I think you've got to tier them based on proximity to population centers and overall desirability. Fundamentally it's all about the reward for the student athlete and that's probably a combination of NIL or whatever form athlete compensation ends up being 5-10 seasons from now, NFL preparation and student quality of life (i.e., facilities, education, not being surrounded by thousands of preposterous entitled fake Army officers).
This is going to mean that UT, Georgia, and USC win out when corporate interests can obtain good value on NIL participation (each is in also in a population centers that has a gravity that's not tied to the university).
Ohio State could arguably be including but I've been to Cleveland. Unless Cincinnati is loads better then I think their appeal is ultimately too regional and there's too much competition for the Chicago market for anyone to own it.
Florida has all the potential to be in the first tier but probably lacks the coach capable of exploiting their advantages off the field.
LSU, A&M, and OU in particular are hindered when UT is up.
If schools like Miami, UCLA, UVA, and one of the Arizona schools decided to really prioritize program building they'd have aptitude to move up.