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LCHorn

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Everything posted by LCHorn

  1. Now @Wulaw Horn, @UTPhil2006, @Neonmoon and I trying to imagine if this is good or bad for the bond market..
  2. I'm with @henrygandorf in that Trump has a "to death do us part" hold on the party. That's also why he needs to be in jail.
  3. Nothing is dominating the headlines for 3 days. If you go listen to a Pod Save America podcast from last Friday it’ll feel like it was recorded 4 years ago. The media barrage of everything is a fire hose right now, it’s like everyone is on cocaine.
  4. The Pod Save America guys talked themselves out of recommending Kamala appear on Rogan* and responding to this kind belief is a good example of how they are wrong. *they said it was because Rogan will start bringing up bullshit “data” in support of anti-vax and she would get bogged down in it. I haven’t heard them be so protective of her previously-I think you gotta let her cook. In regards to the “you’ve got to destroy it to save it” rhetoric, I think that should be such a layup I’m just shocked she’s not frothing at the opportunity. That said, it speaks to the failure of the party (this isn’t on her) to better articulate a counter to “Make America Great Again” as a vision of what it DOES need to look like.
  5. My wife and I have had the same conversation and are similarly perplexed how people like @BurntOrange&White manage it. You should read up on how Iran went from the most Western friendly nation in the Middle East to 40 years of religious terrorism under the theocracy. One crucial step was the wealthy elites thought, after the Shah fled, “it’s okay, we can control Khomeini.” Most of them would end up fleeing themselves or in prison. So not entirely the same but another example of unforeseen consequences. The lesson should be that we don’t want kings in this country, whether by divine right or anointed by the market.
  6. Calling my shot-MBS improve by 100 bps on 11/6 (I actual think 125 but trying to temper myself).
  7. Ach! You beat me for the same joke!
  8. I actually think she’s had good work done. She doesn’t look like cat ladies I see and looks older but smoothed out. Caveat, I’ve never seen her in anything else so I don’t have that picture of youth in the back of my mind. Personally I’m more distracted that everyone has zero money concerns and can leave their doors and windows open without mosquitos getting in.
  9. To add on to this, to the extent that such a thing can be orchestrated, the GOP is working overtime to convince their constituents that Trump WILL win. I’m not a conspiracy theorist (the rumor there is this is to set in motion support for post loss election fraud claims, as in “how could we lose if all the polls said we were winning?!?!”) but elites in the party are clearly repeating it.
  10. I’m finding I disagree with Nate Silver enough that I hate to use him as an authority, but one thing he said that I agree with is that incumbency may not be an advantage any longer. That said, I don’t think the fence sitters breaking for the challenger can be presumed.
  11. Dickson in the 2017 Texas Bowl is the best punting performance I’ve ever seen in my life. Missouri beat us in every phase of the game except one and he was superhuman. It was really the capstone to two years of dominant punting and a good example of why Scipio Tex calls special teams excellence a cheat code. You think every teams isn’t trying to do that? The point is no one is very good at it, even Banks who was a punter himself. Better to let the cream rise and pay market in the portal. They aren’t getting paid freshman DT money and there’s far more immediate return on investment.
  12. I feel like the analytics guys would always have a transfer punter/kicker identified and ready to bag in the new NIL era.
  13. Haha, I remember WAT from IT. I’m surprised he hasn’t Darwin’d himself by now.
  14. Sorry, what’s your objection? You don’t think it’s normal to provide a framework in which opposite party affiliated voters feel more comfortable voting for your candidate? Historically that is how most campaigns have been run.
  15. You may not be familiar with VoteVets but that’s probably targeting Republican voters. They are big supporters of national security Dems who have won in purple/red districts.
  16. Haha, they don’t care. They’ll do a couple of weeks of talking about themselves (it’s their favorite subject anyway). Whatever drives eyeballs. I’m sure Lee Greenwood is very familiar with who pays the bills after managing to be a one hit wonder who still makes a leaving at it forty years later, but I bet he never imagined sharing the marquee with the founder of Death Row Records.
  17. If you’re a regular slate reader, your concern might be tempered by the fact they’ve run a “this is the end of the republic as we know it” article daily since 2007.
  18. She should have done it at Kyle Field for the lulz…
  19. Hah! Listening to the Bulwark podcast with Stephens as a guest as we speak, mainly to see if Miller will call him out for being such a gigantic pussy.
  20. Late Night with the Devil is now on Hulu for those lacking a Shudder sub.
  21. I wouldn’t mind a better punter if we’re shopping for specialists.
  22. Boerne is a nice visit but it’s also the “fuck you, I got mine” capital of Texas.
  23. They think of themselves as German, though. It's another way to distinguish themselves from the Mexicans and everyone else. It's also very Aggie despite the fact few are ranching (and fewer are farming).
  24. That’s part of it, Big Sort and all. I also think that the old German pioneer, independent and yet community building spirit curdled into selfish NIMBY’ism. The old German families resent the Mexican Americans that now outnumber them so the demographics are more like apartheid South Africa. The whole area is a really good example of the weakness of the state Democratic Party. If they were capable of party buiding it would be a great candidate because the numbers are there.
  25. She bothers me less than Bateman, whose public “Bruce Wayne” performance is pretty hammy, along with any time Batman attempts to quip. Like when he is back from Princeton and go to the narrows to meet Carmine Falcone, gives a homeless person his coat and says to the homeless dude “people are going to come looking for me.” The homeless man says “who?”, and he replies back “everyone.” It makes him seem extremely narcissistic, which is at odds with a plot trying to paint him as a selfless hero. Then you have the callback later with “nice coat” that takes a scene doing a lot of heavy lifting to suspend audience disbelief that this character would be frightening to criminals and adds that ridiculous dad joke.
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