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berlinerbaer

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Everything posted by berlinerbaer

  1. I wonder if their defense will become shitty now.
  2. Incumbency gives McSally strength against Kelli Ward, Joe Arpaio, or embarrassing candidate X in a hypothetical 2020 primary. In a tough 2020 environment, the last thing the state and national GOP wants is another shit show primary, especially after the perceived damage it caused in 2018. She is going to get primaried anyway and it is going to be hilarious.
  3. No Chinese company even a quarter the size of Huawei is truly that private. Favors and bribes flow like cheap wine between executives and government officials. The odds are that upper management is rife with the close friends or relatives of politicians at the city or provincial, if not national, level. A successful Chinese person is, with few exceptions, connected with power to a degree less commonly found in the US. When someone like this is arrested, it's personal to Beijing.
  4. This is a big deal. It is the first climate report to be released solely within the time of Trump's administration. That it was released on Black Friday should tell you that Cheeto and company were worried about too much publicity.
  5. Charlie Strong wasn't one year removed from back-to-back 10+ win seasons and a conference championship.
  6. I'm not sure Helton is any good but it tends to look shitty for a school to fire a coach after an under-performing season with a true freshman QB at the helm.
  7. ^^ Yeah, that. That may give the Dems a high floor, but I read somewhere that the white vote in Mississippi is as inelastic as it gets. It is more rural than Alabama. The Espy game plan is to actively turnout as many AA voters as possible and hope just enough whiteys stay home.
  8. berlinerbaer

    LSU @ aggy

    Good Lord. What's the record for OTs? This has to be getting close.
  9. Doesn't move the needle. Weird shit seems to happen in Tucson all the time.
  10. Beto doesn't stand out among other Dems and shouldn't run for president. At least that's the latest hot take from Bill Scher of Politico. https://www.politico.com/magazine/story/2018/11/20/beto-orourke-2020-president-campaign-analysis-222639 tl;dr version: Beto's performance in Texas was nice, but so were that of many other Democrats on Election night. Comparisons to Kyrsten Sinema in AZ, who ran as a centrist rather than a progressive, are made. He hardly moved the needle in rural Texas. At all. There's no reason to expect him to pick off any red states in a 2020 pres run. He may not be ready for prime time, like John Edwards or Marco Rubio, who were both easily primaried. Obama was on the right side of a big issue all along: the Iraq War. It is unlikely Beto has a similar distinguishing view to take advantage of. He should stay in Texas and challenge Cornyn in 2020. Cornyn has among the lowest approval ratings of Pubs in Texas, 28 points lower than Lyin' Ted.
  11. Rooting for a shit show either way
  12. This might normally happen, but there are way too many pissed off, foaming at the mouth progressives who will be camping outside their offices from now until Election Day 2020. And that Sinema win just blows my mind. That plus the secretary of state race = purple state
  13. Richard Ojeda is running for president in 2020. https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/can-a-trump-voter-from-west-virginia-win-the-2020-democratic-primary/
  14. THE DROUGHT IS OVER!! FUCK YOU, SC!!
  15. So he was the Jeff Flake of the greater Houston area? It's fitting then that both his and Flake's seats will be occupied by Democrats. I'd rather stand up to Goeb by giving some Republicans the boot. Flipping 2 state senate seats and 12 house seats will be far more effective than a tongue lashing from Ed Emmett. I welcome a Harris and Fort Bend county purge as part of the deal.
  16. Sure, he couldn't run for president today. Luckily for him, there's a whole primary season for him to build his name. He generated a ton of nationwide buzz on the Left during his run for the senate, and those people will show up to vote for him in the primary and spread the word to those who aren't yet familiar.
  17. It's a page out of the Trumpist's (authoritarian's) playbook. Feed your base a never-ending diet of fear and hate, and always be on the lookout for the next boogeyman.
  18. If Sinema goes up 50k from the outstanding votes from the other counties then yes, McSally would have to win the Maricopa leftovers by 25 points to pull even. If the next batch drops with numbers more favorable to Sinema than expected, they should call the race in her favor.
  19. I just noticed that Matt Rinaldi lost reelection to his state House seat. Ciao, you racist profiling shitbag!
  20. Ft Bend County judge seat flipped too. I was just looking at the local races down there. Ft Bend is blue. Dem sweeps in all judge and clerk positions that were contested.
  21. I think that's my shitty senator Lois Kolkhorst. She wasn't on the ballot this time.
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