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Lurch

Certifiably Surly
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Everything posted by Lurch

  1. Yes, but fold equity is significant here
  2. Straights, Sets, 2 pairs, TT, KTss and maybe KJss all seem reasonable here. Not sure about 66
  3. $1100 at $2/5. UTG straddle. I make it $35 from UTG1 w As6s. BTN, BB and UTG call. $140 pot. 9s8s7c. Checks to me, I make it $80. BTN folds, BB (reg, competent but aggressive wild at times) check raises to $300 and has me covered. UTG folds. A. Fold (Lulz) B. Call $300 leaving pot sized bet behind C. Raise to X (??) D. Jam
  4. He should keep doing whatever he’s doing. It’s working perfectly
  5. Super messed up and almost certainly a troll by the organizers
  6. If your shirts aren’t polyester-spandex blend, are you even living?
  7. Nice! About 2 lb/week? How close was actual vs intent?
  8. My 12 month journey Took 7 weeks off and have been back on for 3 with a slightly less aggressive plan (1.5 vs 2 lbs/week) With various breaks, I averaged about 1 to 1.25 lbs/week over the year
  9. We can’t be racist. We invited some black people on our private plane and put James Brown on. … and took pictures of this very normal occurrence
  10. How many accidents per day is the sphere causing? It has to be 5+
  11. That was my takeaway from the story, too. Effectively, he performed pretty much exactly how any average sports bettor would perform over time and predictably ended up dumping 10% of his bets to the house for the privilege.
  12. and from another guy: I’d guess this is generally unadvisable for anyone. An insider already has a portfolio way overweighted towards their employer because of stock options/grants. Pretty risky bet even if you have confidence in the direction
  13. My understanding is that those that post a ton (reporters) do as it’s much easier to copy/paste etc. So not the audience so much, but the producers of content
  14. What do you think the *most likely* outcome is? For me, it is that he loses the Jan 6 trial around Sept, loses the election, loses appeals by early 2025 and has to report to prison for 5-10 year sentence by end of 2025. He eventually loses classified docs case, too, but serves concurrently. Gets out around 85 years old, still playing kingmaker amongst the furthest right fringe, but is otherwise done politically.
  15. $80 a misclick in second hand? I’m thinking $110 to isolate 4 bettor
  16. Newsome is the one fishing
  17. My understanding is that those are quite satisfactory for the price.
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