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wildcat09

Certifiably Surly
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Everything posted by wildcat09

  1. Can I get her number?
  2. C'mon brisket, any poll saying Trump will get basically half the female vote is very obvious bullshit. Stealing from bluesky: A ton of polls about this race have indicated that the largest political realignment in American history has happened since 2022 (with enormous shifts of minorities and women and young voters to Trump and old white people to Biden). Does that jibe with anything any single person here has seen in real life? Sure I could see Trump making marginal gains among minorities similar to the gains he made from 2016 to 2020, and I could see Biden continuing to make gains among white voters, but nothing remotely to the degree that polls have reflected. And there's literally nothing to corroborate the polling. Yeah, there's been some dissatisfaction among younger voters over Gaza and indications that some younger voters won't vote, but we're not seeing reporting about actual groups of young, organized black voters turning to Trump or anything like that. I think if the largest voter realignment in American history were happening, we'd see some other evidence of it.
  3. I'm not seeing a lot of executive or otherwise relevant experience there in that resume.
  4. And we know Trump has some huge fucking lifts in those shoes.
  5. Thanks. Still doesn't seem like one of the best options to me. He's got no executive experience and no real relevant experience at all except for his very young senate career. If he's the pick, it better be because there's some new summer pop album all about astronauts or some shit.
  6. If it's Kelly, I hope they've got some polling (that's much more reliable than presidential polling these days) indicating that people still go completely nuts for astronauts, because otherwise he makes zero sense and he'd have to resign his senate seat to campaign. The astronaut on the ticket seems like it would make a lot more sense in the 70s or 80s than today.
  7. Elon is keeping people from following Kamala Harris' campaign twitter account. I'm sure the twitter files reporters and their lickspittles who were posting all about them in this thread will be all over this.
  8. "Hey Scotty, did you see that guy with a rifle go up on the roof right above you?" "Shhhh, busy playing candy crush here. Fuck off." Yeah, I can see why they wouldn't want to release that
  9. He didn't win Iowa, he won Iowa's Democratic presidential caucus. This is like saying Bernie is popular in Pennsylvania because he won the primary there in 2016 (but even less accurate, because at least that was a primary).
  10. No, man. Why would their viewership respect him for telling them what they don't want to hear? They just forget what he said and remember that they hate the gay guy. Pete appeals to literally two types of people: (1) grandmas who love what a nice respectful and high achiever boy he is and who want to pinch his cheeks, and (2) liberal political perverts who love to watch him dunk on bad Republican arguments. The second happens to be most of the posters on this board, but we're very fucking far from the average undecided American voter.
  11. Pete only appeals to a very narrow slice of the electorate and they're already guaranteed to vote for the ticket regardless of who is on it.
  12. Does the Helo jinx work if he's trying to make it happen?
  13. Fucking seriously. Goddamned lawyers man, I swear to god.
  14. The media is so fucking mad that the Dems have gotten their shit together.
  15. We got a real tough guy over here
  16. This is some really strong cope right here.
  17. What is the fucking deal with everyone manifesting the Trump "it's only real if it's on TV" brain disease? Literally the only way fucking millions of people perceive politics is how something might play for 20 seconds on TV as if that is all that matters.
  18. It's partly supposition based on the fact that they haven't endorsed Harris yet, but not just that. It's pretty clear from reporting that many if not most of the donors involved in the pressure campaign against Biden didn't want Harris to be the nominee. I think Obama/Pelosi/Schumer shared the concerns those donors had about her (which were based on how they perceived her electability for race, gender, and policy reasons). Without longcatting this, the biggest Dem donors do not want the party to turn back into a pro-labor, pro-regulation party the way Biden has been pushing things (and Harris is likely expected to continue things in that direction) and I think Obama, Pelosi, and Schumer have a lot of stupid ideas about how to moderate to appeal to "moderate" American voters because their idea of a moderate American voter is largely based on the "moderate" multimillionaires they spend all of their time with.
  19. The nonresponse bias from people who know not to answer calls from numbers they don't recognize and not to click on what look like scam links in text messages will remain, though.
  20. Another note (which I'm partially stealing from southpaw on Bluesky), but it doesn't seem like Biden's immediate endorsement of Harris is what Pelosi, Obama or Schumer wanted. We know it's not what the donors they're friends with and coordinated the pressure campaign against Biden wanted. Which is yet another indication that they're actually pretty shitty at politics now. Maybe it wasn't always the case for Pelosi and Schumer, and it was definitely not always the case for Obama, but they're entirely way too disconnected from average Americans and should not continue to have the huge roles they have within the Democratic party.
  21. It's always weird the rare occasions you see Dems actually act in an organized and politically effective manner and it's made exponentially better by the GOP somehow being caught flat footed and initially only having some real loser shit messaging in response. They'll get their shit together though, so the Dems better not all fall apart at the sight of the first polls that don't show a huge bump for Harris.
  22. It’ll have at least 3 scotus votes in support.
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