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Chopper

Certifiably Surly
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Everything posted by Chopper

  1. Correct. But it those 2 categories of voters are at the highest level of interest of voting, meaning they absolutely intend to vote, and it can't possibly be a "part of the story" if Trump wins tomorrow (edit - at least not in the way that fuck is trying to both sides things).
  2. What's better, the smash burger or the chicken ranch sandwich? I criticized a post by Wasserman a few days ago and someone came to his defense. I remember him providing reliable and interesting information 4 years ago (could've been 8 years ago because in 2020 I turned to Bitecofer for info) but I swear the dude's brain is mush or he's outright trying to spin bullshit. To compare Black and Latin voters and indicate their voting interest is lagging in comparison to 2020 is misleading af. In 2020 only 63% of Blacks and 54% of Latinos voted, so their voting interest is actually higher this year, and in the case of Black voters it's 20% higher. Also in 2020 only 50% of 18 to 34s voted, so umm 52 > 50.
  3. How many beers are in a fucking 6 pack, JV Vance?
  4. Squirrel story in 2 posts for anyone still wondering.
  5. The big takeaway is this year's NYT poll has no relation to the reality we've seen of an early voting surge of women. We don't know about how they model their "Likely Voters," but they are obviously looking backward at the overall gender profile of who voted in 2020, and then shaping their current polling results to fit a similar overall profile.
  6. Similar keeps happening to me. I click to get the next page and it takes me back a page or 2. I figured it was my browser.
  7. Comparing gender of NYT's "likely voters" from the crosstabs of their most recent (and final) poll compared to the 2020 exit poll. Pink = women, blue = men. You can draw your own conclusions. https://www.emptywheel.net/2024/11/03/nyts-sample-versus-early-vote/
  8. Oh no, it's another (prominent?) republikkkan confused about sexuality and the English language.
  9. I'm trying to figure out a smooth way to shoehorn in that yesterday I learned that there's a Vaglick Drive near Beaumont but my aimless attempts to shoehorn jokes have previously failed, so I'll just state the fact.
  10. "We rate pollsters based on how often they poll" is a warning to turn the other direction -- one of many 538 inadvertently provides -- and you ignore it at your peril.
  11. So your logic is that knowing what a nazi is makes me a nazi. Good one.
  12. This is so true. He had fame and faux credibility from an NBC reality tv show and was well-positioned to take advantage. https://danieldrezner.substack.com/p/dumbest-republicans-ever
  13. If someone sees the reasoning for Harris' crisscrossing travel schedule today, please post it.
  14. Minor point. But a "cuck" would know, that's the point of their fetish. The entire point of Cheung's attempt at an insult is negated, just like the disaster of a campaign he works for will be tomorrow.
  15. If you have a minute would you ask your gAI what's the very best franchise to invest in?
  16. I'd love to know if the Lincoln Project is buying many tv spots or if they're just trolling.
  17. All the people behind are thinking it was not worth taking the $100 to listen to this moron.
  18. This is footage from ABC News reporter LaLee Ibssa showing a steady stream of people leaving Trump’s rally in North Carolina. Trump has been speaking for less than 10 minutes. https://bsky.app/profile/newseye.bsky.social/post/3la34xju7my24
  19. Worth watching the final few minutes of today's rally at MSU. This is a strong and confident woman, who is going to be a helluva president.
  20. Skrong finnish, sir! bafyreigdkfjqcsc6ryjfdltn7iguwjcpvmd5ynaxcmzag7qae2cu6v5iya.mp4
  21. This is 3 hours old by now but it says a lot about oHIo
  22. Wow. That Chili's looks like a hovering mecca of deliciousness floating island of trash.
  23. Yes you're right. I was referring to the synchronized "meet up" on Wednesday specifically.
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