty much ignore strength of schedule and head to head results. Instead both just count up wins and losses. If something doesn’t change on that front somehow, the Texas problem is going to keep happening over and over. Of course, an expanded playoff will be the solution they implement, with 4 more slots. If they had that this year, it would pretty much resolve the issue. I was firmly anti-playoff expansion, but given what’s happened this year, I’m now for it. My previous logic was that 3 loss teams had missed their opportunity by losing too many games. But I failed to think about a scenario where a team played 4-5 top 10 games. Really, Miami and ND should have been behind Texas on this week’s poll due to their terrible schedules. I’m shocked at how low Texas stayed. Made no sense to me.
  13. Kiffin at LSU is a problem, because Louisiana has some of the best talent per capita of anywhere in the country and almost all of it wants to end up at LSU. A nutless monkey could coach that incredible talent to a national championship, and Sark had made good inroads into Louisiana because Kelly was such a bad fit for LSU.
  14. What if they put little Cheese It samples on your seat, so that when you arrive for the game you have a tasty treat to enjoy before the game starts?
  15. Of course Satya posts the LSU recruiting Armageddon story. Come on Satya. Cheer up.
  16. After catching up on this thread, @Brian Fantana has produced what might be the biggest series of “punk ass bitch” posts from a surly regular ever. What a giant pussy. And on top of all that, his whole “logic” is ridiculous: “I’m confident Texas wouldn’t be favored, and I’m right because you can’t produce an actual betting line that proves me wrong.” Never mind he has zero proof for his view. What an idiot. It’s some of the dumbest logic I’ve ever seen, and that’s saying something because I’ve read a lot of his cloak room posts.
  17. Omenihu was very big and a grinder on the line who was under appreciated at Texas.
  18. My wife and kids love Polar Express. I was out after 20 minutes. I don’t get it.
  19. I’m so much happier with Rantanen this year than last year. He’s passing more and is more dynamic with the puck. Makes me wonder whether Deboer was just trying to use him only as a scoring machine. Or maybe he’s getting more comfortable playing with these guys.
  20. Dudes. Texas is out. Accept it. They are one of the best 12 teams in the country, and probably one of the top 5, but it doesn’t matter. The cosmic tumblers of the universe didnt align.
  21. they should do like olmpic voting and throw out the extreme few votes. That would address some of the homerism, or hidden agendas
  22. agree, as I had indicated. Well, as a very senior exec who has done it myself, and having seen other critical senior execs do it, that doesn't always happen. But yes, most of the time they are walked out immediately. But your point about the HC being the whole team is why I'm arguing that they should have let him do it. When a normal company senior exec is leaving, there is plenty of infrastructure and resources in place to go on without significant risk of having a terrible near-term result. A head coach leaving most of the time torpedoes a team's chances, except for Michigan basketball Fab Five. However, all of this may be a moot point. Given that Ole Miss just announced Golding as the permanent head coach, then it is now completely clear why they couldn't let Kiffin coach. They've got their permanent new coach and they immediately now need to go to war with Kiffin to keep as many players and coaches as possible. I totally get Ole Miss's move now.
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