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Everything posted by 956 Worldwide
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Iām workshopping an idea where these super conferences incorporate a āpodā format that distills things down into a manageable, round-robin format to produce one champion. Maybe these pods could be regionally grouped and structured with important rivalries, and theyād be small enough where teams could also do fun or historic ācrossoverā games with other pods. Then at the end of the year the pod champions could play other pod champions at a cool stadium in a neutral site, maybe name the games something local or evocative. IDK, probably not cooking here at all.
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1. Everybody should be paid. ATC, essential workers, non-essential workers. 2. Congress doesnāt have to do shit to stop shutdowns. We didnāt have them until 1980. The AG then issued a legal opinion saying a shutdown was required if a budget wasnāt passed and no one questioned it. They just went along. Any AG at any time could issue a new one that says āwe re-examined this and it turns out we were wrong in 1980. If Congress doesnāt pass a budget we will keep paying employees on credit and meeting ongoing obligations until they do.ā Literally that easy, canāt be repeated enough that this happens because political leaders want it to.
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Oh, wow, megaconferences with no clear divisions have arcane and counterintuitive routes to a championship? Been amazing to see how long it took sports media to internalize that the thing guaranteed to happen, would happen.
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Could this be the craziest coaching carousel of all time?
956 Worldwide replied to GreenspointTexas's topic in Football
Curious why? To be clear I think PSU is going to downgrade from Franklin most likely. Brohm is from Kentucky; State College is firmly in Pennsyltucky. He has Big 10 coaching experience at Purdue; lots of East Coast coaching ties. They could do worse in terms of fit. -
Itās all just noise to me at this point. You want to be poised to have a bye and enough meat yet to keep it or move up and get one. If youāre bunched at 1-4 it will work out. If A&M finished with wins over USCe and Texas while Indiana closes with Rutgers and Purdue, my eyes will raise a bit if we donāt jump at least IU. Either IU or OSU will take an L if not two given the Big Ten CCG. An undefeated SEC champ should be 1 overall and a 1 loss SEC champ should be no lower than 2 IMO. But could see the committee saying that tOSU stays 1 till they lose. If we lose a close one versus Texas and that shoves us behind both Bama and Georgia that will be obnoxious. Maybe justified based on overall body of work, but for sure not a clear-cut call.
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Gooner or later, weāre in serious troubleā¦.
956 Worldwide replied to Dnaguy's topic in Daily Texan
Whats the score? Whoās playing? Is this an important game? I didnāt know there was a team there! -
Gooner or later, weāre in serious troubleā¦.
956 Worldwide replied to Dnaguy's topic in Daily Texan
I used to work with this guy who was a real sad-sack. Always smelled bad, dressed all frumpy, and was this complete horn-ball who whined about not getting women. I felt bad for the guy, so Iād invite him out for beers to the strip club or Hooters to try and get his confidence up or break the mystique around women. He was super uptight about it though. I thought maybe he needed to unclog the pipes so I offered to let him use some of the porn I had at home. He didnāt want to though. Really picky for a guy who wasnāt getting laid. He eventually started hanging around more with this other guy at the office who talked a lot about eating ass. Donāt know what happened to them. -
Gooner or later, weāre in serious troubleā¦.
956 Worldwide replied to Dnaguy's topic in Daily Texan
What I like is to go to a bar by myself and look for other middle aged guys like me who are there alone. I figure theyād like someone to talk to so I try to break the ice, maybe by asking a bunch of questions about the game heās watching or about the menu. -
Elon Musk: Nazi traitor piece of shit [Confirmed]
956 Worldwide replied to MaybeACoordinator's topic in Daily Texan
Seems like Neuralink would have more promise and efficiency as an individual crime control system. This dipshit canāt even get his fake sci-fi dystopia proposals sorted. -
They gave me the most money and I liked having it. Itās fun on the inside. No regrets.
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No way, remember that the bracket wasnāt balanced last year. 1. Boise and ASU both got byes. Under this yearsā format the teams that beat them (PSU and UT) would have gotten the byes. 2. The chalk bracket wasnāt balanced for the top seeds. Oregon actually had the toughest and not easiest path to the NC. Ohio State was 6 in the actual rankings but dropped to 8 because of the seeding format. Oregon would have gotten the winner of IU vs Boise; and UGA the winner of Tennessee-ASU if they used this yearās format. The bye advantage is huge. 50 percent of teams that donāt get a bye will be eliminated before the second round. Zero percent of teams with a bye will be eliminated before the second round. Rest vs. rust and the likelihood of injuries, and momentum vs stagnation can come into play and will be a factor for coaches but you take the bye every single time.
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Not really. Werenāt you earlier posting about how it was actually good for Texas that Georgia and A&M won this weekend based on how you were playing with the ESPN predictor tool? If you care to go look again the playoff chances for both those teams went up and the chances for Texas went down after your preferred outcome (which I said would happen). Thatās because the math just works that way. My argument here also needs just a bit of math combined understanding of the playoff and selection format. Which is not at all like MLB. Itās pretty boring to keep explaining it, though. I have no doubt youāll tell me I am wrong about the playoff chances math, too. (FWIW the FPI formula they used is not awesome and Texasā chances are still pretty good, likely higher than shown. But the basic mathā that itās better for teams ahead of you and on your schedule to lose than win because it helps your chances to knock them outā remains stubbornly factual).
