Jump to content

Huckleberry

Certifiably Surly
  • Posts

    13609
  • Joined

  • Days Won

    21

Everything posted by Huckleberry

  1. Horrific officiating so far. They want us to believe that not a single one of the 100 wild swipes at the ball was a foul in that quarter.
  2. Yeah this is going to be a tough game if they are going to refuse to call reaching in and blocking fouls.
  3. Poster, Current Score, EV Huckleberry, 65, 76.75 Zepol87, 49, 49.00 Wulaw Horn, 44, 54.02 HornOnTheBayou, 43, 57.07 ztejas, 42, 46.81 Prepuce of Doom, 35, 39.95 Derka, 29, 29.00 Bartles, 13, 13.00 Poster - Win Probability (# Paths) Huckleberry - 76.19% (78) HornOnTheBayou - 13.13% (23) Wulaw Horn - 8.37% (23) Tie - 2.32% (4) ztejas - 0.00% (0) Zepol87 - 0.00% (0) Prepuce of Doom - 0.00% (0) Bartles - 0.00% (0) Derka - 0.00% (0) In order of probability, the four possible ties are: Wulaw Horn/HornOnTheBayou with 70 points Huckleberry/Wulaw Horn with 74 points Huckleberry/Wulaw Horn with 74 points Wulaw Horn/HornOnTheBayou with 74 points
  4. Congrats to Houston. They made the three extra possessions gifted by the refs count.
  5. He said 7 team fouls
  6. Lol what a blatant push off. Refs have fucked Purdue.
  7. When someone tells y'all he's an idiot, you should listen.
  8. Poster, Current Score, EV Huckleberry, 62, 81.60 Zepol87, 49, 56.15 HornOnTheBayou, 43, 57.76 ztejas, 42, 56.11 Wulaw Horn, 32, 57.54 Prepuce of Doom, 32, 37.71 Derka, 29, 29.00 Bartles, 13, 13.00 Poster - Win Probability (# Paths) Huckleberry - 58.86% (903) Wulaw Horn - 11.91% (401) ztejas - 11.34% (318) HornOnTheBayou - 11.23% (230) Zepol87 - 4.74% (155) Tie - 1.93% (41) Prepuce of Doom - 0.00% (0) Bartles - 0.00% (0) Derka - 0.00% (0) Neither of my 4 seeds won last night but the other low seeds losing helped my odds.
  9. There are some pretty good reasons for treating them differently unless you think a ground ball passing over the outside one should be a fair ball.
  10. This is much harder than last year, most numbers look damn good. Only one I struggled with picking last year was AL under and it's the one I missed. But have to play so... AL Under - Boston AL Over - Chicago NL Under - Philadelphia NL Over - Chicago
  11. And here we see one of the most common mistakes made by message board simpletons. You're not arguing with one person here, there are multiple people with different opinions. There's no hypocrisy (or the extremely misapplied catch-22 you tried to make happen in that post) when you get hit from both sides by different people in a group argument. But at least you figured out that lurking is probably best for you.
  12. So self-admitted trolling. Boy we are all so shocked by this.
  13. Gotta be the coolest feeling to get that news, especially in Gusto's situation. He was on the roster for one game but the game was canceled so was he really on the roster for a game?
  14. There are 364 D1 basketball teams. Jeff Goodman seems like a drama queen.
  15. Poster - Win Probability (# Paths) Huckleberry - 41.53% (10,468) Zepol87 - 19.34% (8,934) HornOnTheBayou - 16.31% (3,159) Wulaw Horn - 7.57% (3,751) ztejas - 6.88% (2,821) Prepuce of Doom - 6.52% (3,172) Tie - 1.84% (463) Bartles - 0.00% (0) Derka - 0.00% (0)
  16. It has now evened way out on the EV front because none of my lower seeds won their second round games. Gonzaga, Baylor, and Illinois all lost. Really needed one. Poster, Current Score, EV Huckleberry, 56, 87.18 Zepol87, 49, 70.38 ztejas, 39, 52.81 Wulaw Horn, 32, 57.55 Prepuce of Doom, 32, 49.39 HornOnTheBayou, 31, 61.11 Derka, 29, 29.00 Bartles, 13, 13.00 I will work on the Sweet 16 forecast and get that out later today or tomorrow.
