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atomheartbevo

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Everything posted by atomheartbevo

  1. The list of nations in the Middle East/Southwest Asia where they could be safe/would be welcomed is basically...nobody. A few spring to mind, but they would be too close to the Israelis or the Saudis (or one or the other could reach out and get them).
  2. No idea on the exact date.
  3. Tesla loses title as world’s biggest electric vehicle maker as sales fall for second year in a row – KXAN Austin
  4. Couldn't steal the 2016 and 2024 elections even though a Democrat controlled the White House and DOJ. But stole it in 2020 when Trump controlled the White House/DOJ. Wait, are they saying Trump willingly gave up the Republic to somebody who stole the election? This is going to be glorious to watch their ratings go into the shitter as they turn into NewsMax.
  5. Most of the cast has remained quiet for various reasons. Jay Chandrasekhar (Super Troopers) who directed a lot of Community episodes, has publicly stated he was there when Chase quit/was fired and has talked about Chase’s meltdowns. I’m not sure if Jay was the one who fired him, more likely the show runners/producers, but he was pissed. He witnessed some of the bullshit directly, while some of it happened while he was elsewhere but then he was told immediately about it.
  6. So there are reports the Russians and Chinese are flying in lots of hardware to help the regime put down the protests, but I'm still wondering if those aircraft are really there to fly people out. Supposedly up to 70 cities are protesting, and you see stuff like this:
  7. @PTINS see below, it seems like they are going for more total destruction of fuel storage and other facilities, using more drones at once (probably identifying which facilities have no air defenses). Or their precision has gone up.
  8. Only if they shots and kills peaceful American protestor.
  9. He likes one of his kids
  10. Even the brainwashed Russians suspect that they weren't wished a happy new year by the real Putin, but by an AI-generated version of him. Several arguments for this theory are being presented on Russian channels: - The dictator's head appears to move independently of his body. - The sleeves of his coat look empty, as if there were no hands there. - Putin didn't say that the year was "difficult," as he does every year. - Russians are reporting that even pensioners have noticed this. ——- It is odd how much his head floats around/above the collar.
  11. And dril joining the chat lol
  12. Russian army has got to eat.
  13. San Marcos earthquake interrupted the Mexican President
  14. Damn @KYHorn That is a bit of a leap in capabilities. And hopefully if word gets out, will make some air defense crews reluctant to turn their systems on.
  15. Hegseth really is still a major stuck in the body of the Secretary of Defense.
  16. There's a joke that has went around for quite a while that the most powerful person in the world is whoever Trump last talked to.
  17. It appears that Witkoff and Kushner will not travel to Kyiv in person for the NSA-level meeting on January 3 and will instead join online. This is something Ukraine had strongly hoped for—among many reasons, because it would increase the chances that there would be no shelling that day. Russia, for its part, did everything it could to prevent this kind of visit from happening. Earlier, after negotiations in Moscow, Ushakov explicitly said, “The Americans promised us they would not come to Kyiv and will go back home directly.” “On January 3, national security advisers will meet in Ukraine. This will be the first peace meeting of this kind held in Ukraine. European representatives will attend, and an American team will join online. Fifteen countries are confirmed, along with EU and NATO representatives. On January 5, military leaders will meet—the Chiefs of General Staff will gather. The main focus will be security guarantees for Ukraine. Politically, almost everything is ready, and now it’s crucial to work through every detail: how the guarantees will function in the air, on land, and at sea—and whether we can end the war, which is the key goal for all reasonable people. On January 6, there will be a meeting of European leaders and coalition partners. We are preparing now to ensure the meeting is productive,” President Zelenskyy said on January 1, 2026.
  18. ABC NewsWhite House delays new tariffs on furniture, kitchen cabi...In the latest reversal of his signature economic policy, President Trump is rolling back tariffs on furniture, kitchen cabinets and vanities.
  19. @PTINS @Gatorubet and others, you might find this interesting. For nearly four years, many have been saying that Russia’s economy is about to collapse under the pressure of Western sanctions and the war. Yet it has continued to function. Aleksandr Kolyandr, a research fellow at the Center for European Policy Analysis, notes that economic growth fueled by massive spending on the defense sector has virtually come to a halt. Russia’s Federal State Statistics Service (Rosstat) is now publishing figures that are far from reassuring for the Kremlin. In November, industrial output turned negative. Across the economy as a whole, production fell by 0.7% year on year, while manufacturing - for the first time since February 2023 - slipped into contraction, down 1%. Adjusted for seasonal factors, output shrank by 2.5% month on month, pointing not to a one-off disruption but to the start of a sustained cooling. Formally, industrial production for January-November still shows resilience, posting growth of 0.8%. But this growth is driven by a narrow set of sectors and increasingly fails to reflect the economy’s real condition. ▪️ Civilian industries slide into recession A 0.7% increase in mining output masks a deep downturn outside the raw materials sector. For the first time in 15 years, food production declined, with the drop accelerating from 0.2% in October to 0.8% in November. Wood processing fell sharply (-9.1%), as did the chemical industry (-1.7%), furniture manufacturing (-7.5%), and clothing production (-2.4%). In machinery and equipment, the situation is close to collapse. Output of tractors plunged by 61.6%, bulldozers by 53.7%, elevators by 37.2%, and passenger railcars by half. The automotive industry has reverted to its worst levels of 2022, recording a 34.1% decline. According to estimates by experts at the Center for Macroeconomic Analysis and Short-Term Forecasting, civilian industries have cut output by nearly 5% since the start of the year, while virtually all the growth reported by Rosstat has come from the military-industrial complex and mining. ▪️ Guns or butter? Even the defense sector, which has been operating in an overheated mode, is beginning to lose momentum. Output of "fabricated metal products" - the category Rosstat uses to classify military goods - fell by 1.6% in November. A year earlier, this segment had been growing by more than 30%. Production of "other transport equipment," including tanks and infantry fighting vehicles, slowed from 41% growth in October to just 6.4%. Elina Ribakova, an economist at the Peterson Institute for International Economics, notes that for the first time since the war began, the Kremlin is facing a real choice between "guns and butter." The economy is no longer capable of sustaining growth in both the defense sector and the civilian economy at the same time. ▪️ Not a temporary downturn Olga Belenkaya, an economist at the investment company Finam, links the slowdown to tight monetary policy, labor shortages, declining exports, and a strong ruble. In an article for The Spectator, Aleksandr Kolyandr emphasizes that the current stagnation is structural rather than cyclical. In his words, oil revenues in recent years have been directed not toward investment and productivity growth, but toward missiles and tanks that will be burned in Ukraine. This has created a two-tier economy: the defense sector and "everything else," where civilian industry is being squeezed by high interest rates and rising costs. ▪️ Darker clouds ahead? The Russian government has already cut its GDP growth forecast for 2025 to 1%. The World Bank expects at least three years of stagnation for Russia, while economists Aleksashenko, Inozemtsev, and Nekrasov predict stagnation lasting until the mid-2030s. Janis Kluge, an economist at the German Institute for International and Security Affairs, notes that most of the factors that supported the economy in the first years of the war - high commodity prices and a consumer boom - have already disappeared. As a result, Russia is now in its weakest economic position since the start of the war. Russia’s economy is entering a phase in which the old growth model no longer works, and compensating for this through military orders is becoming increasingly difficult. 📷: Russia PMI Manufacturing, monthly dynamics and quarter averages/ Yevgeny Istrebin
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