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tokamak

Burnt Ends
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Everything posted by tokamak

  1. Those people aren't dummies and they know the same thing you just typed. It's only a problem until the next time they have an audience with Trump.
  2. What's his surly username?
  3. I’m in at a hundo. $200 is probably more than I’d want to do.
  4. I haven't watched a second of preseason, and normally your point would be well taken, but poor preseason performance kinda confirms what we already knew about this team being pretty bad on paper. The OL, RBs, DL, and secondary all look like they will be well below average. Passing game should be fine but they're not going to be able to run the ball at all.
  5. Can confirm that it's in the fall camp thread
  6. I'm not sure what you mean, am I having a brain fart?
  7. Do does our staff like Ojo more as a prospect than Lee? After he committed, IIRC there was quite a bit of (sour grape-y?) discussion that Ojo is super raw, hasn't been great at camps, etc.
  8. The new JID album that came out last week is predictably great.
  9. We could also discuss switching to Yahoo next year if people feel strongly. I used to think that Yahoo >>> ESPN, but I've kinda gotten used to ESPN at this point so I don't really care either way now.
  10. Pretty sure Surly already has a H2H league. Guess there's nothing in the rulebook that says we can't have two. I'm certainly open to discussing rule/format changes for next year. Like I said up above, one idea I had was to do 1st and 2nd half winners. I'd have to track it outside of ESPN's software, but I don't think it'd be too difficult. For whatever reason, this thread doesn't pop up on my activity feed when someone replies. Probably user error. If y'all have concerns you can always PM me on Surly or message me through the league, I'd see those for sure.
  11. Is there a Surly league? My main league finally died this year.
  12. That definitely takes some cojones, though.
  13. Pretty interesting note from Bobby on Cooper/Edwards (via @MuellerHorn in the fall camp thread)
  14. There's a "Big 9" this year, then a steep dropoff between #9 and #10 in both betting odds and preseason poll points. It would be a big surprise for the eventual champion to come from outside of these 9. I did the ratio of current championship odds to current RSVP price. A higher number represents better "value" although I don't think the absolute number means much (i.e., Oregon is not a ~20x "better" value than Texas). I don't think that Texas, OSU, and Clemson have much to gain or lose from their Week 1 games (unless it's a total blowout one way or the other). However, I think LSU is poised to get a very nice pop if they can pull off the road upset (they are 3.5 point dogs).
  15. We all know this, but looking at this list it's really striking how in this era you're either going to be a key contributor, or you're going to move on. 2022 is all settled (I think they've always liked Robertson as flexible depth), for 2023 only Stroh and Randle remain on the fence, and 2024 pretty much just Hills like you mentioned and maybe JJR (but he's trending toward contributing).
  16. Yeah, no sour grapes but from day 1 it seemed to me that we liked Finley as a prospect, but didn't love him.
  17. Yeah I didn't bother today. I'll wait a few days or weeks and let the dust settle.
  18. Second team: Not one single player on offense. Doomed.
  19. We should all find someone that loves us as much as Sark loves taking 2 RBs per recruiting class. Do you think Texas can/will sweeten the pot for Edwards? He's a 4/5-star from out of state with a hefty NIL deal. A guy like that is going to entertain options up until the ink is dry. As he should. That's just the way it is. Sark and our $9.95ers have been talking up Lacey a bunch. To me this sounds like rivals trying to stir up shit in Bell's camp based on that. Agree that Arch staying is the better situation for Bell. 99% chance that the loser of the Owens/Lacey backup job competition moves on in that scenario.
  20. I'm still fucking on tilt this morning. I need someone to talk me down off the ledge. A serious ballclub that is interested in winning simply cannot run it back with this same offense next year. Look at what we have under contract: Seager, $31.5m: Fine, he's great Semien, $26m: We're fucked on this one. Defense is still fine but the bat is well below average at this point and it ain't gonna magically come back for a guy that is 35 years old. Pederson, $18.5m: LOL, might as well light this money on fire Adolis, arbitration (probably $8-9m?): Might be the rare guy whose salary actually goes down in arbitration. 2023 was a fluke. We absolutely cannot continue giving this guy 600 PA every year. Higashioka, $6.7m: This is fine. League average bat. Has yet to surpass 300 PA in his career though. Heim, arbitration: Below average bat. Again, 2023 looks like a fluke. Burger, arbitration: Will be cheap, but has not been good. Jung, arbitration: Will be cheap, but has not been good. Decent defense I suppose. Hitting all downhill since 2023 (see a theme?). Smith, arbitration: Hooray! A useful utility guy with an above-average bat. Not exactly fearsome at the plate, but useful. Langford, arbitration: I'm down on him. We're almost 1000 PA into his major league career. At this point, I don't think something will click and he becomes the offensive force we all dreamed he might be. Looks likely to end up as a solid regular that occasionally has scorching hot months. That's very useful, especially while cost-controlled, but a bit disappointing. Carter, arbitration: Even more down on him. He'd be fine as a 4th OF/platoon bat, except he cannot stay healthy, which is kinda what you need from your 4th OF. I think it's likely that his rookie season ends up being the high point of his career. So you have 11 hitters under contract. One star (Seager), two that are above average but not killers (Langford, Smith), a league average but part-time C (Higgy), a guy that you can squint and maybe see league average (Jung), and six(!!!) fucking black holes (Semien, Adolis, Heim, Burger, Pederson, Carter). If we go into next season with our main strategy being the hope that those 6 guys will improve, I'm going to rip my fucking hair out. Edit: Adding more, still pissed. I feel like the mantra this past offseason was "basically all our hitters regressed last year (2024), so the pendulum will swing back the other way". Which, OK, fine, that makes some sense. But now we're in year two of these guys sucking ass. At some point 2023 becomes the outlier, not 2024. The black holes are 34, 32, 30, 29, 33, and 22 years old (the 22-year-old has an extensive history of back injuries). They are not going to magically improve at this point in their careers. There is absolutely nothing in the minors anywhere close to helping, either. If there were, they'd have been called up this year. Justin Foscue is probably the closest, I'm serious. He's 26 and has been...decent in AAA this year? Not incredible, but fine. Walcott is 19 and has been mostly outmatched at AA this year. He's still at excellent prospect but nowhere close to helping.
  21. Seriously, what is the fucking plan for this team? The offense needs a complete overhaul. I’m getting pissed sitting here thinking about it. We’re going to waste an historically good pitching staff by not even making the fucking playoffs. We have exactly one hitter in the organization that scares anyone and Smith hits well for a utilityman. That’s about it. Semien and Adolis are washed and it ain’t coming back. I had such high hopes for Langford but it looks more and more like he’s going to end up closer to decent than star. Jung’s ceiling is league average bat. Heim sucks. Carter is frail and useless against lefties. Our two big free agent additions flopped super hard, and we’re stuck with the worse of the two again next year.
  22. Didn't know that. I thought I had seen an article where he said the Braves never approached him with a deal.
  23. I cannot for the life of me understand why we couldn't be bothered at the deadline to trade a bucket of baseballs for Marcell Ozuna.
  24. We gave up on this show during season 2 but I've seen a lot of buzz online about season 3. Did they kill the two bad storylines and focus on the good one?
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