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wildcat09

Certifiably Surly
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Everything posted by wildcat09

  1. What is the fucking deal with everyone manifesting the Trump "it's only real if it's on TV" brain disease? Literally the only way fucking millions of people perceive politics is how something might play for 20 seconds on TV as if that is all that matters.
  2. It's partly supposition based on the fact that they haven't endorsed Harris yet, but not just that. It's pretty clear from reporting that many if not most of the donors involved in the pressure campaign against Biden didn't want Harris to be the nominee. I think Obama/Pelosi/Schumer shared the concerns those donors had about her (which were based on how they perceived her electability for race, gender, and policy reasons). Without longcatting this, the biggest Dem donors do not want the party to turn back into a pro-labor, pro-regulation party the way Biden has been pushing things (and Harris is likely expected to continue things in that direction) and I think Obama, Pelosi, and Schumer have a lot of stupid ideas about how to moderate to appeal to "moderate" American voters because their idea of a moderate American voter is largely based on the "moderate" multimillionaires they spend all of their time with.
  3. The nonresponse bias from people who know not to answer calls from numbers they don't recognize and not to click on what look like scam links in text messages will remain, though.
  4. Another note (which I'm partially stealing from southpaw on Bluesky), but it doesn't seem like Biden's immediate endorsement of Harris is what Pelosi, Obama or Schumer wanted. We know it's not what the donors they're friends with and coordinated the pressure campaign against Biden wanted. Which is yet another indication that they're actually pretty shitty at politics now. Maybe it wasn't always the case for Pelosi and Schumer, and it was definitely not always the case for Obama, but they're entirely way too disconnected from average Americans and should not continue to have the huge roles they have within the Democratic party.
  5. It's always weird the rare occasions you see Dems actually act in an organized and politically effective manner and it's made exponentially better by the GOP somehow being caught flat footed and initially only having some real loser shit messaging in response. They'll get their shit together though, so the Dems better not all fall apart at the sight of the first polls that don't show a huge bump for Harris.
  6. It’ll have at least 3 scotus votes in support.
  7. Any big money donors who don’t immediately come out in support of Kamala should get drone strikes.
  8. I know it feels like it’s been a hundred years already, but he first tested positive on Wednesday afternoon.
  9. This poll is obviously bullshit.
  10. In the Democratic party it sure fucking can.
  11. Didn't Nate also really fuck up his 2022 forecasts because he kept including garbage GOP push polls?
  12. No, but that hasn't stopped them from fucking with elections with no legal basis in the past. Bush v Gore was complete bullshit, legally speaking, as was the recent decision to keep him on the Colorado ballot. Party primaries aren't really solely-private affairs anymore. Primary elections are held on state recognized election days, under applicable state election laws. And I guarantee you there will be some bullshit constitutional claim (maybe that replacing Biden deprives his primary voters of a property right or some shit). And what is an obviously bullshit legal challenge will transform in no time at all to the new actual law of the land, so long as enough GOP judges and justices think it will benefit Trump.
  13. Hoping for the youth vote is like hoping demographic shifts will turn Texas blue. No, that shit actually takes work.
  14. You're going to vote for a guy who called nazis very fine people and there won't be a single Hezbollah flag in the DNC. Get fucked.
  15. Can you hook me up with your weed guy? Because this must come from some truly good shit.
  16. Biden bores the news media and depresses their readership and viewership, so they want a second Trump term.
  17. AOC went on Instagram last night echoing many of my thoughts, which is how I know I'm right and she's the smartest politician to have ever lived. My problem with Biden remaining the nominee at this point is the media will likely just continue the intense focus on his being old for the remainder of the campaign (the idea of that remaining the only real story of this fucking election for another four months might drive me to commit murder) and I don't think Biden can successfully rebut it because he'll continue to have some flubs and some more embarrassing moments like the BET interview. My problem with Biden stepping aside is that nobody pressuring him to do so has actually thought any of this through, it's just a ratfuck campaign from donors mixed with genuine panic by a lot of Democratic officials who I think are putting too much stock in shitty polls. And if the donors will ratfuck Harris too after Biden steps aside and just bribe delegates to pick whomever they prefer, that's not really any different from if Pence had decided he in fact COULD disregard the votes on 1/6 and choose alternate slates of electors. If it's not Biden it has to be Harris, and if they try to bypass Harris Biden needs to drop a Raytheon knife missile on those fuckers.
  18. If Trump wins and everyone starts getting rounded up, these fuckers writing “he’s softened!” pieces better get got.
  19. Nancy has exhibited dogshit political instincts for the entirety of the Trump era of American politics and hasn't spoken with anyone who could be confused for a regular American in years. She's the definition of an out-of-touch California liberal. I don't disagree with you that most Democratic voters would prefer a younger candidate or that there is an enthusiasm problem now that has been exacerbated by the debate. But parallel to that is absolutely an attempt by wealthy donors to regain greater control over the party and they're just using the debate as a pretext for that, and their ratfucking campaign has helped continue to churn out more and more media focus on this. They're even admitting that it's not about the debate on the record to the Times. That's fucking brazen. And what's really rotten about it is none of them are saying they'll support Harris. If they get what they want and Biden steps aside, I bet they'll only be further emboldened and they'll try to ratfuck Harris too. Because with these assholes, if they can't control the party then they don't care if it survives.
  20. Oh fuck that. She stepped aside only after she lost the majority. Nancy is not trying to push Biden out for the good of the party or the good of America, she's doing this for the wealthy donors she's friends with.
  21. Specifically, back room deal making by people who have no real constituencies in the party! This isn't 1950; the delegates aren't actually important party officials who represent local interests or specific interest groups! It's just fuckin random Democrats who wanted to go to the convention because they're dorks and agreed to vote for Biden! Just tossing it to them and telling them to figure it out would be completely fucking insane and would destroy the party.
  22. Those of you saying a brokered convention would be better than Harris absolutely do not understand politics and are going to drive me to drink an unhealthy amount of alcohol.
  23. Many of the donors involved in the pressure campaign are named in the NY Times article I linked on the last page.
  24. Lol, owned.
  25. Agree with all of this. Understanding they're not going to just publicly say "yeah Biden is obviously only functional like 3 hours a day," and it's their job to push back on this shit until it isn't, but they don't need to be just openly lying like this.
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