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GopherRock

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Everything posted by GopherRock

  1. I'll even give you another data point on Minnesota. On the same general election ballot as Mitt Romney were two state constitution amendments: one to ban gay marriage and one to mandate voter ID. Both measures were pushed hard by the GOP, both measures got more votes than Romney, and both measures lost by daylight. Also, the GOP Legislature that put the measures on the ballot were swept out of both chambers.
  2. https://youtu.be/UsWWbI6qmfQ
  3. I'd put Montana and South Carolina in front of either of the Georgia seats. Bullock is as good of a candidate as Montana has, and Leningrad Lindsey hasn't had to run a legitimate campaign in my lifetime.
  4. As for Wisconsin, I'm not quite sure what to make of the cheese heads. They voted for Scott Walker 3 times in 4 years, and the Republican Assembly that he brought along has been a stain on basic human decency. On the other hand, it was special elections here that showed the 2018 blue wave building up steam. And a "crawl over broken glass and through a pandemic to vote Democrat" vibe among voters earlier this spring when they were forced to vote in person for their primary. I have no clue what to expect.
  5. Biden still has 346 EVs without Wisconsin, Iowa, and North Carolina? I'll take that.
  6. Nope. https://minnesotareformer.com/2020/08/24/a-fascist-manifesto-is-gaining-fans-on-the-right-including-state-sen-roger-chamberlain/
  7. The last 3 GOP statewide wins in Minnesota (Norm Coleman Senate 02, Governor Tim Pawlenty in 02 and 06) required three-way races and/or deus ex machina events in the deep stretch for races to go their way. The last Republican statewide win where the Republican candidate got more than 50% was 1994, and Arne Carlson has been thrown out of the party for being too liberal. Could a Republican win a statewide election in Minnesota? Sure. Will the current iteration of the GOP need to be burnt to the ground first? Yes.
  8. This piece was from June 24, but I didn't see it in this thread. 538: The Republican Choice
  9. The PRCA announced yesterday that the National Finals Rodeo won't happen with fans in attendance. https://www.nfrexperience.com/news/read/313?fbclid=IwAR1wfclS3wa36kOrLGN2iQujHtUMtstoIWitG-gPHF7XF73dl10yTso8MPA They're still working on other options, including moving out of Vegas for this year. Big loss for December.
  10. That kid was awesome.
  11. ...and why is Bloomberg here again?
  12. O/U is 5.5 rounds and I'm heavy on the under.
  13. I also like that everyone keeps pounding on the point that Donald Trump is a failure. Kamala is kicking ass right now.
  14. Television, the drug of the nation...
  15. Put South Carolina up in the "live underdog" tier with Iowa, Montana, Georgia, Bama, and Favorite for Dem pickup: NC, AZ, ME, CO Favorite for Dem loss: Bama (although I'd love to be totally wrong) Live underdogs for a flip: IA, MT, SC, AK, maybe KS? Lottery tickets: KY, GA x 2, TX, and the rest McGrath is turning out to be an awful candidate against Moscow Mitch. The favorites coming in gets the chamber to 50/50. Somehow I think all the underdogs all go the same direction.
  16. To be fair, Bill Clinton delivered a fantastic speech at the 2016 DNC.
  17. Unless something in my math is wrong, the breakeven point is 94 cents on a contract. I'm basing my calculations off an initial input of $100 instead of 1000 shares, but you'll have to buy at or below 81 cents and win to get enough profit to cover the vig.
  18. I have no idea how good or bad this poll or pollster is, but if it's anywhere accurate Collin Peterson has a really bad starting position. FYI MN-7 is largely farm country along the border with the Dakotas. Has gotten really Trumpy over the last few years.
  19. More badgecam footage released yesterday. https://www.startribune.com/third-body-camera-video-in-george-floyd-killing-shows-officer-pushing-bystanders/572104552/
  20. Ilhan Omar is feeling some heat from her left flank going into tomorrow's primary. https://www.fox9.com/news/rep-ilhan-omar-antone-melton-meaux-hit-home-stretch-of-5th-district-primary-race The other hot race in Minnesota is the challenger to Collin Peterson up in MN-7. This district has gotten really Trumpy, but so long as Collin stays there, he's delivered too much sugar to the district for him to be sent off on someone else's terms.
  21. And some wonder why people of color are mad at MPD.
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