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atomheartbevo

Certifiably Surly
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Everything posted by atomheartbevo

  1. He could try and end the war now and stay in power - he controls the state media and has absolute power, and no pesky Politburo breathing down his neck like they had in Afghanistan. But he’s sniffed too many of his own farts and thinks he can still win it. It’ll probably take the Russian people rising up and saying they are sick of it before he backs down, and hopefully Ukraine is able to accomplish that with attacks on the O&G infrastructure. The Russian people can tolerate a lot, but it’s 2025 and no gas combined with power interruptions will wreak havoc on the city dwellers. he backed down on sending fighters and a bunch of drones into NATO airspace so he is somewhat rational.
  2. Germans did the same shit to London in WWII, which benefited the RAF (they were hurting the RAF’s infrastructure and operations before they switched to bombing the cities, which gave the RAF some breathing room).
  3. With the Servant Girl Annihilator, you had America’s first serial killer and in hindsight it was clearly an active (local) serial killer when you looked at all of the victims. Yogurt Shop still felt possibly like a robbery or rape that turned into a murder/shitty attempt at covering up evidence.
  4. Putin knows the West will directly come gunning for him if he uses nukes, and China might smell blood in the water and act if they see him going down (it’ll be the best chance they have at reclaiming lost territories). Further, he will lose the ability to trade with any nation - nobody is going to trade with a nation using nukes to gain new territory, and risk the major economic powers embargoing them.
  5. Attacking apartment buildings, schools, hospitals, markets, that directly pisses people off. It motivates people. It does little to affect the military or the economy. Attacking oil and gas infrastructure hurts future military operations, hurts the economy. Fuel rationing for a population that is constantly told by state TV that they are winning…doesn’t feel much like winning, and if fuel restrictions increase, it will erode whatever faith is left in Russian leadership.
  6. Yeah want special bombs they have that could target Ukrainian leadership, I feel like have already been used. Or they couldn’t deploy because a lack of aircraft or not willing to risk said aircraft.
  7. It’s a 10-hour drive from Memphis. He does something in Tennessee and then drives west for a day?
  8. They can't exactly fake the DNA sample they submitted though (from the swab from the victim), nor can they fake the resulting hits in CODIS or the commercial services. CODIS is not something to be fucked with and has pretty strict controls - I've had friends in the genealogy community who do some of the genetic genealogy work that gets mentioned (not this case, but others) who have worked with this stuff. Even in a case where it's a partial match (i.e. a distant relative), the genealogists involved are going to drill down to get to whoever it is so that by the time it hits a courtroom or is closed, they have a match.
  9. NSIAP, I had to suffer through Hallmark movies over the years.
  10. Russian milbloggers think this was what recently shot down the Su-34
  11. https://threadreaderapp.com/thread/1971489392729743480.html?utm_campaign=topunroll 2/ The Russian military correspondent Maxim Kalashnikov writes that he recently met air defence specialists who had been sent to fight in the infantry after spending the last two years crewing the Soviet-era Buk air defence system. 3/ "Professional air defence specialists in the infantry. Not convicts, not drunks, not ‘Sochi boys’. In other words, not deserters from the army. But in the infantry! Someone has to serve in the infantry too. 4/ "But not real air defence professionals who know the equipment inside out. So why are they in the infantry? Simply because there just aren't enough missiles for the Buk missiles. Often, there are just one or two missiles for every six vehicles. 5/ "Lately, they've been delivering missiles received from the navy. What this means, let the experts judge. And the General Staff strategists will be held accountable for the missiles and drones falling on Russian cities. That's how we fight." 6/ Kalashnikov doesn't explain why missiles are in such short supply, but the most likely explanation is that Ukraine's nightly waves of drone attacks against refineries and other targets have severely depleted Russia's stockpiles of Buk missiles. /end
  12. One double homicide at the time that they know of. I’m guessing he’s got more.
  13. I've put together a timeline of incursions into the airspace of European countries in recent months. Honestly, when it's all in one place, that looks very worrying. Please let me know if I've missed any incursions. Poland August 20: a Russian drone exploded over Lublin Voevodeship September 10: massive incursion of Russian drones into Poland's airspace; 19 drones detected. Norway: April 25: Northeast of Vardø; July 24: Eastern part of Finnmark region; August 18: Northeast of Vardø; September 22: drone(s) over Gardermoen. Latvia: September 18: a tail part of a Gerbera-like drone found on the beach; September 25: Five Russian aircraft close to Latvia's airspace; Hungarian aircraft rose into the air to take over. Estonia: September 19: Russian MiG-31 aircraft spent 12 minutes in Estonia's airspace. Romania: September 13: Russian drone in the country's airspace, tracked down by two F-16 jets. Germany September 26: several drones spotted over/near Schleswig-Holstein. Denmark: September 22: Copenhagen's airport closed due to drones; September 25: Aalborg and Billund airports closed, drones were spotted at Esbjerg, Sonderborg and Skrydstrup. September 26: airspace over Aalborg airport closed again due to drones. Sweden: September 26: drones spotted by Karlskrona Naval Base. Lithuania: September 26: Vilnius airport closed down twice due to alleged drones flying in the area. Finland: September 27: a drone spotting over Rovaniemi power plant became public knowledge. Allegedly, the incident took place several days earlier. As Prime Minister Frederiksen explained today, these are hybrid attacks, there will most likely be more of them and the security threat is very, very real.
  14. Lavrov: The North Atlantic Alliance continues its expansion right up to our borders. We have repeatedly offered NATO capitals to respect their obligations and agree on legally binding security guarantees. Our proposals of 2008, and the next ones, including December 2021 [the one that preceded Russia's full-scale invasion into Ukraine - AG], have been ignored and continue being ignored up to this day. Moreover, threats of force against Russia are increasingly being made, with accusations that it is practically planning to attack the North Atlantic alliances and the European Union. Russia has never had and does not have such intentions, but any aggression against my country will be decisively rebuffed. There should be no doubt about this among those in NATO and the European Union who not only convince their voters of the inevitability of war with Russia and force them to tighten their belts, but also openly declare preparations for an attack on our Kaliningrad region and other Russian territories. Lavrov: Russia is being accused of almost planning to attack the North Atlantic Alliance and the European Union countries. President Putin has repeatedly debunked these provocations. Russia has never had and does not have any such intentions. However, any aggression against my country will be met with a decisive response. —————- I don't think I need to remind anyone here how vehemently Russia denied its plans to invade Ukraine before the full-scale war.
  15. Another one for @PTINS this time on the other side of Moscow, affecting western Russia. If officials admit to “minor damage” and that pumping operations were suspended, that probably means it’s out of commission for a while. ^^^^ not my numbers, somebody else posted them
  16. That’s 84 in Russian years. The Kursk had only been in service for 6 years when she sank in 2000.
  17. Aiming for that Noble Piece Prize.
  18. I’ve used it more than I thought I would with some other games. I’m not the most enthusiastic about it, but there’s no other alternative since ICQ and AIM went away, and IRC has fallen into disuse. “A/S/L?” doesn’t feel the same on Discord as it did on ICQ.
  19. Trump talked about regime change earlier this month, and now we are building up to something. Meanwhile, this is helping to unify Venezuela, and Madura as well. And Madura is mobilizing everybody - arguably he needs a war more than Trump does.
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