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Yes, thatās the argument. There may be 15 teams with the roster to win. Three of them will be outside the top 12. No use mentioning them. One will be replaced by a G5 team. And that means you need to hope that the remaining two must navigate the autobid and committee process and be in the right league at the right time; that is far from automatic and thus far some of the better ones will be left out. And even THEN these teams are still playing as dogs in a four game series. And further to the silly MLB analogy, you cannot plug holes in a roster at the trade deadline or dip into the farm system for the playoffs. The injuries and deficiencies you own, and thatās often what derails even very good teams. The SEC as a league is fine; individual teams for sure face a tougher row. Texas, OU, Oregon, and USC likely all looking much better for bids in the former conference format.
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And yet, thereās a plenty good shot that BYU will be there. Or even just 3 SEC teams while four and five sit at home in favor of a ACC team with a gaudy record.
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Major League Baseball is a terrible example, if you want to talk about not well thought out or intelligent. MLB has two leagues and there are big/smart spenders spread across divisions of equal size where they can get to the playoffs to begin with. Which is pretty fucking important. Thereās not a wildcard spot reserved for the Savanah Bananas (G5 equivalent) or an autobid for the best AAA team (ACC this year). Turn this into two conferences with pods of equal size? Ok, Iāll buy the thesis.
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Nothing at all new or groundbreaking about the ACC having a couple teams (Miami often among them) capable of competing with the best in the country. Nothing new about the Big XII having one really good team. The very best from those conferences were always going to be in the playoffs. And if the format changed to ā12 best no matter where or we saw wild realignment, growing from 7 real contenders to 12 would change the calculus. Moving UT and OU out of the Big XII and into the SEC makes likely playoff fields less strong, not more strong under the current format. Likewise collapsing the PAC-12 and moving their best programs into the Big Ten. Thereās no reason to think college parity turns G5 teams into contenders. Thus far, theyāve mostly been raided in the portal. Thereās no guarantee that boosters like Campbell come in hot to make another Big XII team into a beast. Maybe someone will. But the media deals show the P2 pulling away from the ACC and Big XII in revenue. They show the ACC getting further sliced and diced into have and have notes, which doesnāt seem at all to help the middle of the conference. Those are the long-term trends we know.
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The parity, though, is concentrated in the P2. And in the format of 5 conference autobids, that matters less. The G5 team will always be a Cinderella shot. The Big XII and ACC between them have maybe two truly competitive rosters (Tech and Miami, with Miami underperforming). It wonāt matter if the middle of the SEC or Big Ten is built to complete with the top when they are sitting at home. Maybe if we get to a point where Clemson, Miami, FSU, SMU, Pitt are playing at max potential or if someone besides TTU and BYU do real NIL game in the Big XII we have a true 10-11 team deep CFP. As it stands 10-12 are just filler.
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This is kind of my pointā I donāt think you can find a year where 10-12 is anywhere close to 1-5 or 6. The value of the bye for AZ State was in replacing a potential loss (probability of a loss unknown) with a 100 percent guarantee they would not lose, in addition to the rest, practiced, time to get healthy. If you hypothetically place each game at a true push, they moved from a 25 percent chance to a 50 percent chance of advancing to the semis simply by not playing in the first round. But Texas was in fact a better team than them, and it was never a push. Those byes will be even more valuable and meaningful for teams that are straight seeded into them.
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No, it will be hard for them because they will play on the road, they will have an extra game to lose, but most importantly: they will need to win four straight games against teams that are probably better than them. Every single participant in the semifinals came from the top half of the CFP rankings. And that is WITH Boise and AZ State getting byes. There will be upsets, but the chance of pulling off wins in four straight games as either a dog or a coin flip is pretty low. And thatās what straight seeding will mean. 9-12 in the AP is ND, Texas, OU, BYU. Tell me which teams youād be willing to call a real contender at the moment. And keep in mind that at least two of those WILL fall out for a G5 and/or ACC team.
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I feel like I am banging my fucking head against the wall. The title game featured the teams ranked 5 (ND) and 6 (tOSU) in the final CFP rankings. And thatās how they would have been seeded under this yearās model.
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Politicians got involved and demanded to move fast. Without bringing in CR, this is how DOGE layoffs that were ordered to go fast unfolded. Even without court orders people got told they were fired, then on admin leave, then fired again for another reason, then maybe rehired.
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Using seeding as the metric decreases the chance it will happen now that the committee uses straight seeding. The lower seeds had a better chance under the old format. This year the 10-12 seeds WILL include a G5 team, an ACC team, and maybe a 2nd place Big XII, fourth place Big Ten, or 5th place SEC team in those spots. Which one has a decent shot over the SEC/Big Ten top six plus ND and Tech over four games? BYU? Georgia Tech? Pitt? Virginia? JMU? USF? Maybe Texas has the roster to make that run if they play at their best with no coaching errors. Or if Tech if weirdness happens to strike in the CCG and they fall this far. Either will have very, very long odds. If a 10-2 ND falls this far, maybe they can. You and I both know the G5 and ACC do not have NC winners in them. Youāre staking your argument on the very last of P2/Big XII/ND to get in running through four games versus teams that finished ahead of them. Possible? It will happen eventually. Very unlikely any given year? Yes.
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I didnāt say a word in my post about seedings. I said ārankings.ā And Ohio State easily made it into the playoffs, they were ranked at 6 in the final CFP ranking before the playoffs. You just made up the fact that they barely got in;ā that team wasnāt even the lowest ranked Big Ten team. The 8-12 ranked teams last year were all pretty flawed. None of them advanced to the semifinals. (Well, Alabama didnāt get an invite).
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