  17. Poster, Current Score, EV Huckleberry, 44, 103.99 Zepol87, 43, 64.64 ztejas, 37, 51.44 Prepuce of Doom, 32, 51.97 Derka, 29, 59.86 HornOnTheBayou, 21, 66.17 Wulaw Horn, 16, 40.01 Bartles, 13, 27.49 Today's Matchups #1 Florida (1, 6.87, ztejas - 75.63%) vs. #8 Connecticut (8, 16.37, Bartles - 24.37%) #1 Duke (1, 7.47, HornOnTheBayou - 74.59%) vs. #9 Baylor (9, 19.73, Huckleberry - 25.41%) #3 Kentucky (3, 9.37, Zepol87 - 49.02%) vs. #6 Illinois (6, 19.98, Huckleberry - 50.98%) #2 Alabama (2, 10.82, Huckleberry - 68.68%) vs. #7 St. Mary's (7, 16.20, Derka - 31.32%) #4 Maryland (4, 18.73, HornOnTheBayou - 71.09%) vs. #12 Colorado St. (12, 23.02, Derka - 28.91%) #3 Iowa St. (3, 13.19, HornOnTheBayou - 62.42%) vs. #6 Mississippi (6, 15.25, Wulaw Horn - 37.58%) #2 Michigan St. (2, 9.12, Wulaw Horn - 69.54%) vs. #10 New Mexico (10, 20.64, Derka - 30.46%) #4 Arizona (4, 16.12, Huckleberry - 64.45%) vs. #5 Oregon (5, 11.12, Bartles - 35.55%)
  18. There's a lot of bad shit to worry about right now. Please tell me this was voice-to-text so I can scratch your spelling off the list.
  19. Not sure what they did but I would give a 1 seed 4.75 expected wins if they're not using the full S curve. If everything went chalk then 2 of the 4 seeds win 4 games, 1 wins 5, and 1 wins 6.
  20. Poster, Current Score, EV Huckleberry, 34, 121.10 Derka, 29, 59.92 ztejas, 27, 56.34 Zepol87, 23, 61.71 Prepuce of Doom, 18, 39.74 HornOnTheBayou, 15, 70.57 Bartles, 13, 27.51 Wulaw Horn, 12, 42.90 Saturday's Matchups: #4 Purdue (4, 17.13, Huckleberry - 78.33%) vs. #12 McNeese St. (12, 18.35, ztejas - 21.67%) #2 St. John's (2, 8.37, Wulaw Horn - 64.44%) vs. #10 Arkansas (10, 23.53, Zepol87 - 35.56%) #4 Texas A&M (4, 11.72, HornOnTheBayou - 49.66%) vs. #5 Michigan (5, 15.29, ztejas - 50.34%) #3 Texas Tech (3, 18.97, HornOnTheBayou - 86.56%) vs. #11 Drake (11, 15.01, Prepuce of Doom - 13.44%) #1 Auburn (1, 8.56, Huckleberry - 81.77%) vs. #9 Creighton (9, 15.77, ztejas - 18.23%) #3 Wisconsin (3, 10.18, Zepol87 - 52.52%) vs. #6 BYU (6, 18.45, Prepuce of Doom - 47.48%) #1 Houston (1, 6.29, Prepuce of Doom - 61.57%) vs. #8 Gonzaga (8, 27.46, Huckleberry - 38.43%) #2 Tennessee (2, 9.72, Wulaw Horn - 64.37%) vs. #7 UCLA (7, 18.05, Zepol87 - 35.63%)
  21. I'm an optimist by nature but even being objective I'm closer to Wulaw's take here. This spring training has been about what should have been expected. I don't see any reason to downgrade expectations based on it. Of course mine were about 90 wins and a playoff berth, nothing like upper 90s wins and a potential 1 seed or anything like that.
  22. Was that not the timing of the official announcements? I honestly don't remember.
  23. Lol that people think Landry didn't have a big ego.
  24. Today's Matchups: #8 Mississippi St. (0, 7.57, Prepuce of Doom - 11.03%) vs. #9 Baylor (0, 11.00, Huckleberry - 14.03%) #2 Alabama (0, 10.46, Huckleberry - 66.66%) vs. #15 Robert Morris (0, 1.29, Bartles - 0.91%) #3 Iowa St. (0, 11.92, HornOnTheBayou - 55.62%) vs. #14 Lipscomb (0, 2.61, HornOnTheBayou - 2.43%) #5 Memphis (0, 4.52, Prepuce of Doom - 14.71%) vs. #12 Colorado St. (0, 13.46, Derka - 18.46%) #1 Duke (0, 7.67, HornOnTheBayou - 74.91%) vs. #16 Mount St. Mary's (0, 0.10, Huckleberry - 0.03%) #7 St. Mary's (0, 9.82, Derka - 19.99%) vs. #10 Vanderbilt (0, 8.79, Bartles - 12.44%) #6 Mississippi (0, 8.71, Wulaw Horn - 22.35%) vs. #11 North Carolina (0, 13.78, Bartles - 19.60%) #4 Maryland (0, 16.45, HornOnTheBayou - 62.12%) vs. #13 Grand Canyon (0, 3.41, Wulaw Horn - 4.71%) #1 Florida (0, 7.13, ztejas - 75.79%) vs. #16 Norfolk St. (0, 0.31, Wulaw Horn - 0.11%) #3 Kentucky (0, 9.48, Zepol87 - 48.13%) vs. #14 Troy (0, 2.20, Derka - 1.88%) #7 Marquette (0, 12.20, Prepuce of Doom - 25.90%) vs. #10 New Mexico (0, 8.80, Derka - 13.29%) #4 Arizona (0, 15.86, Huckleberry - 63.79%) vs. #13 Akron (0, 1.59, Derka - 1.70%) #8 Connecticut (0, 9.79, Bartles - 14.56%) vs. #9 Oklahoma (0, 7.33, Wulaw Horn - 9.55%) #6 Illinois (0, 13.93, Huckleberry - 34.38%) vs. #11 Xavier (0, 10.09, Wulaw Horn - 15.61%) #2 Michigan St. (0, 8.40, Wulaw Horn - 60.26%) vs. #15 Bryant (0, 1.01, Derka - 0.56%) #5 Oregon (0, 8.92, Bartles - 29.70%) vs. #12 Liberty (0, 4.43, Zepol87 - 4.81%)
×
×
  • Create New...